Premier League · resolved market
Will Portsmouth FC win on 2026-04-11?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5a19b63d5a441af314e34077d71c4bc216ac3bee6380b58df28ce327640b6bd7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,119
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,227
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,119 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 7c | 13,336$957 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,378.76 | 746 | 44.8%334 W · 412 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 63c | 4,096$2,567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,567.26 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bea…038ebacked No | 3c | 627.08$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 14cpaid | +51.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Yes | 80c | 625.19$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.22 | 86 | 59.3%51 W · 35 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2116…eb8fbacked No | 3c | 450$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +2.6wins | +0.37per pick | 21cpaid | +87.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1fcd…445ebacked No | 15c | 400$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x027c…b158backed No | 11c | 344$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.84 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe56…593abacked No | 19c | 300$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.6 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x57f7…ae57backed No | 17c | 300$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.88 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 18cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe50…618abacked No | 15c | 266.48$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.14 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 29c | 220.42$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.75 | 571 | 50.4%288 W · 283 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes | 31c | 209.32$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.51 | 331 | 24.2%80 W · 251 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x866a…de80backed Yes | 11c | 181.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.82 | 77 | 18.2%14 W · 63 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 13c | 181.19$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.46 | 845 | 49%414 W · 431 L | -9.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Yes | 13c | 168.45$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.09 | 758 | 50%379 W · 379 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 13c | 163$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.94 | 43 | 25.6%11 W · 32 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 22cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 21c | 150$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 732 | 58.5%428 W · 304 L | +46.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce0…6599backed No | 18c | 150$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.37 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 11cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb7c…82f2backed Yes | 14c | 142.86$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.86 | 136 | 35.3%48 W · 88 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed No | 26c | 132.33$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.23 | 58 | 56.9%33 W · 25 L | +5.6wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdce0…2dafbacked Yes | 13c | 107.69$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.69 | 204 | 25%51 W · 153 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3101…e57fbacked No | 47c | 58.78$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.63 | 72 | 59.7%43 W · 29 L | +8.3wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes | 77c | 42$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.56 | 413 | 44.8%185 W · 228 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 74c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.9 | 226 | 44.2%100 W · 126 L | +12.4wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Portsmouth FC win on 2026-04-11?this page
- Will Middlesbrough FC vs. Portsmouth FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Middlesbrough FC win on 2026-04-11?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.