Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Solana dip to $80 March 23-29?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x09bab77c1f18e8a5f4e975598aaf48e1f5fdb5b9751fcd76735c6f23f4713d71
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $108,722
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $112,861
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $108,722 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6309…f5f4backed No | 1c | 7,000$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.42per pick | 18cpaid | +122.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9401…ad7fbacked No | 3c | 6,719$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.17 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +3.2wins | +0.32per pick | 18cpaid | +87.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb4a9…3d6fbacked Yes | 51c | 5,288$2,690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,597.88 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ee1…32bdbacked No | 1c | 5,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.36per pick | 14cpaid | +97.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x547d…ea58backed No | 65c | 4,315$2,811 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,811.13 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4a0…22eebacked No | 1c | 4,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +2.9wins | +0.24per pick | 18cpaid | +74.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x55be…dca3backed Yes | 25c | 2,445$614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,831.54 | 291 | 26.5%77 W · 214 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked No | 30c | 800$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 212 | 6.6%14 W · 198 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 6cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f69…acb6backed Yes | 9c | 700$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$634 | 179 | 2.2%4 W · 175 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -71.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f3a…3b17backed Yes | 28c | 628.52$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.37 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -3.6wins | -0.24per pick | 30cpaid | -76.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x21c6…927bbacked Yes | 9c | 599.2$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$543.26 | 167 | 2.4%4 W · 163 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb37b…5186backed No | 55c | 591.83$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.06 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | -4.2wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b2…9a9bbacked No | 67c | 567.84$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.44 | 11 | 90.9%10 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.21per pick | 69cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Yes | 16c | 499.99$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.78 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.21per pick | 19cpaid | +93.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…8748backed No | 35c | 487.19$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.52 | 71 | 12.7%9 W · 62 L | -6.4wins | -0.09per pick | 22cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x25af…bcafbacked Yes | 9c | 448.8$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.4 | 399 | 8.5%34 W · 365 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacca…08b1backed Yes | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +2.5wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +81%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x027c…b158backed No | 32c | 319.64$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x444a…07adbacked No | 67c | 312.17$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70b6…aa2fbacked Yes | 9c | 306.07$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.58 | 137 | 3.6%5 W · 132 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9438…d662backed Yes | 31c | 300.03$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.1 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +143.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d72…8e62backed Yes | 49c | 300$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa29d…6d1ebacked No | 34c | 300$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 66c | 250.14$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.34 | 315 | 23.8%75 W · 240 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 9c | 217.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.5 | 678 | 5.9%40 W · 638 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a6e…35b4backed Yes | 9c | 200$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183 | 268 | 3.4%9 W · 259 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa82a…9055backed Yes | 53c | 178.1$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.48 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +2.8wins | +0.23per pick | 60cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc3bf…e70fbacked Yes | 12c | 106.56$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.83 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +4.4wins | +0.27per pick | 10cpaid | +549.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5452…d12ebacked Yes | 33c | 92.47$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.53 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +140.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1137…4ed5backed No | 54c | 89.74$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.46 | 216 | 51.4%111 W · 105 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca0c…b9b6backed Yes | 37c | 87.8$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.49 | 82 | 35.4%29 W · 53 L | +8.1wins | +0.10per pick | 26cpaid | +3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4552…0333backed No | 71c | 66.82$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.56 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ef1…e5eabacked Yes | 33c | 61.5$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 20cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a04…e261backed No | 66c | 48.3$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.65 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa72e…a277backed Yes | 39c | 43.32$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.54 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad92…af55backed Yes | 36c | 43.24$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.67 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +118.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2be6…e054backed Yes | 40c | 38.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.41 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d7d…e1a5backed Yes | 57c | 36.33$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.64 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.21per pick | 51cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc07c…d8f3backed Yes | 63c | 30.88$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 73c | 30$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.9 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f8a…9365backed No | 44c | 25.71$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd77…ef21backed No | 75c | 19$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 26 | 73.1%19 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 67cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4aab…38ccbacked No | 71c | 18.79$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.34 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefee…4c3dbacked No | 62c | 18.25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.24 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Solana dip to $80 March 23-29?this page
- Will Solana dip to $70 March 23-29?No won
- Will Solana reach $100 March 23-29?No won
- Will Solana reach $110 March 23-29?No won
- Will Solana reach $120 March 23-29?No won
- Will Solana reach $130 March 23-29?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.