TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs G2 - Map 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Natus Vincereof Natus Vincere, G2
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$185,087

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $185,087 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 107 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb489…de6bbacked G20c55,055$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.0610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed G211c5,551$594 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$594.34,22849.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L+59.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed G216c4,376$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$700.32,06641.5%858 W · 1,208 L-49.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e38…de0fbacked Natus Vincere77c2,285$1,753 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$531.4615760.5%95 W · 62 L+15.8wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+10.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xcbd2…f8a0backed G240c2,000$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80018752.4%98 W · 89 L-0.7wins0.00per pick53cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f76…5a0fbacked G248c1,881$910 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9101442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b07…96febacked G27c1,800$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118464.3%2 W · 44 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick8cpaid-74.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x71fa…c7e1backed Natus Vincere50c1,763$887 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$876.482339.1%9 W · 14 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick33cpaid+35.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd92d…e560backed G214c1,700$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23058651%299 W · 287 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked G214c1,500$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21061228.9%177 W · 435 L-9.2wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed G210c1,337$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.581,37845.2%623 W · 755 L+17.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed G28c1,000$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.81,27821.9%280 W · 998 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcdca…66ebbacked Natus Vincere57c1,000$572 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$427.8428443.7%124 W · 160 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x22ae…af00backed G221c926.21$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.3126451.5%136 W · 128 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x41a3…017dbacked Natus Vincere65c916.67$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$316.6745162.3%281 W · 170 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe8a…23cebacked Natus Vincere79c878.89$696 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.732,21447.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L-5.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-14.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4687…8d42backed Natus Vincere57c875.91$499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$376.9152947.1%249 W · 280 L-14.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x300b…8e51backed G29c799.99$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.641716.5%69 W · 348 L-12.1wins-0.03per pick19cpaid-31.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc694…1171backed G215c783.92$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.1247641.6%198 W · 278 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-13.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa484…24c1backed G25c778.97$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.9320%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x994d…3d8dbacked G220c600$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12252834.3%181 W · 347 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5aa4…16e3backed G243c599.98$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257.9976546.7%357 W · 408 L-13.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked G254c591.76$321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321.475,05055.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L+117.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f4f…46c2backed Natus Vincere51c552.44$282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.739851.3%204 W · 194 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a78…add7backed G218c506.84$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.231,96946.7%919 W · 1,050 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0362…2af9backed G228c500$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14013556.3%76 W · 59 L+5.3wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+2.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed G212c472.53$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.066,48042.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L-79.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37f8…b5e5backed G212c469.77$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.8844743.8%196 W · 251 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a71…e454backed G255c462.73$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25424944.6%111 W · 138 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec0e…672cbacked G225c461$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.1347738.4%183 W · 294 L-26.7wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-31.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed G219c453$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.535,28731.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L-383.3wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3f97…4059backed Natus Vincere45c452.71$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248.9946149.9%230 W · 231 L-1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d31…0286backed G238c447.37$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1701127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.0wins-0.18per pick45cpaid-34.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc0c2…b14dbacked G211c385.59$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.3459647.3%282 W · 314 L+8.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-7.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0bf6…0d60backed G214c362.4$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.7412439.5%49 W · 75 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2be6…e054backed G26c345.42$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.274714.9%7 W · 40 L-3.9wins-0.08per pick23cpaid-52.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd56b…342dbacked G250c300.12$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.0611443%49 W · 65 L-12.0wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-24.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x093c…2ef4backed G220c276.64$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.74911.1%1 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick21cpaid-70%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x65e8…67e2backed G242c269.98$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.391827.8%5 W · 13 L-2.1wins-0.12per pick40cpaid-33.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x338c…1b33backed Natus Vincere56c267.86$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.8616947.9%81 W · 88 L-6.7wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Natus Vincere74c266.03$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.411,67651.1%857 W · 819 L+21.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f9c…101cbacked Natus Vincere68c265.63$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$856952.2%36 W · 33 L-9.6wins-0.14per pick66cpaid-22.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked G213c257.36$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.463,22551.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L+88.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9942…5c84backed Natus Vincere60c250$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10032653.1%173 W · 153 L-1.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked G249c224.23$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.871,61145.4%731 W · 880 L+30.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-14.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa535…6b04backed G214c217.39$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302133.3%7 W · 14 L-4.8wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-44.5%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0x0e5e…67c5backed G246c214.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.6430527.5%84 W · 221 L-17.6wins-0.06per pick33cpaid-18.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xab35…60f6backed G210c200$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205534.5%19 W · 36 L+3.4wins+0.06per pick28cpaid-22.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa76e…dcb6backed Natus Vincere47c200$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1061,31053.7%703 W · 607 L+32.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed Natus Vincere79c196.22$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.9588746.7%414 W · 473 L+8.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-15.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb8a4…ab0ebacked G210c179.9$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.994613%6 W · 40 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick10cpaid+17.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Natus Vincere75c178.59$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.8729547.8%141 W · 154 L+10.7wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-11.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3fd1…17ccbacked G214c177.43$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.477428.4%21 W · 53 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-29.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc8ad…be4ebacked G249c171$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.7925651.2%131 W · 125 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xfb08…06acbacked G248c166.63$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$808351.8%43 W · 40 L-6.9wins-0.08per pick60cpaid-18.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked G250c152.27$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.531,71446.7%801 W · 913 L+1.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb20…b9c0backed G29c150$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.58338.6%32 W · 51 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Natus Vincere42c146.3$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.851,57335.3%556 W · 1,017 L+22.5wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc093…de0ebacked G249c142.37$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.768447.6%40 W · 44 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3938…c6cbbacked G220c128.69$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.256256.5%35 W · 27 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-10.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed G240c125$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5096543.5%420 W · 545 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-15.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d7f…86d2backed G215c124.94$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.8917836.5%65 W · 113 L+0.1wins0.00per pick36cpaid-16.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x423f…eedcbacked G223c120$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.640655.7%226 W · 180 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7951…bb41backed G246c119.99$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.297040.7%395 W · 575 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8617…49e5backed G220c101.58$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203426.5%9 W · 25 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-34.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked G214c100$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142,77637.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L-140.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-20.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed G216c100$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162,77424.5%681 W · 2,093 L-295.8wins-0.11per pick35cpaid-50.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xd18d…768cbacked Natus Vincere70c100$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3011047.3%52 W · 58 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa0af…3b75backed G250c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5018342.1%77 W · 106 L-7.1wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa83a…34d6backed G210c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1020332.5%66 W · 137 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6fcd…42f2backed Natus Vincere57c99.99$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4363541.1%261 W · 374 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4baa…fd17backed Natus Vincere54c92.59$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.591957.9%11 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Natus Vincere50c88.56$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.561,71052.3%895 W · 815 L-73.4wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-8.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xaf16…65a6backed Natus Vincere58c86.21$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.2123557.4%135 W · 100 L-12.0wins-0.05per pick63cpaid-8.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0c57…bf46backed G249c85.71$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$423847.4%18 W · 20 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d61…eb8ebacked G214c80$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.0481246.2%375 W · 437 L-35.8wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Natus Vincere45c78.55$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.235,51147%2,590 W · 2,921 L+42.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf91e…7e0bbacked Natus Vincere49c77.12$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.1253859.3%319 W · 219 L+18.2wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+6.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4177…a2b4backed G254c64.81$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351,24841.3%516 W · 732 L+5.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed G223c62.87$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.364,03848.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x42b8…5379backed G250c62.78$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.3931452.2%164 W · 150 L-10.8wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-6.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa775…ab33backed G230c60$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1819554.4%106 W · 89 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3726…8521backed Natus Vincere55c57.1$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.698145.7%37 W · 44 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xddad…bce1backed Natus Vincere80c55$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1122252.7%117 W · 105 L-6.7wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf38c…d9f2backed G255c54.73$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3052449%257 W · 267 L-27.7wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-11.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x62d5…76eabacked G249c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.53842.1%16 W · 22 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked Natus Vincere57c50$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.549745.9%228 W · 269 L-10.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-16.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6c82…6150backed G250c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2519155.5%106 W · 85 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5541…f1e3backed G250c48$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2419150.8%97 W · 94 L-0.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd030…bcf3backed G243c46.51$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208957.3%51 W · 38 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x619e…22d7backed G226c43.06$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick28cpaid-35%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Natus Vincere57c42$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.0648948.7%238 W · 251 L-0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-12.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb3c5…f095backed Natus Vincere50c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2060358.5%353 W · 250 L-12.5wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa717…3bbebacked Natus Vincere54c39.19$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.0338452.1%200 W · 184 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b60…76d5backed Natus Vincere59c36.2$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.9337841.8%158 W · 220 L-33.1wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-30.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc6c3…a6e8backed G241c35.92$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.7726249.2%129 W · 133 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x5056…db7dbacked G245c34.87$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.695453.7%29 W · 25 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed G231c33.92$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.572,10216.8%353 W · 1,749 L-286.5wins-0.14per pick30cpaid-47.2%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0x7f65…d822backed G249c30.61$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159443.6%41 W · 53 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-8.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f3a…7dcbbacked G249c30.61$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1517659.7%105 W · 71 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.