China Taiwan · resolved market
Will Jared Kushner attend Trump’s Xi summit?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbd0894506635e40b6b080d872706ba9c6fd204f34fafaa4d46f63055e75acc5d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- China Taiwanevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $69,490
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $58,838
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $69,490 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 84 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in China Taiwan is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in China Taiwan | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xddb1…ea72backed Yes | 67c | 8,074$5,390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,390.13 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98a7…df9ebacked Yes | 6c | 7,059$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e3d…6143backed Yes | 70c | 5,564$3,882 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,882.35 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc96e…f1f9backed No | 57c | 3,002$1,697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,305.43 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +59.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe74b…ee88backed No | 28c | 2,990$833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,157.03 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.48per pick | 27cpaid | +218.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8f…2c14backed No | 16c | 1,906$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,599.76 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 18cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x797f…aa36backed No | 28c | 1,626$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,165.21 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.19per pick | 24cpaid | +97.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60fd…89a9backed Yes | 1c | 1,400$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.4 | 34 | 5.9%2 W · 32 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | +100.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5647…de1dbacked Yes | 1c | 1,060$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x421b…01dabacked Yes | 1c | 1,039$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3706…9462backed No | 67c | 1,019$684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.31 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2637…26e1backed No | 54c | 1,001$542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$458.38 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf71…1548backed Yes | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6d2…7048backed No | 18c | 852.92$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$697.44 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 41cpaid | +127.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked Yes | 2c | 742.03$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.45 | 56 | 3.6%2 W · 54 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes | 4c | 729.99$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.43 | 56 | 8.9%5 W · 51 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed Yes | 2c | 699.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 46 | 4.3%2 W · 44 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1359…0c0dbacked No | 20c | 674.68$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539.94 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.31per pick | 19cpaid | +79.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 3c | 568.4$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.27 | 127 | 7.9%10 W · 117 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -38%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf021…df56backed No | 62c | 529$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.34 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.28per pick | 60cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3a89…a4d6backed No | 54c | 489.61$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.61 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 64cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked Yes | 36c | 431.63$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.44 | 47 | 23.4%11 W · 36 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -13%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked Yes | 36c | 422$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.92 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -2.8wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a0d…ff14backed No | 29c | 404.84$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +144.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9aeb…2729backed No | 72c | 401.32$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.54 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +4.0wins | +0.29per pick | 43cpaid | +70.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b7…d5f3backed No | 70c | 400$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0b0…a5fbbacked Yes | 14c | 400$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed No | 19c | 376.37$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.05 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 11cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5df7…780dbacked No | 45c | 370.04$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.19 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 21cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ac…c5d1backed No | 14c | 354.8$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.8 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +4.2wins | +0.32per pick | 22cpaid | +108.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0711…f03cbacked No | 25c | 301.62$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.92 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdffc…32e1backed No | 69c | 269.71$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.42 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ee9…197fbacked No | 62c | 244.28$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.16 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +4.7wins | +0.36per pick | 33cpaid | +387.8%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x23d7…0f30backed No | 67c | 232.41$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.05 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb37a…f1b1backed No | 69c | 203.28$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.33 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +3.6wins | +0.30per pick | 37cpaid | +166.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2e1f…8fdebacked Yes | 25c | 200$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca16…f878backed No | 17c | 199.98$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.98 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.8wins | +0.71per pick | 29cpaid | +312.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…783dbacked No | 71c | 170.69$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.5 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x938e…d242backed No | 58c | 169.33$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.64 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.28per pick | 39cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe5dc…35f9backed No | 66c | 157.99$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.14 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…907ebacked Yes | 16c | 149.64$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.51 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -60%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked No | 53c | 144.55$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.74 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fa3…86e8backed No | 69c | 141.63$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +46%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5254…891bbacked No | 22c | 139.25$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.25 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | +16%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2be6…e054backed No | 20c | 138.25$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.11 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.21per pick | 13cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7006…cf78backed No | 75c | 132.99$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.75 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 56cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecd7…c7e1backed No | 59c | 120$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.65 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x027c…b158backed Yes | 46c | 120$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.66 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x671a…b8f1backed Yes | 65c | 118.65$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.12 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8df9…468cbacked No | 15c | 112.95$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.95 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 40cpaid | +163.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe397…bfcbbacked No | 14c | 100$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +76.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6be4…dcbbbacked No | 28c | 100$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda08…0e21backed No | 14c | 100$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.56per pick | 19cpaid | +288.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ff…5b03backed No | 68c | 99.99$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +3.8wins | +0.29per pick | 48cpaid | +79.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7d85…3a04backed No | 70c | 99.57$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.24 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.22per pick | 21cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x39bd…18f3backed No | 58c | 99.13$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc678…6f57backed No | 79c | 88.61$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.61 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 54c | 86.45$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.99 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -4.0wins | -0.16per pick | 40cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd011…e928backed No | 51c | 78.03$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.03 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +95.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b5e…adaabacked No | 29c | 69.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.21 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b9…0a8bbacked Yes | 28c | 68.76$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x789a…1ddabacked No | 76c | 58.96$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.3 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf20…3b9ebacked No | 76c | 55.54$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08bf…df57backed No | 21c | 52$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.79per pick | 21cpaid | +374.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5711…5853backed No | 67c | 52$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.93 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -30%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e63…b61cbacked No | 48c | 50.91$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +109.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x288b…0c3ebacked No | 69c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa7fe…1f3ebacked No | 56c | 48.32$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.42 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d81…fe57backed No | 73c | 48.13$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.24 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.7wins | +0.38per pick | 47cpaid | +82.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0c35…2babbacked No | 72c | 43.79$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.04 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.40per pick | 40cpaid | +95.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x465a…d8d4backed No | 66c | 41.56$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.13 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 40cpaid | +63.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82ca…3135backed No | 55c | 39.81$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.95 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c14…6342backed No | 32c | 36.94$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.94 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -23%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac76…9359backed No | 78c | 35$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.7 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x693c…a7edbacked No | 60c | 35$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5bd…f03ebacked No | 58c | 34$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.28 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7373…7701backed No | 65c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.63 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…2941backed Yes | 53c | 22.71$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.09 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…3fc4backed Yes | 74c | 22.49$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.72 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dec…cefabacked No | 79c | 20.05$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.21 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.37per pick | 46cpaid | +75%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf88b…0ed2backed No | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.1 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e50…11cdbacked No | 58c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb1…e80cbacked No | 79c | 18.89$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.89 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd230…f600backed No | 68c | 18.81$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.02 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in China Taiwan and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Jared Kushner attend Trump’s Xi summit?this page
- Will Elon Musk attend Trump’s Xi summit?Yes won
- Will J.D. Vance attend Trump’s Xi summit?No won
- Will Marco Rubio attend Trump’s Xi summit?Yes won
- Will Mark Zuckerberg attend Trump’s Xi summit?No won
- Will Melania Trump attend Trump’s Xi summit?No won
- Will Scott Bessent attend Trump’s Xi summit?Yes won
- Will Steve Witkoff attend Trump’s Xi summit?No won
- Will Tim Cook attend Trump’s Xi summit?Yes won
- Will any of Trump’s sons attend Trump’s Xi summit?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.