TailMyPicks
Market

Tweets · resolved market

Will White House post 180-199 posts from March 31 to April 7, 2026?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$38,862
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$39,620

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,862 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 88 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tweets
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x77c8…bc8cbacked Yes11c3,127$353 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$353.4163414.8%94 W · 540 L-1.8wins0.00per pick15cpaid-42.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x93fd…7e2fbacked Yes10c2,600$272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27257222%126 W · 446 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick23cpaid-42%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes18c1,717$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301.8576821.7%167 W · 601 L-2.0wins0.00per pick22cpaid-49.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x45b2…cbc1backed Yes1c1,081$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.818320.5%17 W · 66 L+4.7wins+0.06per pick15cpaid+22.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x860d…6071backed Yes31c799.94$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.8724732.4%80 W · 167 L-6.2wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-19.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa7fe…1f3ebacked Yes39c791.92$307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306.529740.2%39 W · 58 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbeab…d961backed Yes4c696.07$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.314829.1%43 W · 105 L+6.6wins+0.04per pick25cpaid-3.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xceed…f8eebacked Yes44c690.71$304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303.9225127.1%68 W · 183 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-20.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e51…e4f7backed Yes48c459.22$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.5638828.6%111 W · 277 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-39.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed No27c437.58$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$319.231507.3%11 W · 139 L-11.1wins-0.07per pick15cpaid-56.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1a7c…d422backed No24c391.86$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$299.56547.7%31 W · 34 L+4.8wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+15%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes33c375.67$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.2428723.7%68 W · 219 L-46.5wins-0.16per pick40cpaid-63%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0xfd5c…6d2abacked Yes9c360.36$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.4962539.5%247 W · 378 L+48.1wins+0.08per pick32cpaid+19.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc0dd…19eabacked Yes13c322.81$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.567544%33 W · 42 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-26.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaee7…37febacked Yes43c305.17$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.5931621.8%69 W · 247 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick23cpaid-34.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc41f…2a81backed Yes19c289.84$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.152516%4 W · 21 L-2.0wins-0.08per pick24cpaid-73.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe196…0ab5backed Yes28c264.5$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.111421.9%25 W · 89 L-0.4wins0.00per pick22cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbe0f…f988backed Yes77c244.73$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.214040%16 W · 24 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f34…2f50backed No51c214.59$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.5326461.7%163 W · 101 L+0.9wins0.00per pick61cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x027c…b158backed Yes16c212$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.921315.4%2 W · 11 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick14cpaid-28.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa49b…7054backed Yes50c203.98$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.292,55213.1%335 W · 2,217 L+4.3wins0.00per pick13cpaid-30.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0823…3833backed Yes66c202.77$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.112934.5%10 W · 19 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1ccd…5330backed Yes75c200$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15019020.5%39 W · 151 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick20cpaid-29.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6709…385bbacked Yes43c200$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8544227.4%121 W · 321 L-21.9wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-27.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7e5d…c83fbacked Yes40c200$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$802119%4 W · 17 L-3.6wins-0.17per pick36cpaid-17.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Yes38c190.86$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.2710840.7%44 W · 64 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-27.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9955…85afbacked No78c188.62$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.8718357.9%106 W · 77 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1fcc…643fbacked Yes16c180.46$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.49515.8%15 W · 80 L-0.3wins0.00per pick16cpaid-27.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb68f…6fd2backed Yes72c174.99$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.1536018.6%67 W · 293 L+0.4wins0.00per pick18cpaid-12.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed No58c172.61$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.7479735.9%286 W · 511 L-34.4wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-23.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf360…6726backed Yes14c156.81$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.3210824.1%26 W · 82 L-5.9wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-45.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0044…cb2cbacked Yes26c156.48$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.461216.6%8 W · 113 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick9cpaid-71.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x77b5…9170backed No69c138$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.1326167%175 W · 86 L+0.3wins0.00per pick67cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x74ff…be5bbacked Yes38c137.13$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.61,00110.5%105 W · 896 L-30.9wins-0.03per pick14cpaid-58.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3d14…ee01backed Yes50c132.68$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.943729.7%11 W · 26 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick28cpaid-16.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Yes37c123.48$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.739518.7%74 W · 321 L-57.0wins-0.14per pick33cpaid-60.5%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0xb006…bddcbacked Yes31c112.84$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.414447.7%21 W · 23 L+2.9wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+10.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbdca…badabacked Yes30c107.71$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.5610131.7%32 W · 69 L+0.4wins0.00per pick31cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xacb9…0754backed Yes38c100$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$389636.5%35 W · 61 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9484…a173backed Yes25c100$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2540016.8%67 W · 333 L-0.5wins0.00per pick17cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7e80…631bbacked No71c97.18$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.5334039.7%135 W · 205 L-12.6wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-19.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd614…d4febacked Yes21c97.04$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.385930.5%18 W · 41 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick29cpaid-14.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x42e5…2231backed Yes29c96.86$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.261421.4%3 W · 11 L-2.1wins-0.15per pick36cpaid-35.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x19ad…2dbbbacked Yes50c96.47$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.415430.5%47 W · 107 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-36.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcbf0…fdbebacked Yes57c95.69$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.4920532.7%67 W · 138 L-5.8wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-14.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa37a…bc60backed Yes20c92$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.42839.3%11 W · 17 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-29.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7849…da97backed Yes72c89.42$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.4334127.3%93 W · 248 L+1.7wins0.00per pick27cpaid-7.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2754…1668backed No55c87.74$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.162650%13 W · 13 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xaf38…c19ebacked Yes30c81.05$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.5314153.9%76 W · 65 L+13.6wins+0.10per pick44cpaid+23.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0a18…ded9backed No40c79.49$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.04475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+36.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4d5f…b380backed No63c77.04$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.543027%116 W · 314 L+7.1wins+0.02per pick25cpaid-6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x130b…3ae8backed Yes42c76.18$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.2810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xabfb…12e5backed No26c75.29$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.9910216.7%17 W · 85 L+6.7wins+0.07per pick10cpaid-25.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1744…30debacked No26c74.56$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.322100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+164.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x92aa…0341backed Yes59c73.5$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.4913031.5%41 W · 89 L-0.1wins0.00per pick32cpaid-11.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x564f…7026backed Yes32c70.29$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.7631242.9%134 W · 178 L+21.5wins+0.07per pick36cpaid+28.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe8bc…ec51backed Yes23c68.1$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.3816023.1%37 W · 123 L+11.0wins+0.07per pick16cpaid+25.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6f67…102cbacked Yes27c66.22$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.637830.7%116 W · 262 L-17.9wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-22.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9720…9aebbacked Yes23c60.98$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.8424114.1%34 W · 207 L+11.1wins+0.05per pick9cpaid+17.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1408…b4f8backed No48c59.09$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.5924932.9%82 W · 167 L-33.4wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-46.2%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0xcca2…6c38backed No75c57.17$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.29714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.12per pick26cpaid-81%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0a6d…1d0abacked No32c55.16$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.5150319.5%98 W · 405 L-13.2wins-0.03per pick22cpaid-46.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1556…6564backed Yes40c54.2$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.82944.8%13 W · 16 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-14.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc45…9c6ebacked Yes30c52.49$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.992245.5%10 W · 12 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+15.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed No50c50.1$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.0551845.9%238 W · 280 L-19.4wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-15%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9eae…98a5backed Yes66c50$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3313038.5%50 W · 80 L-11.6wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-20.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xbe3f…1e72backed No78c50$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x26a4…5593backed Yes70c49.79$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.83540%2 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.24per pick64cpaid-42.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x64f3…aa71backed Yes34c48.11$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.266762.7%42 W · 25 L+8.5wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+16.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2e43…b356backed Yes43c47.15$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.2717818.5%33 W · 145 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick18cpaid+5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xecda…6d55backed Yes61c46.79$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.54425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-39%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x380f…8229backed Yes62c46.55$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.8617722.6%40 W · 137 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick21cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e2a…d39ebacked Yes58c40$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.24223.8%10 W · 32 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick29cpaid-24.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaf83…2607backed Yes54c39.73$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.4520%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8e97…4828backed Yes52c38.95$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.256627.3%18 W · 48 L+0.3wins0.00per pick27cpaid-18.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbbf4…3b45backed No80c38.81$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.8231743.2%137 W · 180 L+28.2wins+0.09per pick34cpaid+13.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2c61…f58bbacked Yes64c37.63$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.223627.8%10 W · 26 L-3.4wins-0.09per pick37cpaid-16.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf9f0…b7b1backed No77c35$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.05366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+17.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbad3…7715backed Yes51c34.02$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.351330.8%4 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick29cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7dcb…d805backed Yes74c31$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.941020%2 W · 8 L-2.1wins-0.21per pick41cpaid-50.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xcd18…ab28backed No52c28.77$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.813100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+74.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd6fa…4f2dbacked Yes53c26.66$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.13250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick62cpaid-28.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f71…9a06backed Yes68c24.2$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.461384.6%11 W · 2 L+2.9wins+0.22per pick62cpaid+38.3%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xf2cf…464bbacked No69c24.1$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.44459.1%26 W · 18 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-2.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xb23b…503fbacked No68c21.97$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.961747.1%8 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b25…a545backed Yes60c19.96$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.953429.4%10 W · 24 L-6.4wins-0.19per pick48cpaid-52.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x0ba3…57bcbacked No76c17.78$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.272653.8%14 W · 12 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x59fe…14fdbacked No62c17.08$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.522420.8%5 W · 19 L-7.3wins-0.30per pick51cpaid-66.3%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.