Other European Leagues · resolved market
NEC vs. Feyenoord Rotterdam: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf96eb70cecf992c3b11a6f166c5e8d444fba58c97d4fa59b10b02f7328ac737b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,636
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,695
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,636 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x74d0…de45backed Under | 48c | 3,533$1,686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,686.26 | 82 | 46.3%38 W · 44 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 26c | 2,941$769 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$768.56 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec59…bb35backed Over | 54c | 2,000$1,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$929.98 | 90 | 61.1%55 W · 35 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0176…910ebacked Under | 6c | 1,596$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 13c | 1,522$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.41 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 35c | 1,222$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424.12 | 1,282 | 50.2%644 W · 638 L | -25.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 45c | 1,180$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525.41 | 920 | 43.4%399 W · 521 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 13c | 961$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.93 | 1,107 | 47.7%528 W · 579 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 13c | 960.96$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.92 | 1,467 | 48%704 W · 763 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 27c | 737.68$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539.74 | 985 | 52.3%515 W · 470 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 12c | 736.59$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.28 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 66c | 582.67$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.63 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46d3…2c20backed Over | 66c | 530.3$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.3 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe23b…df94backed Over | 39c | 400$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +153.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe91c…5331backed Over | 68c | 369.91$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.96 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 51c | 367.86$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.9 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over | 26c | 358.15$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.36 | 501 | 46.1%231 W · 270 L | -17.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbde…3dc9backed Under | 16c | 300$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 177 | 45.2%80 W · 97 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b03…cc45backed Under | 15c | 266.67$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25e3…b729backed Over | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.31per pick | 55cpaid | +63.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 18c | 181.18$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.39 | 1,159 | 60.7%703 W · 456 L | +68.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Over | 60c | 152.13$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.63 | 409 | 58.9%241 W · 168 L | +16.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Over | 60c | 151.76$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.26 | 306 | 56.2%172 W · 134 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 40c | 142.57$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.82 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Over | 59c | 137.8$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.33 | 322 | 59.3%191 W · 131 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Over | 60c | 136.55$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.08 | 260 | 60.8%158 W · 102 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe398…ee2ebacked Over | 75c | 135$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.75 | 31 | 80.6%25 W · 6 L | +3.9wins | +0.12per pick | 68cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Under | 35c | 108.93$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.86 | 437 | 21.7%95 W · 342 L | -49.3wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0655…faf8backed Over | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 72 | 51.4%37 W · 35 L | -5.1wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -10%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3d12…cc43backed Over | 46c | 86.96$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.96 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Over | 75c | 85.08$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.24 | 383 | 58.7%225 W · 158 L | +18.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcccd…8377backed Over | 72c | 69.44$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97b2…1c44backed Over | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 92 | 56.5%52 W · 40 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14c3…0262backed Over | 24c | 54.55$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.55 | 79 | 26.6%21 W · 58 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 22cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd80…5ef4backed Over | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.55 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb9…2772backed Over | 53c | 48$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.37 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88d1…e058backed Under | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a91…7ebabacked Under | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…8757backed Over | 74c | 28.57$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.29 | 133 | 60.2%80 W · 53 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f22…0fb4backed Over | 70c | 28.38$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.39 | 72 | 51.4%37 W · 35 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd27d…a84fbacked Over | 75c | 28.36$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.08 | 112 | 54.5%61 W · 51 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ffe…9150backed Over | 62c | 27.2$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.35 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7aec…ef65backed Over | 39c | 25.66$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.58 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Over | 79c | 17.75$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.73 | 343 | 58.9%202 W · 141 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Over | 79c | 17.75$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.73 | 209 | 53.1%111 W · 98 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Over | 80c | 17.53$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.51 | 383 | 59.3%227 W · 156 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66fc…2720backed Over | 78c | 14.98$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.28 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Over | 73c | 13.74$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.71 | 256 | 53.1%136 W · 120 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed Over | 73c | 13.74$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.71 | 198 | 60.1%119 W · 79 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6569…7600backed Over | 73c | 13.74$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.71 | 117 | 58.1%68 W · 49 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06e7…3acabacked Over | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 110 | 56.4%62 W · 48 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd499…7d5bbacked Over | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- NEC vs. Feyenoord Rotterdam: O/U 1.5this page
- NEC vs. Feyenoord Rotterdam: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- NEC vs. Feyenoord Rotterdam: O/U 2.5Under won
- NEC vs. Feyenoord Rotterdam: O/U 3.5Under won
- NEC vs. Feyenoord Rotterdam: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Feyenoord Rotterdam (-1.5)NEC won
- Spread: NEC (-1.5)Feyenoord Rotterdam won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.