Euroleague · resolved market
Euro Basket: Greece vs Israel
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4fdf9cdc55a4206d07bb1a14998599c8a685140b73719336035b429a7eca925c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Greeceof Greece, Israel
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $46,209
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $53,031
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $46,209 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Euroleague | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1cbf…3fa7backed Israel | 17c | 4,100$698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$698 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Israel | 20c | 3,610$722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$721.94 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 21cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Israel | 1c | 3,219$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.69 | 159 | 8.2%13 W · 146 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -66.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60cc…f0dfbacked Israel | 27c | 3,000$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$810 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff1…98d7backed Greece | 80c | 2,906$2,323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$583.37 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa9…2491backed Israel | 16c | 2,223$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.87 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c9…2c23backed Greece | 73c | 2,216$1,618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$598.39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20b9…9110backed Israel | 26c | 2,136$545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$545.41 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +50%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ca…b467backed Greece | 75c | 1,500$1,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31e0…94b0backed Greece | 77c | 1,471$1,134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.38 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d0…5c32backed Israel | 25c | 1,200$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 23cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c52…2b23backed Greece | 79c | 1,197$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.34 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c0…69d0backed Israel | 27c | 1,126$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60e6…9e8abacked Greece | 73c | 999.99$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8017…6c1cbacked Israel | 28c | 936.97$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.61 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +2.8wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +115.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Israel | 16c | 722.63$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.27 | 343 | 44.3%152 W · 191 L | -16.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb852…bfaebacked Israel | 22c | 581.48$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.46 | 57 | 24.6%14 W · 43 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd313…a320backed Greece | 80c | 562.56$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.56 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b8f…ef1bbacked Greece | 78c | 533.94$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.99 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 75cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7429…7c3dbacked Greece | 77c | 519.92$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.8 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe471…c87cbacked Israel | 21c | 480$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.8 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe378…4cecbacked Greece | 74c | 459.26$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.31 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd4a…048ebacked Israel | 24c | 409.39$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.25 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -33%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9738backed Greece | 78c | 400.23$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.34 | 83 | 44.6%37 W · 46 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Israel | 23c | 400.14$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.82 | 91 | 36.3%33 W · 58 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa90b…0789backed Israel | 25c | 397.2$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44d6…aafdbacked Greece | 77c | 390.08$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.08 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -35%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1614…ec02backed Israel | 26c | 341.11$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.5 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef5…39edbacked Greece | 76c | 329.34$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.34 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe300…8a97backed Israel | 12c | 303$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x032a…2b2cbacked Israel | 27c | 272$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.44 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +48.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x301d…05f2backed Greece | 79c | 220.38$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.38 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +148.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb4…0c34backed Israel | 24c | 200$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +2.9wins | +0.29per pick | 31cpaid | +80.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Israel | 23c | 199.56$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.86 | 273 | 38.1%104 W · 169 L | +10.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7eee…b4b2backed Israel | 21c | 164.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.7 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce9f…ee16backed Israel | 19c | 157.89$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x521b…db60backed Greece | 73c | 149.99$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.5 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +67.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdff9…b6f7backed Greece | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfaf4…b8e3backed Greece | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cf6…208fbacked Israel | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c53…cba8backed Israel | 25c | 100.6$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +66.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfde5…676cbacked Greece | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41e0…121dbacked Greece | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e5…c1c2backed Israel | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb89…9469backed Israel | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb042…998ebacked Israel | 25c | 99.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb867…169dbacked Greece | 79c | 91.04$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.56 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfdb…7a75backed Greece | 78c | 89.96$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.96 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f02…1b48backed Israel | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1a…7c47backed Israel | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ef4…0293backed Greece | 78c | 59.51$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.14 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +57.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x38a0…16e9backed Israel | 20c | 55$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 24cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Greece | 80c | 55$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7504…23a8backed Greece | 79c | 50.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04f7…3e56backed Greece | 79c | 49.28$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Israel | 21c | 48$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 121 | 36.4%44 W · 77 L | +5.9wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e49…ec1bbacked Greece | 77c | 42.86$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.86 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeec9…be9dbacked Greece | 74c | 40.54$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f8e…9c43backed Israel | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d48…66abbacked Greece | 73c | 35.62$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.62 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +59.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef23…9971backed Greece | 77c | 32.53$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.53 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3d…235fbacked Greece | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d8c…e634backed Greece | 79c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.25 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a54…e581backed Greece | 74c | 22.97$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e0d…82babacked Greece | 78c | 15.06$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.