Premier League · resolved market
Will Middlesbrough FC vs. Portsmouth FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9f741db1418958333c2c97dd6ae2a051ecc77a22ebd3f108c610f0f4534b12e8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,290
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,040
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,290 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 59c | 7,123$4,192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,931.43 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 27c | 4,483$1,223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,223.05 | 746 | 44.8%334 W · 412 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 34c | 3,806$1,285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,521.29 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c80…93b5backed Yes | 22c | 2,284$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 141 | 38.3%54 W · 87 L | -8.9wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb988…b6eabacked No | 6c | 2,000$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,870.1 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.71per pick | 29cpaid | +589.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes | 52c | 1,632$849 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$848.77 | 406 | 55.2%224 W · 182 L | +12.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f59…21cbbacked No | 37c | 1,526$557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$968.9 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.31per pick | 44cpaid | +104.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 71c | 1,182$836 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.81 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 72c | 1,160$837 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.29 | 1,409 | 44.5%627 W · 782 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 78c | 1,158$899 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.29 | 966 | 45.4%439 W · 527 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Yes | 51c | 1,088$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555.05 | 292 | 50%146 W · 146 L | +7.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 78c | 1,053$822 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.73 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ae…f358backed Yes | 73c | 1,005$734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$733.61 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.5wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x19c3…8525backed Yes | 23c | 643$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.89 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 75c | 601.56$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.21 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8101…e7bebacked No | 78c | 569.23$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.23 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Yes | 51c | 569.14$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.04 | 300 | 57%171 W · 129 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Yes | 52c | 547.05$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.92 | 235 | 56.2%132 W · 103 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Yes | 22c | 543.04$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.47 | 758 | 50%379 W · 379 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed No | 30c | 500$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 265 | 48.3%128 W · 137 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x027c…b158backed Yes | 12c | 499$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.88 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x370e…5df3backed No | 79c | 300$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 124 | 50.8%63 W · 61 L | +7.1wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe56…593abacked Yes | 20c | 300$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1fcd…445ebacked Yes | 20c | 300$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c15…9667backed Yes | 21c | 300$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 127 | 44.1%56 W · 71 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 77c | 290.7$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.86 | 1,204 | 50.7%610 W · 594 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd55…c9bfbacked Yes | 21c | 238.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 109 | 50.5%55 W · 54 L | +11.5wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +32%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xafc4…daa1backed Yes | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 12cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0979…fc8abacked Yes | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -2.4wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdabd…6adabacked No | 74c | 187$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.36 | 106 | 34%36 W · 70 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Yes | 21c | 174$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.54 | 111 | 25.2%28 W · 83 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…8757backed Yes | 51c | 133.68$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.18 | 115 | 55.7%64 W · 51 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 69c | 129$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.99 | 768 | 42.6%327 W · 441 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed No | 74c | 122.45$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.29 | 432 | 41.9%181 W · 251 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 18c | 112.51$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.71 | 515 | 16.1%83 W · 432 L | -49.9wins | -0.10per pick | 26cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 53c | 109.24$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.46 | 451 | 42.6%192 W · 259 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 596 | 45.5%271 W · 325 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe33f…e413backed Yes | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 89 | 30.3%27 W · 62 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06e7…3acabacked No | 16c | 93.75$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.75 | 111 | 64%71 W · 40 L | +7.4wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f2…2512backed Yes | 21c | 88.9$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.67 | 83 | 42.2%35 W · 48 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked No | 18c | 86.37$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.02 | 82 | 19.5%16 W · 66 L | -5.6wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1105…09d0backed No | 29c | 85.75$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.75 | 76 | 60.5%46 W · 30 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 68cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9720…2c24backed Yes | 31c | 80$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.4 | 28 | 7.1%2 W · 26 L | -6.1wins | -0.22per pick | 29cpaid | -75.2%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc856…f642backed No | 60c | 80$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 59cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 78c | 79$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.38 | 845 | 49%414 W · 431 L | -9.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd851…4616backed Yes | 21c | 60$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Yes | 49c | 59.99$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.39 | 100 | 54%54 W · 46 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51f0…186cbacked Yes | 29c | 47.98$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 31 | 19.4%6 W · 25 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 28cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 66c | 42.2$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.17 | 571 | 50.4%288 W · 283 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f22…0fb4backed Yes | 51c | 31.61$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.12 | 125 | 43.2%54 W · 71 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x33eb…b07ebacked Yes | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 44 | 72.7%32 W · 12 L | +3.8wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yes | 80c | 18.9$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 419 | 56.3%236 W · 183 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Middlesbrough FC vs. Portsmouth FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Middlesbrough FC win on 2026-04-11?No won
- Will Portsmouth FC win on 2026-04-11?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.