South American Leagues · resolved market
CA Independiente vs. Racing Club: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7c337e53baba6e9ee56ebdb3d385f6f9225be3194882a47645383739d44ab8e3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,720
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,123
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,720 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 69c | 3,532$2,451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,080.72 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…d7a0backed Over | 29c | 3,460$1,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,003.23 | 148 | 29.7%44 W · 104 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Over | 31c | 1,079$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.42 | 128 | 27.3%35 W · 93 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2dc…b624backed Over | 30c | 999.92$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.97 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed Over | 50c | 399.68$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.84 | 133 | 51.1%68 W · 65 L | -7.4wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…29e6backed Under | 69c | 340.48$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.99 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Under | 69c | 339.11$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.58 | 335 | 60.9%204 W · 131 L | +18.7wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Under | 69c | 339.11$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.58 | 367 | 57.5%211 W · 156 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07d0…1310backed Under | 69c | 339.11$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.58 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Under | 69c | 339.11$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.58 | 412 | 56.6%233 W · 179 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed Under | 69c | 339.11$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.58 | 123 | 61.8%76 W · 47 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…e607backed Under | 37c | 270$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.1 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Over | 63c | 264.01$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.32 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf021…df56backed Under | 77c | 248.08$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.04 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 55c | 247.73$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.5 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 55c | 199.79$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.83 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 37c | 135.87$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.05 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 852 | 20.7%176 W · 676 L | -85.2wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 66c | 97.96$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.65 | 836 | 42.9%359 W · 477 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d9d…7d9ebacked Over | 25c | 95.5$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.88 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -22%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4556…2b3cbacked Over | 31c | 93.84$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.84 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.17per pick | 29cpaid | +64.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x445c…c4f1backed Over | 63c | 93.12$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.67 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe777…c734backed Under | 69c | 87.85$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.15 | 58 | 60.3%35 W · 23 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x873d…f7a9backed Under | 56c | 86.93$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.25 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 64cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 69c | 84.37$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.14 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb85e…e18dbacked Over | 30c | 80.4$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.95 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3bda…28eabacked Over | 18c | 79.76$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.36 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.22per pick | 51cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 74c | 78.38$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.7 | 235 | 51.5%121 W · 114 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 35c | 73.99$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.96 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25e3…b729backed Over | 32c | 72.09$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.02 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 67c | 69.58$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.13 | 1,328 | 57%757 W · 571 L | +57.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b52…22cbbacked Under | 69c | 68.16$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.47 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3622…083dbacked Over | 25c | 67.96$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.19 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 75c | 65.86$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.27 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb239…80b4backed Over | 62c | 61.27$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.74 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -3.4wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd43…7b3fbacked Over | 32c | 59.71$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.19 | 96 | 54.2%52 W · 44 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a76…b30fbacked Over | 23c | 53.91$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 63 | 39.7%25 W · 38 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1121…6604backed Over | 57c | 39.57$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.72 | 109 | 43.1%47 W · 62 L | -5.9wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7798…9ef0backed Under | 78c | 37.95$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.35 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5587…6d07backed Over | 64c | 30.58$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.57 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.31per pick | 56cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x129b…190abacked Under | 69c | 28.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.62 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ea3…71a1backed Under | 69c | 24.75$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.63 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +3.9wins | +0.22per pick | 51cpaid | +44.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0f…574cbacked Under | 78c | 22.91$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.04 | 68 | 66.2%45 W · 23 L | +6.2wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…e568backed Over | 66c | 19.3$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.73 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CA Independiente vs. Racing Club: O/U 1.5this page
- CA Independiente vs. Racing Club: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- CA Independiente vs. Racing Club: O/U 2.5Under won
- Spread: Racing Club (-2.5)CA Independiente won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.