Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Sporting CP win on 2026-04-29?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb2a456b4309f994c0065ada4131f487f0f7c31d0f831896d38b2dd201f12cd07
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $265,190
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $114,190
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $265,190 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9db8…2effbacked No | 6c | 20,227$1,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,086.97 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +56.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9977…3020backed No | 37c | 18,486$6,753 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,733.62 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 21c | 11,917$2,553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,363.99 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No | 17c | 7,840$1,339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,500.58 | 169 | 53.8%91 W · 78 L | +9.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 12c | 7,027$843 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,184.13 | 660 | 47.6%314 W · 346 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed No | 12c | 4,394$518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,875.66 | 187 | 43.9%82 W · 105 L | -11.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x490e…42f1backed No | 1c | 4,097$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,073.78 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 2cpaid | +4,221.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 11c | 4,086$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,630.5 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 12c | 3,386$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,971.21 | 920 | 43.4%399 W · 521 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 15c | 2,394$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,042.18 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 12c | 1,909$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,679.18 | 1,467 | 48%704 W · 763 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 9c | 1,732$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,577.42 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 12c | 1,654$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,459.1 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 14c | 1,541$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,325.17 | 1,107 | 47.7%528 W · 579 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8bc2…4c80backed Yes | 80c | 1,433$1,146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,146 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 12c | 1,000$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880 | 1,113 | 51%568 W · 545 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f01…0d90backed No | 11c | 1,000$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$890 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +94.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3322…7dc2backed No | 12c | 822.48$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$723.01 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +4.4wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked No | 12c | 816.48$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720.46 | 101 | 21.8%22 W · 79 L | -6.8wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddc…e874backed Yes | 8c | 747.3$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.21 | 104 | 30.8%32 W · 72 L | -12.8wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x650e…6d89backed Yes | 80c | 706.25$565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$565 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed No | 11c | 560$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$498.4 | 199 | 48.7%97 W · 102 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 12c | 531.92$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468.09 | 773 | 50.2%388 W · 385 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked No | 14c | 499.46$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.54 | 206 | 32%66 W · 140 L | -17.5wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8c95…8a0bbacked Yes | 80c | 470$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb442…bed7backed No | 11c | 454.54$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.54 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +65.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 8c | 413.66$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.69 | 940 | 43.7%411 W · 529 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae5…4f22backed Yes | 74c | 400$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked No | 38c | 385.95$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.34 | 233 | 48.1%112 W · 121 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed No | 11c | 375.27$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.5 | 398 | 52.5%209 W · 189 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed No | 12c | 355.19$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.57 | 236 | 49.2%116 W · 120 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 12c | 346.98$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.34 | 852 | 50.4%429 W · 423 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4829…97ebbacked Yes | 79c | 255.7$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f23…4761backed No | 11c | 234.52$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.52 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.71per pick | 29cpaid | +577.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3d6a…26f7backed No | 17c | 221.14$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.98 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 10c | 210.43$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.1 | 986 | 53.2%525 W · 461 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x576c…f218backed No | 12c | 166.65$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.66 | 132 | 52.3%69 W · 63 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96ef…d98abacked No | 13c | 164.04$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.72 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.52per pick | 23cpaid | +266.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x52f6…af63backed No | 13c | 158.84$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.48 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +134.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c4…df5fbacked No | 12c | 150$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132 | 116 | 57.8%67 W · 49 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39b2…9460backed No | 11c | 136.36$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.36 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 24cpaid | +53.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d21…92e5backed No | 12c | 130.42$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.75 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed No | 12c | 120$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.6 | 284 | 46.1%131 W · 153 L | -8.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22af…399abacked No | 23c | 105.69$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.24 | 86 | 19.8%17 W · 69 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x858d…9d9fbacked Yes | 73c | 102.74$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 12c | 100$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 351 | 54.7%192 W · 159 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa923…6704backed No | 12c | 86.83$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.41 | 273 | 52.7%144 W · 129 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf133…4811backed No | 12c | 84.14$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.76 | 136 | 28.7%39 W · 97 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc98f…a13fbacked Yes | 49c | 80$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.2 | 27 | 3.7%1 W · 26 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 8cpaid | -74.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a51…4cc0backed Yes | 73c | 67.07$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.96 | 72 | 37.5%27 W · 45 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe977…700fbacked Yes | 18c | 56.62$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.34 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 13cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x025c…b18abacked Yes | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Yes | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 252 | 63.5%160 W · 92 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e73…3f4ebacked Yes | 78c | 24.81$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.47 | 86 | 58.1%50 W · 36 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4350…4bbabacked Yes | 75c | 19.46$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb698…9b34backed Yes | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 77cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Sporting CP win on 2026-04-29?this page
- Will CD Tondela win on 2026-04-29?No won
- Will Sporting CP vs. CD Tondela end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.