NHL · resolved market
KHL: Dinamo Minsk vs. Ak Bars Kazan
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfa392a638df09e09faec15966db7c12757df68965bc9a1bae0a970daae896632
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ak Bars Kazanof Dinamo Minsk, Ak Bars Kazan
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,734
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,488
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,734 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9eb2…c8bfbacked Ak Bars Kazan | 47c | 2,535$1,196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,338.33 | 38 | 65.8%25 W · 13 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa44a…88ecbacked Ak Bars Kazan | 46c | 609.68$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.4 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed Dinamo Minsk | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 69 | 31.9%22 W · 47 L | -8.3wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Dinamo Minsk | 56c | 442.01$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.51 | 831 | 49.5%411 W · 420 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29b1…f737backed Ak Bars Kazan | 39c | 403.14$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.92 | 284 | 47.9%136 W · 148 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Dinamo Minsk | 50c | 386$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.56 | 222 | 50.5%112 W · 110 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Dinamo Minsk | 57c | 349.99$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.5 | 519 | 49.5%257 W · 262 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Dinamo Minsk | 53c | 345$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.85 | 253 | 45.5%115 W · 138 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce71…54c9backed Dinamo Minsk | 46c | 299.97$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.99 | 78 | 42.3%33 W · 45 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b19…0c96backed Dinamo Minsk | 62c | 238.02$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea6a…3ee2backed Dinamo Minsk | 45c | 200.66$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.36 | 524 | 51%267 W · 257 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Dinamo Minsk | 43c | 171.34$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.79 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf938…1249backed Dinamo Minsk | 61c | 160.1$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.66 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 70cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa399…b304backed Dinamo Minsk | 63c | 151.27$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.59 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Dinamo Minsk | 54c | 126.64$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.39 | 1,028 | 53.2%547 W · 481 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4ec…1cc8backed Dinamo Minsk | 42c | 114.45$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.27 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0206…bf76backed Dinamo Minsk | 61c | 112.07$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.36 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +52.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Ak Bars Kazan | 70c | 73.65$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.1 | 1,384 | 47.1%652 W · 732 L | +25.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf73f…8ba0backed Ak Bars Kazan | 43c | 65.14$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.13 | 80 | 35%28 W · 52 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Dinamo Minsk | 61c | 61.75$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.67 | 425 | 58.6%249 W · 176 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc916…5403backed Dinamo Minsk | 57c | 59.62$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.98 | 139 | 54%75 W · 64 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bbc…3d8abacked Dinamo Minsk | 44c | 50.12$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.05 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1ff7…d3c9backed Dinamo Minsk | 52c | 49.42$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.49 | 62 | 67.7%42 W · 20 L | +5.4wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +10%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x30f1…3e81backed Dinamo Minsk | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d39…1ca7backed Ak Bars Kazan | 44c | 39.62$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.19 | 20 | 85%17 W · 3 L | +4.5wins | +0.23per pick | 62cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x332c…ae23backed Dinamo Minsk | 44c | 39.53$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Dinamo Minsk | 37c | 39.51$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.72 | 920 | 49.7%457 W · 463 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c80…6f38backed Ak Bars Kazan | 41c | 34.96$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.49 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc987…123abacked Ak Bars Kazan | 43c | 33.35$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.14 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +79.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9e4…24c2backed Ak Bars Kazan | 44c | 32.95$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.45 | 181 | 49.7%90 W · 91 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d06…5dddbacked Dinamo Minsk | 59c | 31.24$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.29 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96ef…d98abacked Ak Bars Kazan | 44c | 26.36$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.76 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.37per pick | 43cpaid | +124.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Ak Bars Kazan | 56c | 25.62$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.27 | 323 | 53.9%174 W · 149 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Dinamo Minsk | 55c | 22.18$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.23 | 97 | 59.8%58 W · 39 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20a8…d960backed Ak Bars Kazan | 47c | 21.68$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.53 | 366 | 62%227 W · 139 L | +39.1wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8728…0882backed Dinamo Minsk | 60c | 19.69$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.81 | 86 | 48.8%42 W · 44 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…9111backed Ak Bars Kazan | 72c | 19.34$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.51 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x976e…8453backed Dinamo Minsk | 65c | 15.57$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 46 | 69.6%32 W · 14 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.