Bundesliga · resolved market
1. FC Köln vs. SV Werder Bremen: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe6fc0419cbf38df2f214b5b763dcceaa9a8c606aae4aa3fccea2816777d92447
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $178,356
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $210,701
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $178,356 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 143 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8a92…6941backed Over | 57c | 25,653$14,573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,079.55 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +9.6wins | +0.18per pick | 38cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 55c | 21,096$11,553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,543.03 | 100 | 41%41 W · 59 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 61c | 11,131$6,817 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,313.85 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 46c | 10,919$4,997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,996.92 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5da4…e203backed Under | 48c | 9,708$4,624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,624.31 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 39c | 9,060$3,543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,542.62 | 751 | 42.5%319 W · 432 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x374a…03edbacked Under | 45c | 6,000$2,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,699.99 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xefdd…017fbacked Under | 46c | 5,328$2,451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,450.81 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.34per pick | 46cpaid | +74.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Over | 53c | 3,972$2,121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,851.6 | 208 | 45.7%95 W · 113 L | -16.2wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6394…9749backed Over | 55c | 2,369$1,303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,065.9 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -4.1wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 45c | 2,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$899.99 | 698 | 51.9%362 W · 336 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe02…dababacked Under | 49c | 1,978$969 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$969.4 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…206dbacked Over | 45c | 1,723$778 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$944.47 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d2e…896dbacked Under | 47c | 1,221$574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$573.84 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…5e8abacked Under | 1c | 1,200$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 47 | 2.1%1 W · 46 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Over | 55c | 1,084$596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.91 | 146 | 52.7%77 W · 69 L | +11.2wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 53c | 1,016$542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$542.26 | 640 | 43.9%281 W · 359 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe75e…4b67backed Under | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Over | 53c | 981.51$523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$458.3 | 205 | 48.3%99 W · 106 L | -10.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Over | 53c | 974.01$519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454.8 | 186 | 44.1%82 W · 104 L | -10.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Over | 53c | 968.89$517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.65 | 213 | 55.4%118 W · 95 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28dc…a1f2backed Under | 45c | 967$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.15 | 81 | 58%47 W · 34 L | +4.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 60c | 928.49$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.18 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed Under | 45c | 918.22$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413.2 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c80…93b5backed Over | 53c | 916.8$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.89 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | -5.3wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Over | 54c | 907.46$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.41 | 177 | 49.7%88 W · 89 L | -10.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…8757backed Over | 54c | 907.46$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.41 | 82 | 51.2%42 W · 40 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6a…a7bfbacked Under | 45c | 899.99$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.99 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 45c | 885.36$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.13 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea03…a5a3backed Over | 55c | 884.55$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.05 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46d3…2c20backed Over | 61c | 840.52$513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…e162backed Over | 53c | 789.38$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.01 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | +5.5wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x800a…0b4dbacked Over | 63c | 771.38$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.41 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Over | 60c | 700$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 187 | 59.4%111 W · 76 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 44c | 581.25$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.15 | 1,305 | 40.8%532 W · 773 L | -42.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Over | 71c | 542.1$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.5 | 160 | 60.6%97 W · 63 L | +9.1wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe11…18cfbacked Under | 45c | 406.14$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.76 | 89 | 50.6%45 W · 44 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e05…2ebcbacked Under | 45c | 406.14$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.76 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9544…790dbacked Under | 45c | 387.77$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.18 | 115 | 40.9%47 W · 68 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47fb…0c7bbacked Under | 45c | 357.79$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.01 | 89 | 49.4%44 W · 45 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Under | 45c | 355.13$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.81 | 111 | 48.6%54 W · 57 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd27d…a84fbacked Under | 46c | 342.5$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.55 | 68 | 42.6%29 W · 39 L | -7.0wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Over | 53c | 340$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.8 | 157 | 47.1%74 W · 83 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Under | 18c | 327.8$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.9 | 337 | 37.4%126 W · 211 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 46c | 300.01$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139 | 298 | 55.4%165 W · 133 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Under | 45c | 298.63$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.38 | 178 | 52.8%94 W · 84 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9aa5…e01bbacked Over | 36c | 267.11$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.95 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cc…f354backed Under | 22c | 251.93$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.38 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 45c | 250$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.5 | 420 | 46.4%195 W · 225 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd1e…f62bbacked Under | 50c | 242.5$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.25 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6619…703ebacked Over | 55c | 238.83$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.47 | 189 | 58.2%110 W · 79 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdabd…6adabacked Over | 44c | 235.8$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.05 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +8.8wins | +0.18per pick | 40cpaid | +49.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Over | 58c | 228.87$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.17 | 110 | 49.1%54 W · 56 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Over | 60c | 220.95$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.87 | 69 | 52.2%36 W · 33 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Over | 44c | 219.64$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123 | 126 | 35.7%45 W · 81 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed Under | 45c | 214.89$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.7 | 68 | 44.1%30 W · 38 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Under | 45c | 214.89$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.7 | 185 | 54.1%100 W · 85 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked Under | 45c | 214.89$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.7 | 77 | 51.9%40 W · 37 L | -5.3wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6569…7600backed Under | 45c | 214.89$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.7 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -5.9wins | -0.13per pick | 57cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Under | 45c | 214.12$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.35 | 140 | 55%77 W · 63 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 78c | 203.64$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.96 | 486 | 58.6%285 W · 201 L | +44.5wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +33%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x63c5…1ecbbacked Over | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 65 | 41.5%27 W · 38 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed Under | 47c | 195.7$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.98 | 155 | 40.6%63 W · 92 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0189…cab8backed Over | 56c | 191.24$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.15 | 31 | 67.7%21 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c2…190dbacked Over | 51c | 190.31$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.25 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.8wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +58%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Under | 23c | 189.95$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.44 | 222 | 21.6%48 W · 174 L | -34.2wins | -0.15per pick | 37cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x74d0…de45backed Under | 40c | 178.69$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.48 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1966…da9ebacked Over | 55c | 176.91$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.61 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Over | 56c | 173.86$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.5 | 105 | 54.3%57 W · 48 L | +7.2wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x274b…d408backed Under | 38c | 167.22$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.54 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +18%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8f…f31bbacked Over | 60c | 162.67$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.07 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…f9d1backed Under | 45c | 150$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.5 | 58 | 39.7%23 W · 35 L | -6.2wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked Over | 60c | 141.18$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.47 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed Under | 45c | 134.97$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.74 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a15…52d6backed Under | 48c | 123.04$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.06 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4fae…3e26backed Over | 33c | 116.34$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +203%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Under | 45c | 107.44$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.35 | 150 | 48%72 W · 78 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed Under | 45c | 107.44$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.35 | 123 | 46.3%57 W · 66 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6687…b9ddbacked Under | 46c | 105.17$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.38 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -3.6wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -32%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Under | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 64 | 42.2%27 W · 37 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Under | 45c | 99.09$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.59 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | -4.5wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 42c | 96.52$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.98 | 388 | 45.6%177 W · 211 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7356…04cfbacked Over | 59c | 95.33$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.72 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +50%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x033b…5e3fbacked Over | 53c | 84.33$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.05 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7663…c9aabacked Over | 50c | 77.6$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.8 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -44%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8277…7d31backed Over | 33c | 76.09$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.08 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f28…d173backed Over | 60c | 69.51$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.15 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -5.4wins | -0.25per pick | 65cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…9400backed Under | 47c | 63.4$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.8 | 120 | 56.7%68 W · 52 L | +7.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x91ff…edfdbacked Over | 53c | 62.61$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.27 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3a7…aefcbacked Over | 53c | 61.35$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.84 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Over | 32c | 59.95$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.77 | 271 | 42.8%116 W · 155 L | +18.5wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2dfb…1643backed Over | 55c | 58.38$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 26c | 58$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.79 | 222 | 45.9%102 W · 120 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ffe…9150backed Over | 59c | 55.3$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.4 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 19c | 55.18$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.48 | 491 | 43.2%212 W · 279 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 45c | 54.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.75 | 1,083 | 50.8%550 W · 533 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Over | 37c | 54.39$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.03 | 68 | 54.4%37 W · 31 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4eb6…9ce6backed Over | 35c | 53.56$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.68 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d12…cc43backed Over | 58c | 50.42$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.18 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Under | 45c | 49.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 154 | 54.5%84 W · 70 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- 1. FC Köln vs. SV Werder Bremen: O/U 2.5this page
- 1. FC Köln vs. SV Werder Bremen: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- 1. FC Köln vs. SV Werder Bremen: O/U 1.5Over won
- 1. FC Köln vs. SV Werder Bremen: O/U 3.5Over won
- 1. FC Köln vs. SV Werder Bremen: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: 1. FC Köln (-1.5)1. FC Köln won
- Spread: 1. FC Köln (-2.5)SV Werder Bremen won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.