Euroleague · resolved market
Maccabi Tel Aviv vs. Monaco
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x51ebe68e1aa73e92522e03a2fafc8a124aa24c7ac11ced0c075f488d7aa08bda
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Monacoof Maccabi Tel Aviv, Monaco
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,850
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,847
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,850 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Euroleague | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x17c1…a606backed Monaco | 66c | 2,231$1,473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$758.77 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +61.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked Maccabi Tel Aviv | 34c | 1,400$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476.1 | 222 | 31.5%70 W · 152 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Maccabi Tel Aviv | 35c | 1,001$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.4 | 275 | 57.5%158 W · 117 L | +12.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Maccabi Tel Aviv | 40c | 732.63$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.91 | 65 | 35.4%23 W · 42 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -17%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x091e…3432backed Monaco | 60c | 499.98$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.99 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Monaco | 54c | 200.85$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.02 | 343 | 44.3%152 W · 191 L | -16.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Maccabi Tel Aviv | 38c | 102$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.34 | 86 | 53.5%46 W · 40 L | +10.6wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9738backed Maccabi Tel Aviv | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 83 | 44.6%37 W · 46 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f30…ed96backed Monaco | 64c | 62.73$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.73 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Monaco | 64c | 62.68$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.68 | 56 | 30.4%17 W · 39 L | -5.3wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd12f…e80dbacked Monaco | 40c | 62.5$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f95…8e86backed Monaco | 69c | 60.41$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.73 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.20per pick | 69cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa1cb…4d25backed Monaco | 67c | 52.24$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.24 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3513…c19dbacked Maccabi Tel Aviv | 39c | 50.01$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.59 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7753…73cebacked Monaco | 65c | 45.64$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.97 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x63ab…71dfbacked Monaco | 50c | 30.03$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.03 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecb9…d7ddbacked Monaco | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.8wins | -0.35per pick | 47cpaid | -82.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6cec…cdbfbacked Monaco | 61c | 22.3$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +65.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.