TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Euroleague · resolved market

BC Dubai vs. Maccabi Tel Aviv

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Maccabi Tel Avivof BC Dubai, Maccabi Tel Aviv
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$76,976
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$90,472

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $76,976 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 115 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Euroleague
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe60a…6a47backed BC Dubai61c12,605$7,725 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,725.514847.3%70 W · 78 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x84cb…28adbacked BC Dubai64c9,353$6,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,0001553.3%8 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.11per pick65cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x17c1…a606backed Maccabi Tel Aviv40c6,703$2,661 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,042.016100%6 W · 0 L+2.1wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+61.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Maccabi Tel Aviv40c3,855$1,542 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,313.0354251.5%279 W · 263 L+25.3wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+6.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbfbd…21d2backed BC Dubai15c3,121$457 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$457.474211.9%5 W · 37 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick16cpaid-44.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Maccabi Tel Aviv39c2,505$976 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,528.6112040.8%49 W · 71 L-5.1wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-3.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x85df…9124backed BC Dubai2c2,500$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4930%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed Maccabi Tel Aviv42c2,479$1,046 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,433.144037.5%15 W · 25 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-17%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e33…afb3backed Maccabi Tel Aviv43c2,313$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,313.4213650%68 W · 68 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Maccabi Tel Aviv49c2,305$1,136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,168.3414542.1%61 W · 84 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-21.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa99f…9c1ebacked BC Dubai1c1,600$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16911.1%1 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick7cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Maccabi Tel Aviv76c1,487$1,135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$351.6210050%50 W · 50 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-19.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x73d4…dbd6backed BC Dubai70c1,276$893 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$893.1830%0 W · 3 L-2.2wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x30ef…70dfbacked Maccabi Tel Aviv38c1,200$456 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74422231.5%70 W · 152 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick29cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked Maccabi Tel Aviv41c1,186$485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$701.171250%6 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+18.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Maccabi Tel Aviv67c1,109$744 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$365.0636939.8%147 W · 222 L+1.7wins0.00per pick39cpaid-22.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Maccabi Tel Aviv41c1,000$412 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$587.913548.9%66 W · 69 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Maccabi Tel Aviv77c824.72$635 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.2712454%67 W · 57 L+4.9wins+0.04per pick50cpaid-3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5aa0…fbbdbacked BC Dubai2c731.5$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.6330%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x705d…3438backed Maccabi Tel Aviv37c699.97$258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$441.981060%6 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.17per pick43cpaid+29.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7833…3f14backed BC Dubai63c629.69$397 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39710%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Maccabi Tel Aviv39c616.61$238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$378.5127557.5%158 W · 117 L+12.2wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+11.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb52c…450cbacked BC Dubai60c592.01$355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$355.21966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Maccabi Tel Aviv38c591.58$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$367.1431446.2%145 W · 169 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Maccabi Tel Aviv36c500$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3201662.5%10 W · 6 L+2.2wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+33.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5df3…bb17backed Maccabi Tel Aviv40c500$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3005450%27 W · 27 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+14.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7f7…2abfbacked Maccabi Tel Aviv37c437.59$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.797139.4%28 W · 43 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick36cpaid-3.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Maccabi Tel Aviv68c401.55$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.723834.2%13 W · 25 L-3.6wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-47.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed BC Dubai60c390$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2342548%12 W · 13 L-2.5wins-0.10per pick58cpaid+49.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked BC Dubai47c363$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.4818144.2%80 W · 101 L-10.3wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-21.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x95b8…47c9backed Maccabi Tel Aviv41c333.32$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.161050%5 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8efe…7b44backed Maccabi Tel Aviv41c316.05$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.47742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9738backed Maccabi Tel Aviv37c300$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1898344.6%37 W · 46 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Maccabi Tel Aviv38c295.79$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.0110945.9%50 W · 59 L-5.7wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-13.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3228…b4e3backed BC Dubai47c283.46$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.5120%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6723…a540backed Maccabi Tel Aviv42c264.44$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.9250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+18.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked Maccabi Tel Aviv53c252.03$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.651662.5%10 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+5.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed BC Dubai60c238$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.984454.5%24 W · 20 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0be2…d514backed Maccabi Tel Aviv38c200$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124850%4 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+34.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6519…76cabacked BC Dubai29c200$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$584050%20 W · 20 L+2.6wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-4.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5942…5641backed Maccabi Tel Aviv37c173.02$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1091060%6 W · 4 L+2.4wins+0.24per pick36cpaid+59.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd2dd…ea96backed Maccabi Tel Aviv43c168.37$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.54785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.26per pick59cpaid+49.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked BC Dubai60c159.32$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.5943543.7%190 W · 245 L+9.3wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed BC Dubai59c149.99$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.2734344.3%152 W · 191 L-16.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-9.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x13f9…3ab4backed Maccabi Tel Aviv39c137.47$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.86742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Maccabi Tel Aviv66c134.4$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.6531651.6%163 W · 153 L+14.0wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-3.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x23fe…9788backed BC Dubai59c133.34$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.771833.3%6 W · 12 L-3.5wins-0.19per pick53cpaid-39.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xed3f…0ab8backed Maccabi Tel Aviv41c122$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.98966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+39.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1b83…1f0bbacked Maccabi Tel Aviv39c119.37$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.37425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-35.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb852…2767backed BC Dubai61c114$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.5410%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5388…4d5abacked BC Dubai60c100$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6020%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x34d6…18afbacked BC Dubai59c97.06$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.25per pick58cpaid-24.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb327…0fccbacked BC Dubai59c83.9$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.5728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.24per pick53cpaid-43.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe48c…163abacked BC Dubai60c83.83$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501030%3 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.20per pick50cpaid-40%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1313…866abacked BC Dubai61c75$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.8728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.27per pick56cpaid-54.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1393…8392backed Maccabi Tel Aviv37c75$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.25862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+29.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x470e…07c0backed Maccabi Tel Aviv38c72$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.64955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+50.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x29bd…80c9backed BC Dubai54c70$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.5862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.20per pick43cpaid+51.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x70a1…978abacked BC Dubai59c69.92$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4112041.7%50 W · 70 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7163…3601backed BC Dubai29c65$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.074369.8%30 W · 13 L+7.6wins+0.18per pick52cpaid+26.2%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xbac4…8214backed Maccabi Tel Aviv40c63.42$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.051100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe406…4cc1backed Maccabi Tel Aviv40c62.5$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.5475%3 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.30per pick45cpaid+86.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x581b…0290backed Maccabi Tel Aviv40c62$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.24100%4 W · 0 L+1.8wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+104.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfc6b…54acbacked Maccabi Tel Aviv40c58.99$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xeecc…6930backed Maccabi Tel Aviv63c57.28$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.391526.7%4 W · 11 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-36.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8046…a845backed BC Dubai35c56$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.481947.4%9 W · 10 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick41cpaid-7.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xba36…52d0backed Maccabi Tel Aviv39c56$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.16650%3 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+38.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc52f…6200backed Maccabi Tel Aviv39c54.58$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.291100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+156.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x56e6…45e9backed BC Dubai60c54.39$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.63520%1 W · 4 L-2.0wins-0.39per pick59cpaid-66.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xb100…dce6backed Maccabi Tel Aviv39c52$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.72250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+28.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc54f…dce8backed Maccabi Tel Aviv30c49.4$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.584143.9%18 W · 23 L+7.2wins+0.18per pick26cpaid+69%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x7563…1fb3backed Maccabi Tel Aviv41c48$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.32650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4502…2f4dbacked Maccabi Tel Aviv42c47.62$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.62850%4 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-14.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9783…0507backed BC Dubai60c46.25$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0552…0e17backed BC Dubai62c46.17$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.6310%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x61c9…c689backed BC Dubai62c45.19$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.0210%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc938…af43backed Maccabi Tel Aviv41c45$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.551250%6 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+25%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xadac…33f3backed BC Dubai64c44.41$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.6310%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a30…d16cbacked BC Dubai62c44.06$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.3210%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf370…784bbacked Maccabi Tel Aviv39c40.82$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.91100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+156.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6c0d…afc2backed Maccabi Tel Aviv40c40.17$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.11100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6c82…6150backed Maccabi Tel Aviv39c40$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.49255.4%51 W · 41 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd65…3e60backed BC Dubai63c39.68$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259756.7%55 W · 42 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-4.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd243…2dcfbacked Maccabi Tel Aviv38c39.47$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.473043.3%13 W · 17 L-2.3wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-12.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf795…e90bbacked BC Dubai48c39.36$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.7420%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2e94…9467backed BC Dubai63c38.65$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.351090%9 W · 1 L+2.1wins+0.21per pick69cpaid+30.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x44cc…55fbbacked BC Dubai63c37.2$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f8e…d823backed BC Dubai62c35.25$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.8610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b56…804abacked Maccabi Tel Aviv41c34.81$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.691100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+146.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb736…1946backed BC Dubai61c34$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.74520%1 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.34per pick54cpaid-43.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa50f…f999backed BC Dubai59c33.9$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201330.8%4 W · 9 L-3.4wins-0.26per pick57cpaid-46.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x216f…9b1ebacked Maccabi Tel Aviv40c33$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.8560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+14.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xedb5…ce8ebacked BC Dubai62c32.26$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201070%7 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.15per pick55cpaid+49.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x530d…9b59backed BC Dubai63c31.95$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+45.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x646d…f11cbacked Maccabi Tel Aviv40c31.85$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.111100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xecd6…d4dfbacked BC Dubai63c29$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.27425%1 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.36per pick61cpaid-65.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8865…2008backed Maccabi Tel Aviv73c28$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.66771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick62cpaid+7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc297…b0d2backed BC Dubai62c27.42$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17825%2 W · 6 L-3.2wins-0.40per pick65cpaid-65.4%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x85a4…7412backed Maccabi Tel Aviv40c25$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153243.8%14 W · 18 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x749b…48d8backed BC Dubai61c25$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.25333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.32per pick65cpaid-55%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.