NBA · resolved market
Hawks vs. Spurs: O/U 230.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdf2fb7eeac4e0ea643ecf7dbfc968fedd6acff025d64a5d56d88827e34089dbf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,974
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,598
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,974 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 76 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x710a…ed6cbacked Under | 46c | 8,300$3,818 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,818 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe971…350cbacked Over | 54c | 8,300$4,482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,818 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Under | 42c | 2,579$1,083 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,083.32 | 662 | 50.8%336 W · 326 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 44c | 2,490$1,089 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,088.81 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8331…965abacked Over | 58c | 2,400$1,392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,008 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba45…87f3backed Over | 56c | 2,000$1,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce97…4ffbbacked Under | 44c | 1,200$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 45cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x357b…0b65backed Over | 57c | 877.27$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.27 | 271 | 58.3%158 W · 113 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Over | 57c | 877.19$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.19 | 462 | 58.2%269 W · 193 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44f7…266fbacked Under | 3c | 820.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.63 | 457 | 3.5%16 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4302…4f64backed Under | 44c | 809.99$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.39 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe962…663abacked Over | 51c | 800$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392 | 843 | 42.9%362 W · 481 L | -39.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 16c | 562.34$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.13 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Under | 47c | 485.85$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.35 | 2,265 | 43.4%982 W · 1,283 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa341…fc86backed Under | 45c | 482$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.9 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35d5…3d73backed Under | 45c | 475$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.75 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb1bc…bd81backed Under | 44c | 454.55$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 135 | 58.5%79 W · 56 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a24…804abacked Under | 45c | 295$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24b3…d2c2backed Under | 45c | 274$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.3 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 46cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4fa2…ea8bbacked Under | 45c | 274$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.3 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6267…50d1backed Over | 57c | 273$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8d4…48cebacked Over | 57c | 269$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3641…2864backed Over | 57c | 267$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.81 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x300c…e61cbacked Under | 45c | 262$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.9 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb064…26f3backed Under | 45c | 250$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2354…6168backed Over | 57c | 249$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.07 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Under | 7c | 245.88$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.21 | 184 | 38.6%71 W · 113 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b56…6ce6backed Under | 45c | 236$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.2 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3fa…fdc2backed Over | 57c | 219$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4684…82f3backed Under | 45c | 212$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.4 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd97b…84dfbacked Over | 57c | 209$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.87 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +87.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe18c…e907backed Over | 57c | 206$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.58 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe867…080dbacked Under | 45c | 203$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.35 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8044…358ebacked Over | 64c | 200$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 549 | 51.9%285 W · 264 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe78e…55f0backed Under | 43c | 200$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 346 | 45.7%158 W · 188 L | +12.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4075…24d1backed Over | 57c | 200$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Under | 36c | 200$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8034…5b5dbacked Under | 45c | 199$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.55 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f3e…1819backed Over | 57c | 181$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.83 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +84.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa80…f18abacked Over | 57c | 180$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 39cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe342…32bcbacked Under | 45c | 178$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.1 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe301…c35bbacked Over | 57c | 178$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.54 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x068f…4594backed Over | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 80 | 45%36 W · 44 L | -5.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2de1…ba46backed Under | 45c | 170$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.5 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Over | 58c | 169$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.98 | 1,151 | 53.7%618 W · 533 L | -41.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac4b…bad7backed Over | 57c | 162$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.66 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4062…3ba1backed Over | 57c | 155$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.65 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +89.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96fd…7c1bbacked Over | 57c | 151$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.93 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked Under | 47c | 150$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.5 | 377 | 50.4%190 W · 187 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffa1…5cb4backed Over | 57c | 148$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.64 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x466a…25c7backed Over | 57c | 140$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.2 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e33…433bbacked Over | 57c | 137$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.91 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc9f…f2bbbacked Over | 53c | 133.02$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8b6…e602backed Under | 45c | 132$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.4 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbdb5…7a65backed Under | 45c | 129$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.05 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x12a4…e31ebacked Over | 57c | 122$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.46 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.32per pick | 52cpaid | +65.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x95bc…5b6abacked Over | 57c | 122$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.46 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4819…a30ebacked Over | 57c | 103$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.29 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd07…cb4ebacked Over | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 201 | 43.3%87 W · 114 L | -12.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204e…55eabacked Over | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 85 | 52.9%45 W · 40 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4bdc…acb8backed Over | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48f8…9166backed Over | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.29 | 171 | 45.6%78 W · 93 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc582…a75fbacked Over | 53c | 75.47$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.47 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -5.0wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe8f1…025dbacked Over | 55c | 69$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.05 | 93 | 51.6%48 W · 45 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeab2…5735backed Over | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 87 | 41.4%36 W · 51 L | -8.4wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3a40…afaabacked Over | 51c | 55.57$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.23 | 30 | 76.7%23 W · 7 L | +6.8wins | +0.23per pick | 54cpaid | +45.4%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x8d4e…8163backed Under | 45c | 53.8$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.21 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe947…2cf3backed Under | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 849 | 57.6%489 W · 360 L | -52.1wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b38…4d61backed Under | 46c | 43.54$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 302 | 44%133 W · 169 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5729…c366backed Over | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3646…4d91backed Over | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9aed…bd17backed Under | 44c | 34.09$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -4.3wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -30%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdd35…c85ebacked Under | 49c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 73 | 47.9%35 W · 38 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac27…18e7backed Over | 57c | 26.32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.32 | 415 | 56.9%236 W · 179 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f2c…ac5ebacked Under | 44c | 24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 83 | 55.4%46 W · 37 L | +4.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf09d…115fbacked Over | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Hawks vs. Spurs: O/U 230.5this page
- Hawks vs. SpursSpurs won
- Hawks vs. Spurs: 1H MoneylineSpurs won
- Hawks vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 119.5Over won
- Hawks vs. Spurs: O/U 229.5Over won
- Hawks vs. Spurs: O/U 231.5Over won
- Hawks vs. Spurs: O/U 232.5Over won
- Hawks vs. Spurs: O/U 233.5Over won
- Spread: Spurs (-1.5)Spurs won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.