Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on April 11?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x83442bd54948faeb443a039f16411693373bcefb7b86b19ed4bd732bac8db866
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,093
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,151
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,093 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 85 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x83a3…4d2bbacked Yes | 40c | 823.1$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$491.22 | 81 | 51.9%42 W · 39 L | +6.6wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4e3c…eba1backed No | 19c | 552.47$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.83 | 134 | 53.7%72 W · 62 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x292a…5d78backed No | 61c | 498.01$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.53 | 93 | 33.3%31 W · 62 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -26%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 52c | 420.5$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.76 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8dc…f31fbacked Yes | 46c | 372.1$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.35 | 4,525 | 26.7%1,206 W · 3,319 L | +62.2wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc239…6459backed No | 59c | 324.58$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.7 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 34c | 235.64$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa2…5a0bbacked Yes | 56c | 216.93$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.23 | 1,420 | 58.7%833 W · 587 L | +69.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1361…f12bbacked Yes | 38c | 209.35$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.96 | 1,924 | 33.8%651 W · 1,273 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e36…508fbacked No | 63c | 196.47$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.87 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1fa…047dbacked Yes | 42c | 189.97$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.08 | 94 | 28.7%27 W · 67 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x76a6…b7dcbacked Yes | 43c | 188.59$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.58 | 148 | 34.5%51 W · 97 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd80a…c714backed Yes | 36c | 176.23$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.29 | 1,977 | 18.8%371 W · 1,606 L | +8.0wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x710d…02aabacked Yes | 55c | 173.31$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 340 | 67.4%229 W · 111 L | +24.4wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfd36…a832backed Yes | 36c | 170.58$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.69 | 650 | 43.4%282 W · 368 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88e2…d474backed No | 9c | 166.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 166 | 39.2%65 W · 101 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed No | 30c | 166.66$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2,001 | 38.4%768 W · 1,233 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51b3…16a2backed Yes | 38c | 158.21$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.66 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 59c | 150.5$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.5 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4c4…c488backed Yes | 47c | 150$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3182…4ff7backed No | 62c | 128.15$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.25 | 141 | 68.1%96 W · 45 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 71cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 27c | 122.22$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.49 | 2,119 | 36.1%764 W · 1,355 L | -12.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 53c | 113.16$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.45 | 4,120 | 60.8%2,506 W · 1,614 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2a1…20f9backed No | 44c | 110.35$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.76 | 340 | 57.1%194 W · 146 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe07e…0e7ebacked Yes | 36c | 107.38$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.72 | 334 | 50.6%169 W · 165 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb23f…af02backed Yes | 55c | 90.2$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.59 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 42cpaid | -59.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc9db…6789backed Yes | 36c | 89.4$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.45 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b4f…8fbcbacked Yes | 40c | 82.62$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.72 | 214 | 40.2%86 W · 128 L | +12.6wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ad7…347abacked Yes | 42c | 78.56$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.59 | 729 | 52.4%382 W · 347 L | +34.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 47c | 77.32$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.39 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x74ea…b265backed Yes | 40c | 67.62$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.64 | 211 | 42.7%90 W · 121 L | +8.9wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xced1…f456backed Yes | 46c | 65.69$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.57 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5d8…9dd0backed Yes | 59c | 64.08$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.24 | 123 | 30.1%37 W · 86 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4973…5527backed Yes | 78c | 63.19$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 300 | 46.7%140 W · 160 L | -8.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa55a…0c43backed Yes | 36c | 61.43$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.32 | 68 | 27.9%19 W · 49 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa28…c37ebacked Yes | 39c | 61.04$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.43 | 3,939 | 35.3%1,392 W · 2,547 L | +35.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3f…f038backed No | 42c | 60$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.1 | 661 | 41.8%276 W · 385 L | -12.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5644…ecbbbacked Yes | 62c | 58.04$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.85 | 237 | 38%90 W · 147 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8827…5d62backed No | 44c | 56.62$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.7 | 1,772 | 50.5%895 W · 877 L | +43.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed Yes | 31c | 55.58$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.51 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd04c…c640backed No | 63c | 55.33$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.62 | 233 | 49.8%116 W · 117 L | -15.7wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -27%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbf31…454abacked No | 61c | 55.27$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.71 | 191 | 52.9%101 W · 90 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc323…4408backed No | 62c | 54.74$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.02 | 335 | 67.5%226 W · 109 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 57c | 54.44$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.28 | 5,832 | 36.7%2,138 W · 3,694 L | +211.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf612…17fbbacked Yes | 40c | 50.51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.44 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Yes | 60c | 50.13$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.98 | 535 | 25.2%135 W · 400 L | -8.7wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e08…59d2backed Yes | 45c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2986…b3a9backed No | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2,995 | 31.4%940 W · 2,055 L | +41.6wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4de1…f822backed Yes | 57c | 49.39$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.24 | 194 | 30.4%59 W · 135 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6825…836abacked Yes | 71c | 48.7$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.36 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40eb…ade9backed Yes | 70c | 48.48$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.75 | 495 | 47.1%233 W · 262 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1685…97abbacked No | 39c | 47.38$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 167 | 40.1%67 W · 100 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0af…9fb9backed Yes | 40c | 45.78$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.47 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed Yes | 37c | 44.71$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.17 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x017c…00c3backed Yes | 39c | 44$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.84 | 250 | 42.4%106 W · 144 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb897…7007backed Yes | 35c | 43.48$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.26 | 110 | 38.2%42 W · 68 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98e9…2ea5backed No | 46c | 42.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.88 | 178 | 55.6%99 W · 79 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d72…5f50backed Yes | 70c | 40.74$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.22 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff18…da47backed Yes | 38c | 40.59$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.33 | 264 | 34.1%90 W · 174 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc8…6d81backed Yes | 60c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c9b…994dbacked Yes | 64c | 39.52$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.29 | 166 | 34.9%58 W · 108 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6526…9c80backed Yes | 41c | 37.72$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.4 | 123 | 37.4%46 W · 77 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16d9…f0b0backed Yes | 39c | 35.31$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.62 | 286 | 48.3%138 W · 148 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1534…c5e4backed Yes | 67c | 31.73$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.44 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.36per pick | 39cpaid | +126.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4248…60abbacked No | 62c | 31.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.73 | 2,219 | 58.7%1,303 W · 916 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae68…064abacked No | 62c | 31.48$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 2,555 | 63.8%1,631 W · 924 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb608…881ebacked Yes | 57c | 30.53$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.23 | 188 | 42.6%80 W · 108 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7ce…7f30backed No | 67c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.1 | 160 | 65.6%105 W · 55 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f1…abbbbacked Yes | 56c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9982…2822backed Yes | 34c | 29.85$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.7 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b05…d7a7backed No | 62c | 26.82$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.71 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab8a…8dc7backed Yes | 39c | 26.28$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.14 | 133 | 22.6%30 W · 103 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -26%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed No | 59c | 25.13$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.76 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd85…7a3dbacked No | 64c | 25$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.95 | 1,050 | 51.2%538 W · 512 L | -99.4wins | -0.09per pick | 61cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3887…9496backed No | 61c | 24.59$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 243 | 70%170 W · 73 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc0b…961fbacked No | 60c | 24.2$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.52 | 94 | 36.2%34 W · 60 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7cf…7825backed No | 64c | 23.44$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 289 | 54.3%157 W · 132 L | -8.1wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ea0…8e3bbacked Yes | 70c | 22.17$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.65 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x983d…27f9backed No | 60c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 69cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdfca…645abacked No | 62c | 19.23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.83 | 140 | 25.7%36 W · 104 L | -9.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd088…a3eabacked No | 61c | 19.22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.72 | 79 | 72.2%57 W · 22 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcca9…f47cbacked Yes | 58c | 18.03$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.57 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb423…c178backed No | 63c | 17.84$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.24 | 268 | 61.6%165 W · 103 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13e1…0805backed No | 63c | 16$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ffd…e7c6backed No | 65c | 15.29$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 516 | 31.6%163 W · 353 L | -29.4wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on April 11?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 76-77°F on April 11?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 78-79°F on April 11?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 80-81°F on April 11?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on April 11?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on April 11?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on April 11?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 90-91°F on April 11?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.