Other European Leagues · resolved market
NEC vs. Feyenoord Rotterdam: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x56d3dc97c96594d9dce777200d9907f618c50d2aba46637c53688a6798efedbe
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,675
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,418
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,675 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Over | 28c | 1,964$557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$557.14 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33bb…98b3backed Over | 39c | 1,944$766 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$766 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbf3…aa3abacked Under | 59c | 1,695$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$694.92 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -2.9wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd91a…211cbacked Over | 35c | 1,673$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588 | 96 | 37.5%36 W · 60 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 57c | 870.75$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.93 | 546 | 50.4%275 W · 271 L | +15.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 58c | 771.62$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.1 | 1,282 | 50.2%644 W · 638 L | -25.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775e…6541backed Over | 42c | 713.38$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.62 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -30%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 63c | 702.46$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.78 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x370e…5df3backed Over | 47c | 600$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282 | 194 | 41.8%81 W · 113 L | -13.8wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…ebbfbacked Under | 53c | 600$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282 | 188 | 52.7%99 W · 89 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Over | 40c | 527.5$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211 | 168 | 26.2%44 W · 124 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x882a…cde2backed Under | 57c | 435.36$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.46 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 19c | 380.78$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.27 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c15…9667backed Over | 47c | 300$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141 | 188 | 49.5%93 W · 95 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbde…3dc9backed Under | 53c | 300$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141 | 177 | 45.2%80 W · 97 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed Over | 43c | 298$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.14 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 63c | 266.45$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.12 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cb…9b76backed Over | 44c | 264.94$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.57 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.31per pick | 56cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc95b…f819backed Under | 55c | 165.45$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.45 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb581…0308backed Over | 48c | 129.97$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.39 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…20bfbacked Under | 49c | 122.45$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.45 | 49 | 65.3%32 W · 17 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca2d…39edbacked Over | 45c | 122.4$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.08 | 115 | 53%61 W · 54 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3991…b6c7backed Over | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -3.3wins | -0.19per pick | 43cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Over | 52c | 90.46$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.49 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 62c | 72.45$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.21 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 48c | 70$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 513 | 56.3%289 W · 224 L | +23.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 55c | 45.2$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.34 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Over | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 327 | 39.4%129 W · 198 L | -22.7wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…572dbacked Over | 46c | 41.85$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.25 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1956…1ef8backed Under | 57c | 26.32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.32 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e4…d947backed Over | 51c | 25.1$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -3.0wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5bfe…0741backed Under | 52c | 20.83$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 82 | 52.4%43 W · 39 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- NEC vs. Feyenoord Rotterdam: O/U 3.5this page
- NEC vs. Feyenoord Rotterdam: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- NEC vs. Feyenoord Rotterdam: O/U 1.5Over won
- NEC vs. Feyenoord Rotterdam: O/U 2.5Under won
- NEC vs. Feyenoord Rotterdam: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Feyenoord Rotterdam (-1.5)NEC won
- Spread: NEC (-1.5)Feyenoord Rotterdam won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.