Lol · resolved market
LoL: Senshi Esports Club vs mCon esports - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0f9f0088c38d9bbac220bd1c92e5f0c722a7a564e5e7a6030b46dfe35626a79b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Senshi Esports Clubof Senshi Esports Club, mCon esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,386
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,245
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,386 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 11 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Senshi Esports Club | 60c | 351.31$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.88 | 1,940 | 48.1%934 W · 1,006 L | +22.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed mCon esports | 53c | 250$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.25 | 962 | 50.1%482 W · 480 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2924…0f31backed Senshi Esports Club | 48c | 242.2$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.94 | 695 | 39.1%272 W · 423 L | -36.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed mCon esports | 11c | 177.18$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.16 | 3,131 | 33.8%1,058 W · 2,073 L | -150.7wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Senshi Esports Club | 41c | 135.59$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 1,368 | 37.7%516 W · 852 L | -6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8027…cf81backed mCon esports | 59c | 132.25$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.03 | 168 | 50.6%85 W · 83 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked mCon esports | 56c | 98.44$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.45 | 1,061 | 54.7%580 W · 481 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Senshi Esports Club | 57c | 83.91$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.15 | 2,202 | 33.3%733 W · 1,469 L | -72.4wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96ef…d98abacked mCon esports | 46c | 47.33$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.77 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…b387backed Senshi Esports Club | 45c | 37.71$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.74 | 647 | 49.5%320 W · 327 L | +3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd989…dcbabacked mCon esports | 61c | 24.01$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.65 | 168 | 63.7%107 W · 61 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Senshi Esports Club vs mCon esports - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- LoL: Senshi Esports Club vs mCon esports (BO3) - Road Of Legends Regular SeasonSenshi Esports Club won
- LoL: Senshi Esports Club vs mCon esports - Game 2 WinnerSenshi Esports Club won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.