Bundesliga · resolved market
1. FC Union Berlin vs. FC St. Pauli 1910: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8a6a2a794f78c77bd1dc34c851c1d0bf1f544d974400c079236eb29041d76a05
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $89,097
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $93,217
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $89,097 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 185 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 39c | 14,905$5,787 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,787.49 | 100 | 41%41 W · 59 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 59c | 13,130$7,742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,387.86 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Under | 61c | 10,000$6,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,899.98 | 166 | 47%78 W · 88 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Over | 47c | 9,000$4,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,250 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 60c | 8,074$4,825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,248.99 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00a0…bf76backed Over | 33c | 7,346$2,409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,409.4 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 58c | 6,897$4,023 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,873.51 | 481 | 41.8%201 W · 280 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf78…7736backed Under | 47c | 5,775$2,713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,062.24 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 63c | 4,451$2,787 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,664.26 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee19…555ebacked Over | 39c | 3,458$1,349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,348.79 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6204…0b06backed Over | 47c | 3,000$1,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,410 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +154.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa396…0019backed Over | 22c | 2,884$633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$632.75 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 76c | 1,599$1,210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.44 | 1,013 | 44.5%451 W · 562 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 73c | 1,594$1,164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.23 | 486 | 58.6%285 W · 201 L | +44.5wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +33%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3520…1fa0backed Over | 51c | 1,256$641 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640.6 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Under | 56c | 1,234$695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539.41 | 186 | 44.1%82 W · 104 L | -10.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd146…9bf0backed Under | 61c | 1,000$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390 | 51 | 33.3%17 W · 34 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -22%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Over | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 129 | 52.7%68 W · 61 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3054…699bbacked Under | 62c | 999.98$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.99 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 50cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd91a…211cbacked Over | 29c | 990.41$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.22 | 50 | 24%12 W · 38 L | -5.3wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfe02…dababacked Under | 44c | 959.09$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$537.09 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8d4…7a70backed Over | 31c | 927.68$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Under | 61c | 915.68$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.6 | 140 | 55%77 W · 63 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Under | 62c | 788.06$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.46 | 187 | 59.4%111 W · 76 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Over | 35c | 764.12$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.62 | 100 | 26%26 W · 74 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c2e…a948backed Over | 54c | 720.75$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.2 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +4.7wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +27%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 61c | 716.15$437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.3 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Over | 36c | 673.12$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.32 | 241 | 32%77 W · 164 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 61c | 576.35$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.54 | 298 | 55.4%165 W · 133 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 49c | 571.37$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.89 | 339 | 38.1%129 W · 210 L | -16.0wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Over | 39c | 494.05$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.68 | 105 | 54.3%57 W · 48 L | +7.2wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa46d…d8e5backed Under | 61c | 420$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.8 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2f…37ddbacked Under | 49c | 416.54$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.42 | 65 | 43.1%28 W · 37 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee7…4c1abacked Under | 60c | 409.54$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.2 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x95ef…ff92backed Over | 42c | 402.17$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.91 | 49 | 16.3%8 W · 41 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e19…1495backed Over | 49c | 395.67$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.88 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +2.7wins | +0.12per pick | 62cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x12f1…3cd3backed Over | 51c | 388.24$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1ef…9fadbacked Over | 48c | 386.73$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.63 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb8…a6fabacked Over | 38c | 380.05$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.42 | 74 | 58.1%43 W · 31 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 65cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd871…6bbabacked Over | 47c | 379.99$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.6 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +55.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd810…2eb8backed Under | 61c | 370$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.3 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…4806backed Over | 55c | 353.82$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.6 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 58cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe735…4198backed Under | 61c | 300$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x666b…d240backed Under | 61c | 300$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd147…ecbdbacked Over | 35c | 299.99$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 76 | 46.1%35 W · 41 L | +8.9wins | +0.12per pick | 34cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7ee3…4095backed Over | 38c | 288.84$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40bf…8bdcbacked Over | 55c | 271.57$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0542…e195backed Over | 56c | 260.79$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.04 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.25per pick | 37cpaid | +128.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5545…9d86backed Under | 78c | 244.41$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.97 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76e4…febcbacked Over | 40c | 241$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.4 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…3335backed Over | 67c | 239.09$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.19 | 63 | 66.7%42 W · 21 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 72cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e15…8ea4backed Over | 42c | 229.81$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.52 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Under | 61c | 222.18$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.72 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.26per pick | 60cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…4f4cbacked Under | 58c | 218.07$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.84 | 49 | 71.4%35 W · 14 L | +7.3wins | +0.15per pick | 57cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5976…7f3fbacked Over | 48c | 201.83$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.88 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b7…93ebbacked Under | 62c | 200.14$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.53 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +42.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b6a…8aa7backed Under | 61c | 200$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5660…1707backed Under | 61c | 200$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x447d…bd4abacked Over | 49c | 197.84$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.94 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe761…8a64backed Under | 60c | 195.05$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.02 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x482c…cbe8backed Under | 66c | 192.97$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.49 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 67cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca6…6a20backed Over | 39c | 192.68$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.15 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ece…8786backed Over | 51c | 190.31$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.06 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd06f…0263backed Over | 48c | 188.2$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.43 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed Under | 61c | 180.33$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.02 | 68 | 60.3%41 W · 27 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa853…58a9backed Over | 14c | 179.27$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.98 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.46per pick | 21cpaid | +175.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac7…c99abacked Over | 55c | 176.91$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.3 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.19per pick | 54cpaid | +50.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5f22…2935backed Under | 56c | 173.86$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.5 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Under | 56c | 173.86$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.5 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4fc…e772backed Under | 57c | 172.19$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.77 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f7e…d633backed Under | 45c | 171.91$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Under | 60c | 171$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.4 | 157 | 47.1%74 W · 83 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8a…02acbacked Under | 60c | 167.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.77 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04b3…ad8dbacked Over | 38c | 161.99$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.56 | 110 | 60%66 W · 44 L | +13.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +26%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe689…b81abacked Under | 62c | 157.61$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.89 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae7b…aec1backed Under | 62c | 156.88$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.29 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc6…c936backed Over | 53c | 155.24$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.62 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -3.6wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 57c | 150$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.47 | 206 | 45.6%94 W · 112 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63c5…1ecbbacked Over | 38c | 150$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 65 | 41.5%27 W · 38 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x22e8…8435backed Under | 60c | 149.83$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.65 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…860fbacked Over | 53c | 149.35$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.74 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5694…7f3dbacked Over | 28c | 144.99$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…cbcdbacked Under | 60c | 143.31$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.46 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0bec…c707backed Under | 59c | 136.44$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.87 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5f…849cbacked Over | 40c | 134.96$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.98 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Over | 36c | 133.31$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.55 | 126 | 35.7%45 W · 81 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28e8…6080backed Under | 61c | 124.12$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.41 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…46e5backed Over | 37c | 122.23$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.22 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +58.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 64c | 108.14$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.48 | 550 | 58.7%323 W · 227 L | +23.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56c2…abcbbacked Under | 45c | 107.44$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.09 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x25e3…b729backed Over | 54c | 106.24$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.37 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0954…012abacked Over | 47c | 103$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.41 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x811c…fd36backed Over | 37c | 101.42$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.53 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Over | 58c | 100.84$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.49 | 190 | 55.3%105 W · 85 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca2d…39edbacked Under | 60c | 100.4$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.16 | 98 | 38.8%38 W · 60 L | -6.8wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Under | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 64 | 42.2%27 W · 37 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 54c | 99.92$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.38 | 1,305 | 40.8%532 W · 773 L | -42.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Over | 53c | 98.76$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.48 | 108 | 63%68 W · 40 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbd7…6d6cbacked Over | 47c | 96.82$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.51 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c57…40febacked Under | 61c | 96.69$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.71 | 17 | 82.4%14 W · 3 L | +5.4wins | +0.32per pick | 51cpaid | +61.5%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- 1. FC Union Berlin vs. FC St. Pauli 1910: O/U 2.5this page
- 1. FC Union Berlin vs. FC St. Pauli 1910: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- 1. FC Union Berlin vs. FC St. Pauli 1910: O/U 1.5Over won
- 1. FC Union Berlin vs. FC St. Pauli 1910: O/U 3.5Under won
- 1. FC Union Berlin vs. FC St. Pauli 1910: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: 1. FC Union Berlin (-1.5)FC St. Pauli 1910 won
- Spread: 1. FC Union Berlin (-2.5)FC St. Pauli 1910 won
- Spread: FC St. Pauli 1910 (-1.5)1. FC Union Berlin won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.