NBA · resolved market
Hawks vs. Spurs: O/U 229.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x026b4ae061e5e5ff23e2bf0111e6381bdfef685a2648e484eb6efda4d5fbd077
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,375
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,735
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,375 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5137…1556backed Under | 42c | 2,269$946 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$945.66 | 2,265 | 43.4%982 W · 1,283 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea60…e977backed Over | 56c | 1,846$1,034 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$812.37 | 91 | 59.3%54 W · 37 L | +5.5wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Under | 45c | 666.67$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1,157 | 47.9%554 W · 603 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1033…d851backed Over | 58c | 564$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.88 | 274 | 43.1%118 W · 156 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa499…7873backed Over | 55c | 545.99$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.7 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe342…32bcbacked Under | 43c | 454$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.22 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Over | 55c | 360.46$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.21 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 37c | 355$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.45 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ea9…91d9backed Under | 43c | 283$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.69 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 47cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcdd2…a1fdbacked Over | 58c | 256.41$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.69 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.6wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2de8…1121backed Over | 59c | 254.64$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.18 | 909 | 57.6%524 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5dd…b094backed Over | 60c | 245$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 339 | 50.1%170 W · 169 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd86e…1dc3backed Over | 59c | 235$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.35 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2354…6168backed Over | 59c | 231$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.71 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8331…965abacked Over | 56c | 216.69$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.34 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda2a…c6a9backed Over | 59c | 215$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 43c | 214.94$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.71 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa43…5813backed Over | 64c | 202.93$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.32 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +3.2wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe78e…55f0backed Under | 41c | 200$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 346 | 45.7%158 W · 188 L | +12.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72a1…858bbacked Over | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +90.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7fc…87cdbacked Under | 44c | 184$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.96 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 40c | 182.8$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.8 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bfc…7f96backed Under | 43c | 178$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.54 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6cd…e027backed Under | 45c | 177.58$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.91 | 303 | 48.2%146 W · 157 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…aa0ebacked Over | 59c | 175$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.75 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +89.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e9…80bbbacked Over | 59c | 173$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.93 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d7d…6020backed Over | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.33per pick | 58cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2408…83e5backed Under | 43c | 164$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.52 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.31per pick | 48cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe878…be23backed Under | 43c | 144$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.92 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.6wins | -0.37per pick | 52cpaid | -75.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcf79…62a7backed Over | 59c | 120$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.2 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…37b4backed Over | 59c | 118.64$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.64 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5243…8751backed Under | 43c | 118$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.74 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44ee…1447backed Over | 59c | 112$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.92 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c33…c0a4backed Over | 59c | 105$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.05 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +79.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e2…31e4backed Over | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 112 | 51.8%58 W · 54 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b34…6296backed Over | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 102 | 53.9%55 W · 47 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bdc…acb8backed Over | 59c | 89$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.49 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d45…1ba7backed Over | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.72 | 112 | 64.3%72 W · 40 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 42c | 86.62$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.38 | 2,208 | 46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Over | 61c | 80.97$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 184 | 38.6%71 W · 113 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f93…bbdebacked Over | 59c | 77$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.57 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2921…78b3backed Over | 58c | 68.97$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.97 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf782…8abbbacked Over | 59c | 64.41$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.41 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | +3.8wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd207…c366backed Over | 64c | 62.31$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.31 | 191 | 50.3%96 W · 95 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd5e…271bbacked Over | 59c | 60$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.6 | 58 | 56.9%33 W · 25 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27ec…ad73backed Over | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.57 | 194 | 51.5%100 W · 94 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ac…e166backed Over | 60c | 41.67$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 187 | 57.2%107 W · 80 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b38…4d61backed Under | 44c | 38.9$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.13 | 302 | 44%133 W · 169 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Under | 35c | 37.31$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.06 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad87…f9a1backed Over | 57c | 35.12$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.12 | 350 | 52%182 W · 168 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x188b…7c63backed Over | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8490…3243backed Over | 59c | 27.12$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.12 | 70 | 48.6%34 W · 36 L | -6.4wins | -0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb089…a271backed Over | 60c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58c2…c9ddbacked Over | 55c | 21.91$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.91 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 70cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb52…8046backed Over | 59c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x218e…e49dbacked Over | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 482 | 55%265 W · 217 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Hawks vs. Spurs: O/U 229.5this page
- Hawks vs. SpursSpurs won
- Hawks vs. Spurs: 1H MoneylineSpurs won
- Hawks vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 119.5Over won
- Hawks vs. Spurs: O/U 230.5Over won
- Hawks vs. Spurs: O/U 231.5Over won
- Hawks vs. Spurs: O/U 232.5Over won
- Hawks vs. Spurs: O/U 233.5Over won
- Spread: Spurs (-1.5)Spurs won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.