Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Sporting CP vs. CD Tondela end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x25b10f2caf3abb3c9178bd9a2b3a2504479214944cc6d4791a2f18175b277d68
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $99,317
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $50,759
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $99,317 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 0c | 26,789$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.77 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddc…e874backed No | 0c | 8,938$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 104 | 30.8%32 W · 72 L | -12.8wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4c…2e02backed Yes | 19c | 526.32$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.32 | 92 | 60.9%56 W · 36 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x769b…2ea9backed Yes | 17c | 471.88$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.66 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 33cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x850c…5f62backed Yes | 9c | 467.89$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.91per pick | 9cpaid | +1,011.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 5c | 395.87$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.64 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83de…1786backed Yes | 14c | 210.09$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.11 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 36cpaid | +77.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 10c | 199.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.99 | 495 | 28.7%142 W · 353 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 10c | 160.03$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.03 | 852 | 50.4%429 W · 423 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc431…401bbacked Yes | 10c | 153.97$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.97 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.27per pick | 40cpaid | +149.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 10c | 150.91$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.82 | 773 | 50.2%388 W · 385 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f23…4761backed Yes | 11c | 141.92$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.92 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.71per pick | 29cpaid | +577.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked No | 75c | 138.63$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.67 | 233 | 48.1%112 W · 121 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7454…57f2backed Yes | 15c | 112.97$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.85per pick | 15cpaid | +564.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6479…5e64backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 79 | 67.1%53 W · 26 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked No | 80c | 100$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 101 | 21.8%22 W · 79 L | -6.8wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc253…5800backed Yes | 18c | 67.28$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.28 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 78c | 51$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.02 | 638 | 49.5%316 W · 322 L | +26.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Sporting CP vs. CD Tondela end in a draw?this page
- Will CD Tondela win on 2026-04-29?No won
- Will Sporting CP win on 2026-04-29?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.