Bundesliga · resolved market
Bayern München vs. FC St. Pauli: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3a83aea4fa820423aa5f204ea7de5f7348d7fb5a0ca623f5007cbef7154372a2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $71,247
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $81,220
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $71,247 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 84 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 49c | 20,132$9,912 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,912.23 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bf4…952ebacked Over | 55c | 13,110$7,164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,945.66 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Over | 54c | 11,090$5,989 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,101.38 | 74 | 47.3%35 W · 39 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 47c | 9,628$4,508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,507.58 | 751 | 42.5%319 W · 432 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5993…33a2backed Over | 56c | 5,464$3,077 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,386.3 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 44c | 3,314$1,460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,853.7 | 536 | 45.9%246 W · 290 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 45c | 2,184$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$989.9 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 46c | 2,098$965 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$964.91 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 25c | 1,575$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.45 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa645…0be6backed Over | 55c | 1,516$834 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$682.31 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.27per pick | 36cpaid | +80%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Under | 48c | 1,247$602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$602.22 | 511 | 36.8%188 W · 323 L | -28.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Under | 46c | 1,111$511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$511.06 | 157 | 42%66 W · 91 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Over | 54c | 925.93$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.93 | 187 | 59.4%111 W · 76 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe78e…55f0backed Over | 55c | 669.81$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.41 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed Under | 42c | 500$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 150 | 24%36 W · 114 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x933a…d3c1backed Over | 57c | 499.99$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.38per pick | 22cpaid | +399.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Under | 45c | 499.99$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 110 | 36.4%40 W · 70 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x172d…6f3ebacked Over | 63c | 398.6$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.6 | 90 | 62.2%56 W · 34 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 46c | 383.98$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.23 | 447 | 49.4%221 W · 226 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfde0…c21cbacked Over | 55c | 369.52$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Under | 45c | 366.91$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.44 | 110 | 40.9%45 W · 65 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85e2…0980backed Under | 57c | 350.88$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over | 59c | 309.34$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.05 | 141 | 57.4%81 W · 60 L | +8.4wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda0f…f0e7backed Over | 48c | 305$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.7 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +5.4wins | +0.19per pick | 33cpaid | +257.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0a…0809backed Under | 40c | 300$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | -4.8wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xea68…ff92backed Under | 52c | 300$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over | 68c | 250$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe47b…1b4bbacked Over | 54c | 200$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.2wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +99.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x78a4…ea47backed Over | 55c | 199.27$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.67 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Over | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 199 | 43.2%86 W · 113 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Under | 46c | 189.78$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.3 | 333 | 40.8%136 W · 197 L | -14.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19bc…7d78backed Under | 48c | 188.26$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.91 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +12%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe333…cf5fbacked Over | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96ec…fcc4backed Over | 54c | 180$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.8 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +2.8wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca7…ce3bbacked Under | 49c | 179.35$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x024e…2e48backed Over | 45c | 170$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.9 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Over | 55c | 167$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.54 | 185 | 45.9%85 W · 100 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76da…30a2backed Over | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe300…8a97backed Over | 34c | 147.06$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.06 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +117.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc460…0aa4backed Over | 55c | 145.45$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.45 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -3.4wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd1af…f6c1backed Over | 67c | 141.34$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.64 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +71.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d9…d7f5backed Over | 55c | 136.36$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.36 | 30 | 16.7%5 W · 25 L | -3.6wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x68df…4320backed Over | 54c | 129$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf676…b039backed Over | 60c | 125$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 47cpaid | +31%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 44c | 116$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.56 | 762 | 34.8%265 W · 497 L | +9.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Under | 38c | 107.4$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.26 | 165 | 42.4%70 W · 95 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…2da5backed Over | 44c | 102.27$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Under | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 93 | 50.5%47 W · 46 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Under | 46c | 99.87$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.13 | 43 | 27.9%12 W · 31 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x051c…f25dbacked Over | 55c | 91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.95 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x485f…f682backed Over | 58c | 85.95$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +71.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc32e…203dbacked Over | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.13 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9b…e74abacked Under | 46c | 76.09$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 95 | 42.1%40 W · 55 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc6…bfb4backed Over | 54c | 74.07$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.07 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5dc…48bbbacked Over | 55c | 73.75$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.19 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5825…4ffbbacked Over | 57c | 70.18$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.18 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78ab…b958backed Under | 66c | 70$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb89…46f1backed Under | 43c | 69.29$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.79 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe398…ee2ebacked Over | 63c | 67.77$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.77 | 36 | 88.9%32 W · 4 L | +8.1wins | +0.23per pick | 66cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x6344…0602backed Under | 64c | 67$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51f6…368cbacked Under | 78c | 64.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 44c | 62.84$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.39 | 782 | 48.8%382 W · 400 L | -28.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb0…8826backed Over | 49c | 59.18$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.18 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +5.0wins | +0.16per pick | 45cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x98ce…5e1dbacked Under | 46c | 56.93$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.19 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0d…79cbbacked Over | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.56 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5c…b3f2backed Under | 45c | 54.67$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.7 | 101 | 50.5%51 W · 50 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x652b…813dbacked Over | 59c | 50.85$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Over | 55c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 91 | 73.6%67 W · 24 L | +5.9wins | +0.07per pick | 67cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f1…6349backed Over | 55c | 49.09$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.09 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +57.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed Under | 46c | 47.39$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.8 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9a9c…598dbacked Over | 55c | 45.45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.45 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x406c…bdc6backed Under | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe947…2cf3backed Over | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 68cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0655…faf8backed Over | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 35 | 71.4%25 W · 10 L | +4.8wins | +0.14per pick | 58cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6fc8…8198backed Over | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefb2…b043backed Over | 59c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.3 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 62cpaid | +22%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8460…0c1fbacked Under | 43c | 27.65$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.89 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf23a…6eb8backed Over | 52c | 26.9$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac27…18e7backed Over | 65c | 26.15$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.15 | 78 | 67.9%53 W · 25 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9d3…93ebbacked Over | 64c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +55.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa916…4f30backed Over | 55c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc38d…48e3backed Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.21per pick | 69cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed0…b051backed Under | 67c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeedf…1483backed Over | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Bayern München vs. FC St. Pauli: O/U 3.5this page
- Bayern München vs. FC St. Pauli: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Bayern München vs. FC St. Pauli: O/U 1.5Over won
- Bayern München vs. FC St. Pauli: O/U 2.5Over won
- Spread: Bayern München (-2.5)FC St. Pauli won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.