World Politics · resolved market
Will Robert Abela be the next Prime Minister of Malta following the 2026 Maltese general election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0f0ecd7fcbdb68dc23ba9af38c5d00cc6839164ad1993d1cb8b235d757bfe815
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $209,781
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $258,589
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $209,781 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x511f…cbe1backed No | 7c | 12,532$936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$935.85 | 106 | 46.2%49 W · 57 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd49b…bdf9backed No | 8c | 9,860$803 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$802.93 | 59 | 32.2%19 W · 40 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8dd…ec86backed No | 7c | 7,239$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.99 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 7c | 6,557$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.23 | 528 | 50.8%268 W · 260 L | +20.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 9c | 4,842$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.53 | 399 | 52.4%209 W · 190 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed No | 8c | 4,317$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.32 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88e3…384ebacked No | 8c | 3,951$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.96 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -58.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e60…ae42backed No | 6c | 3,167$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -79.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 8c | 2,763$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.12 | 223 | 55.6%124 W · 99 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82f6…e2f7backed No | 8c | 2,519$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60fd…89a9backed No | 7c | 2,130$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.25 | 135 | 7.4%10 W · 125 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 5cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cd…816cbacked No | 7c | 2,004$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.54 | 186 | 28.5%53 W · 133 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83d2…adebbacked No | 6c | 1,902$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.91 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked No | 7c | 1,755$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.97 | 254 | 3.5%9 W · 245 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e82…af92backed No | 11c | 1,565$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.01 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8575…87febacked No | 6c | 1,529$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.48 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 6c | 1,379$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.83 | 343 | 54.8%188 W · 155 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed No | 7c | 1,348$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.4 | 211 | 7.1%15 W · 196 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 5cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf524…8178backed No | 7c | 1,277$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.7 | 132 | 25%33 W · 99 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad5f…a8babacked No | 9c | 1,221$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.78 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa271…2727backed No | 1c | 1,159$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.61 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x168f…9e00backed No | 8c | 1,134$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.72 | 106 | 34.9%37 W · 69 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 8c | 1,001$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.66 | 183 | 48.6%89 W · 94 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51c0…b45bbacked No | 5c | 990$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.23 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39b0…07d1backed No | 8c | 982.59$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.88 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 23cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 6c | 966.95$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.26 | 884 | 48.5%429 W · 455 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x027c…b158backed Yes | 44c | 954$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$534.24 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +3.2wins | +0.13per pick | 24cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdf01…c782backed No | 7c | 700$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.3 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed No | 10c | 644.23$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.03 | 146 | 37%54 W · 92 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa328…4977backed No | 6c | 578.57$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.79 | 132 | 43.9%58 W · 74 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2be6…e054backed No | 9c | 574.04$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.23 | 55 | 12.7%7 W · 48 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 7c | 572.08$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.59 | 360 | 55.3%199 W · 161 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1b7…818abacked No | 7c | 554.57$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.69 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e72…ffb9backed No | 6c | 537.17$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.06 | 168 | 50.6%85 W · 83 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9be5…6c75backed No | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 8c | 475.48$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.7 | 311 | 52.4%163 W · 148 L | -12.4wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 8c | 472.86$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.27 | 1,431 | 10.1%145 W · 1,286 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48ec…8f36backed Yes | 43c | 426.61$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.17 | 21 | 76.2%16 W · 5 L | +7.0wins | +0.33per pick | 43cpaid | +79.4%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x5edc…bbadbacked No | 8c | 417.36$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.01 | 88 | 54.5%48 W · 40 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dcf…a7bdbacked No | 7c | 405$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.09 | 200 | 65%130 W · 70 L | +12.7wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5ee7…2279backed No | 8c | 400$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e9a…f3bbbacked Yes | 76c | 389$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.57 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +3.2wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +472.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5ecf…af11backed No | 8c | 368$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.26 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | -4.6wins | -0.14per pick | 38cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0739…aba8backed No | 8c | 323.6$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.89 | 86 | 36%31 W · 55 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9892…fd59backed No | 10c | 261.96$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 7c | 259.13$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.23 | 263 | 55.9%147 W · 116 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed No | 12c | 234.88$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.94 | 316 | 35.1%111 W · 205 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b5f…0ecdbacked No | 8c | 225$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.75 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98fe…a440backed No | 15c | 213.1$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8b…2512backed No | 7c | 210.34$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.34 | 167 | 55.1%92 W · 75 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd76…77bdbacked No | 14c | 200$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f66…3a50backed No | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -3.0wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +59.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0957…77e8backed No | 8c | 181.31$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.54 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe681…19f8backed No | 7c | 172$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.04 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5566…7c29backed No | 7c | 169.87$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.87 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…22cdbacked No | 11c | 139$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.75 | 164 | 50.6%83 W · 81 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb732…6900backed No | 8c | 138$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.62 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1backed No | 8c | 133.44$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.43 | 145 | 53.8%78 W · 67 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa108…6e92backed Yes | 76c | 129.61$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b5…9db1backed No | 16c | 126.47$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.53 | 122 | 49.2%60 W · 62 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x081a…66d0backed No | 11c | 118.44$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.58 | 142 | 25.4%36 W · 106 L | -8.0wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b0d…9501backed No | 12c | 117$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.04 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +18%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4333…1f57backed No | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1075…19c1backed No | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac2d…a9c4backed Yes | 78c | 99.81$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.96 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07cc…954fbacked Yes | 72c | 61.71$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.21 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +296.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6c…e3f5backed Yes | 78c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b6…3eabbacked Yes | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8629…bdf5backed Yes | 78c | 33$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd074…5a54backed Yes | 78c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.52 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 76cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Robert Abela be the next Prime Minister of Malta following the 2026 Maltese general election?this page
- Will Alex Borg be the next Prime Minister of Malta following the 2026 Maltese general election?No won
- Will Arnold Cassola be the next Prime Minister of Malta following the 2026 Maltese general election?No won
- Will Paul Salomone be the next Prime Minister of Malta following the 2026 Maltese general election?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.