CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2f967e8fa9786b033679f3e1b337292d5f562cd47092d8600b68896cd2ad0555
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,985
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,985 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Under | 54c | 1,903$1,035 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,034.6 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Over | 57c | 1,106$634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$471.81 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 36c | 1,088$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$695.25 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Under | 42c | 951.71$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.46 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Over | 37c | 901.61$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$564.33 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Under | 54c | 462$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.48 | 172 | 30.8%53 W · 119 L | -9.7wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed Under | 50c | 158$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79 | 1,310 | 53.7%703 W · 607 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Under | 52c | 110$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.2 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaadb…85f9backed Over | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 259 | 41.3%107 W · 152 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Under | 48c | 96.15$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.15 | 1,573 | 35.3%556 W · 1,017 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Over | 69c | 80$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.8 | 527 | 55.8%294 W · 233 L | +23.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5541…f1e3backed Over | 51c | 48.77$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.77 | 191 | 50.8%97 W · 94 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8471…e4f0backed Over | 50c | 44$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Under | 49c | 41.84$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 872 | 44.8%391 W · 481 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69db…283abacked Under | 55c | 41.41$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.78 | 183 | 36.6%67 W · 116 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ee…5c4abacked Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 91 | 42.9%39 W · 52 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Over | 46c | 34.16$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.56 | 388 | 44.6%173 W · 215 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf07…4a12backed Over | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 347 | 42.9%149 W · 198 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x079f…a9d1backed Under | 59c | 29$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.11 | 274 | 43.1%118 W · 156 L | -10.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x937d…4ce7backed Under | 47c | 27.18$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc85b…8b98backed Over | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -4.5wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe8d1…6288backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a34…e379backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 55 | 63.6%35 W · 20 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d85…c436backed Under | 57c | 19.74$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 219 | 56.2%123 W · 96 L | +14.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +10%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs G2 (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2G2 won
- Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs G2 - Map 1 WinnerNatus Vincere won
- Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs G2 - Map 2 WinnerG2 won
- Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs G2 (+1.5)G2 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.