Bundesliga · resolved market
1. FC Köln vs. SV Werder Bremen: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdc0e74ac518af6fedaaf69b0df12e3ad12b8bf854fb93900811a847e22d37f71
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $107,370
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $113,900
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $107,370 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 128 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 60c | 14,051$8,460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,459.66 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 33c | 13,776$4,546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,229.63 | 100 | 41%41 W · 59 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 33c | 11,227$3,705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,522.15 | 435 | 32.2%140 W · 295 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed Over | 48c | 10,420$5,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,418.38 | 160 | 45%72 W · 88 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a91…c6b1backed Under | 67c | 9,977$6,685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,684.91 | 67 | 61.2%41 W · 26 L | +6.1wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 61c | 8,877$5,427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,427.11 | 751 | 42.5%319 W · 432 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd500…4568backed Under | 67c | 4,979$3,336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,335.69 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over | 26c | 2,866$732 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,134.34 | 111 | 42.3%47 W · 64 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x73c5…2f80backed Over | 38c | 2,825$1,069 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,756.22 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | +4.4wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 15c | 2,803$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.47 | 486 | 58.6%285 W · 201 L | +44.5wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +33%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 68c | 2,051$1,397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,396.82 | 1,013 | 44.5%451 W · 562 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Under | 67c | 2,000$1,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,340 | 98 | 54.1%53 W · 45 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629c…6c01backed Over | 32c | 2,000$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,359.99 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79fb…c230backed Under | 6c | 1,600$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd710…cf6fbacked Under | 62c | 1,576$977 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$977.21 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Under | 68c | 1,487$1,007 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,006.72 | 208 | 45.7%95 W · 113 L | -16.2wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8a92…6941backed Over | 35c | 1,223$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$792.68 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +9.6wins | +0.18per pick | 38cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 33c | 1,080$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$723.94 | 698 | 51.9%362 W · 336 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…3399backed Over | 45c | 1,078$483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$594.07 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 62c | 1,042$651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$651.15 | 339 | 38.1%129 W · 210 L | -16.0wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f29…f03dbacked Over | 47c | 1,038$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$553.57 | 98 | 56.1%55 W · 43 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…5e8abacked Under | 1c | 1,010$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.21 | 47 | 2.1%1 W · 46 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12b9…3ec2backed Over | 23c | 834.15$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$642.3 | 106 | 41.5%44 W · 62 L | +6.2wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x800a…0b4dbacked Over | 33c | 790.13$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531.02 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 40c | 710.2$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.96 | 337 | 37.4%126 W · 211 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 33c | 697.78$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.49 | 298 | 55.4%165 W · 133 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 69c | 644.8$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.64 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Over | 30c | 638.67$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.07 | 126 | 35.7%45 W · 81 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd27d…a84fbacked Under | 65c | 592.72$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.69 | 68 | 42.6%29 W · 39 L | -7.0wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ed…8bb4backed Over | 33c | 581.7$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.74 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.30per pick | 46cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Under | 67c | 544.01$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.49 | 146 | 52.7%77 W · 69 L | +11.2wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Under | 65c | 537.46$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.04 | 205 | 48.3%99 W · 106 L | -10.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 24c | 536.14$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.78 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec8d…dd71backed Under | 67c | 524.2$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.21 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -4.8wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 58c | 514.51$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.8 | 222 | 45.9%102 W · 120 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 62c | 509.05$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.68 | 1,305 | 40.8%532 W · 773 L | -42.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7b8…e32bbacked Under | 6c | 500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 10cpaid | +104.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…8757backed Under | 68c | 495.55$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.56 | 82 | 51.2%42 W · 40 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Under | 67c | 457.85$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.34 | 186 | 44.1%82 W · 104 L | -10.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 67c | 444.54$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.84 | 213 | 55.4%118 W · 95 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Under | 67c | 444.54$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.84 | 177 | 49.7%88 W · 89 L | -10.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed Under | 67c | 444.54$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.84 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab9f…75f1backed Under | 72c | 333.56$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.76 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f22…2935backed Under | 60c | 325.47$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.2 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 67c | 300$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201 | 330 | 47.3%156 W · 174 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d91…df18backed Over | 49c | 296.76$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.35 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | +6.1wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Under | 67c | 292.57$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.02 | 178 | 52.8%94 W · 84 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 59c | 291.87$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.89 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Under | 67c | 289.68$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.09 | 140 | 55%77 W · 63 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Under | 67c | 281.41$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.54 | 111 | 48.6%54 W · 57 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28e8…6080backed Under | 67c | 274$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.58 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked Under | 67c | 248.83$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.71 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x74d0…de45backed Under | 46c | 232.22$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.82 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 33c | 224.12$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.07 | 817 | 32.8%268 W · 549 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9013…e7e0backed Over | 48c | 202.38$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.51 | 61 | 32.8%20 W · 41 L | -5.6wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb361…c953backed Over | 32c | 195.28$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +164.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6619…703ebacked Over | 33c | 189.05$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.66 | 189 | 58.2%110 W · 79 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5f…7b99backed Under | 52c | 185.74$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.74 | 102 | 46.1%47 W · 55 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Under | 35c | 184.55$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.33 | 222 | 21.6%48 W · 174 L | -34.2wins | -0.15per pick | 37cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x2080…6d80backed Under | 59c | 180.39$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1650…42f6backed Under | 50c | 161.02$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.51 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Over | 28c | 135.74$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.46 | 271 | 42.8%116 W · 155 L | +18.5wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 65c | 134.43$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.02 | 640 | 43.9%281 W · 359 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Under | 76c | 111.01$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.37 | 90 | 52.2%47 W · 43 L | +6.2wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +59.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x033b…5e3fbacked Under | 57c | 110.94$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.69 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc37…bac6backed Under | 77c | 109.09$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f39…d603backed Over | 48c | 104.16$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.16 | 67 | 58.2%39 W · 28 L | +5.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6687…b9ddbacked Under | 67c | 100.21$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.14 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -3.6wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -32%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x60e4…f926backed Over | 19c | 100.05$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.04 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +41%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd91a…211cbacked Over | 20c | 97.1$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.68 | 50 | 24%12 W · 38 L | -5.3wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x14ec…0923backed Under | 52c | 93.38$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.56 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…20bfbacked Under | 63c | 93.12$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.67 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed Over | 33c | 88.21$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.1 | 68 | 60.3%41 W · 27 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…4f4cbacked Over | 33c | 82.72$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.42 | 49 | 71.4%35 W · 14 L | +7.3wins | +0.15per pick | 57cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…cbcdbacked Over | 33c | 82.72$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.42 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbeb7…ca4abacked Over | 37c | 79.97$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.76 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee5b…dac8backed Over | 31c | 79.1$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.95 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8a…02acbacked Over | 33c | 77.22$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.74 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea8d…89b1backed Under | 67c | 73.15$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.01 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x91ff…edfdbacked Under | 62c | 72.94$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.87 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Under | 67c | 70.23$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.06 | 185 | 54.1%100 W · 85 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb4…4576backed Over | 33c | 65.99$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.21 | 98 | 50%49 W · 49 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7571…3bcbbacked Under | 77c | 64.41$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…b1a2backed Under | 46c | 63.1$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.03 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked Under | 67c | 61.96$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.51 | 77 | 51.9%40 W · 37 L | -5.3wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6569…7600backed Under | 67c | 61.96$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.51 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -5.9wins | -0.13per pick | 57cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Over | 60c | 60.89$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.53 | 52 | 76.9%40 W · 12 L | +13.0wins | +0.25per pick | 52cpaid | +72%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x738e…dc37backed Under | 67c | 60.04$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.23 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.8wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc482…b505backed Under | 55c | 60$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 63cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8de…a2b8backed Over | 33c | 57.6$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.59 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +133.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Over | 33c | 56.08$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.57 | 85 | 47.1%40 W · 45 L | -8.0wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…29e6backed Over | 33c | 56.08$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.57 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed Over | 33c | 56.08$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.57 | 73 | 49.3%36 W · 37 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Over | 33c | 56.08$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.57 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 80c | 53.34$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.67 | 491 | 43.2%212 W · 279 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Over | 33c | 51.34$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.4 | 110 | 49.1%54 W · 56 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Over | 33c | 51.34$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.4 | 69 | 52.2%36 W · 33 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1f…acafbacked Over | 33c | 50.58$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.89 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e8…ff03backed Over | 33c | 50.58$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.89 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06e7…3acabacked Over | 33c | 50.58$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.89 | 77 | 49.4%38 W · 39 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- 1. FC Köln vs. SV Werder Bremen: O/U 3.5this page
- 1. FC Köln vs. SV Werder Bremen: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- 1. FC Köln vs. SV Werder Bremen: O/U 1.5Over won
- 1. FC Köln vs. SV Werder Bremen: O/U 2.5Over won
- 1. FC Köln vs. SV Werder Bremen: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: 1. FC Köln (-1.5)1. FC Köln won
- Spread: 1. FC Köln (-2.5)SV Werder Bremen won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.