Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Karmine Corp vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT EMEA Clash Group Alpha
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xffdaaff8a5c7556d5070508cff9a55e23c61fb3cc02c0d14334836238f337065
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- FUT Esportsof Karmine Corp, FUT Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,673
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,876
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,673 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee8e…0a7bbacked Karmine Corp | 64c | 6,378$4,051 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,051.28 | 781 | 62%484 W · 297 L | +16.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4762…ba70backed FUT Esports | 37c | 3,092$1,141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,950.7 | 135 | 58.5%79 W · 56 L | +11.3wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x69db…283abacked FUT Esports | 38c | 2,020$768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,252.25 | 361 | 38.5%139 W · 222 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b07…96febacked Karmine Corp | 1c | 1,998$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67b6…00bcbacked Karmine Corp | 50c | 1,535$768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$767.66 | 267 | 38.2%102 W · 165 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked FUT Esports | 51c | 1,128$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$557.88 | 1,417 | 51.3%727 W · 690 L | +49.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Karmine Corp | 56c | 1,118$623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$622.64 | 1,358 | 39%530 W · 828 L | -57.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6fbb…39dabacked FUT Esports | 44c | 933.51$407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$526.04 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +5.4wins | +0.23per pick | 46cpaid | +68.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5e…4e1abacked FUT Esports | 41c | 733.8$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.94 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -27%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e15…7531backed Karmine Corp | 59c | 733.8$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432.94 | 333 | 48.3%161 W · 172 L | +13.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed FUT Esports | 33c | 619.1$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.68 | 275 | 46.2%127 W · 148 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed FUT Esports | 38c | 472.75$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.41 | 1,746 | 46.2%806 W · 940 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1918…9568backed Karmine Corp | 56c | 399.98$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.99 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked FUT Esports | 39c | 307.99$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.87 | 235 | 48.5%114 W · 121 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked FUT Esports | 47c | 274.48$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.56 | 1,376 | 47.1%648 W · 728 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ba7…c92fbacked FUT Esports | 43c | 272.12$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.17 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +181.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed FUT Esports | 39c | 255$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.57 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…d11fbacked Karmine Corp | 44c | 211.73$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.34 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -4.1wins | -0.27per pick | 41cpaid | -73.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x24ca…5829backed Karmine Corp | 66c | 207$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.9 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -3.8wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8b55…d74bbacked FUT Esports | 17c | 199.99$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.99 | 867 | 47.5%412 W · 455 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96ec…fcc4backed Karmine Corp | 50c | 193$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.5 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14a0…22bbbacked Karmine Corp | 69c | 187.47$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.57 | 137 | 59.9%82 W · 55 L | -7.6wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb66…c8dfbacked FUT Esports | 37c | 162$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.06 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…8be8backed FUT Esports | 35c | 161.93$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.19 | 147 | 57.8%85 W · 62 L | +13.3wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed FUT Esports | 37c | 155$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.65 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -3.1wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed Karmine Corp | 63c | 153.94$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.98 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Karmine Corp | 27c | 149$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.91 | 182 | 41.2%75 W · 107 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe7…1311backed Karmine Corp | 61c | 130.16$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.4 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -8.0wins | -0.26per pick | 58cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xc0d4…0289backed FUT Esports | 53c | 129.33$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.33 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd055…28d0backed FUT Esports | 43c | 119.99$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.4 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Karmine Corp | 61c | 115.97$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.85 | 348 | 47.4%165 W · 183 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18f3…0c20backed FUT Esports | 38c | 110$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.2 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Karmine Corp | 52c | 105.76$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.89 | 664 | 38.1%253 W · 411 L | -31.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0705…41ebbacked FUT Esports | 50c | 105$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.5 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.19per pick | 43cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…221ebacked Karmine Corp | 62c | 100$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.5 | 257 | 45.9%118 W · 139 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6bd…dd13backed FUT Esports | 60c | 88.65$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.63 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 72cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Karmine Corp | 46c | 84.98$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.17 | 61 | 31.1%19 W · 42 L | -6.9wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed FUT Esports | 50c | 82$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c90…cd7bbacked FUT Esports | 22c | 81.28$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.64 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +122.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5edb…92fbbacked FUT Esports | 64c | 78.68$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +57.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1f…aa39backed FUT Esports | 71c | 77.2$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.39 | 75 | 65.3%49 W · 26 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed Karmine Corp | 62c | 75$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.5 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2654…b45fbacked FUT Esports | 52c | 69.71$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.13 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7447…91ecbacked FUT Esports | 44c | 68$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.08 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc101…98edbacked FUT Esports | 68c | 64.76$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x588b…fb2dbacked Karmine Corp | 62c | 62.34$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94a1…2075backed FUT Esports | 39c | 60.6$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.97 | 238 | 47.9%114 W · 124 L | +14.8wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Karmine Corp | 33c | 60$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 149 | 57.7%86 W · 63 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed FUT Esports | 44c | 60$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.6 | 236 | 44.9%106 W · 130 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f83…360bbacked Karmine Corp | 68c | 51.58$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…c5f6backed FUT Esports | 28c | 50$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed FUT Esports | 33c | 49.86$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.34 | 255 | 56.1%143 W · 112 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebe2…e4d2backed FUT Esports | 44c | 45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.2 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Karmine Corp | 38c | 39.82$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.27 | 109 | 59.6%65 W · 44 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x166c…93ecbacked FUT Esports | 42c | 36.45$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +137.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a0c…3ccebacked FUT Esports | 45c | 23.78$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.08 | 73 | 52.1%38 W · 35 L | +7.8wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x72f7…4345backed Karmine Corp | 76c | 22.49$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5747…7fdfbacked Karmine Corp | 66c | 15.06$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 628 | 56.4%354 W · 274 L | -10.6wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Karmine Corp vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT EMEA Clash Group Alphathis page
- Valorant: Karmine Corp vs FUT Esports - Map 2 WinnerFUT Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.