Other European Leagues · resolved market
NEC vs. Feyenoord Rotterdam: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfefa213da0067f61e8a2c1903081d031a48b27b40b0f5af427b6b0099e7b6b10
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,917
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,755
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,917 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x33bb…98b3backed Over | 60c | 2,251$1,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,350 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74d0…de45backed Under | 39c | 1,786$697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,089.4 | 82 | 46.3%38 W · 44 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbf3…aa3abacked Under | 36c | 1,375$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$875.49 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -2.9wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Over | 51c | 1,331$682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$681.62 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 43c | 1,004$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$568.8 | 1,282 | 50.2%644 W · 638 L | -25.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff80…9b4dbacked Under | 68c | 586.38$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.64 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 56cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c80…93b5backed Under | 36c | 511.71$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.49 | 149 | 45.6%68 W · 81 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c2…190dbacked Over | 57c | 493.74$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.43 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46d3…2c20backed Over | 62c | 483.87$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb581…0308backed Over | 50c | 402$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.64 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Over | 32c | 384.38$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123 | 168 | 26.2%44 W · 124 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b84…2f73backed Under | 59c | 338.98$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.98 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 41c | 336.82$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.23 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Over | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 357 | 40.6%145 W · 212 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Under | 43c | 218.96$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.81 | 383 | 58.7%225 W · 158 L | +18.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 34c | 206.81$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.97 | 550 | 50.2%276 W · 274 L | +14.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97b3…4a85backed Over | 57c | 203$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.71 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 31c | 180$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.2 | 1,477 | 48.3%713 W · 764 L | +5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 56c | 160$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.8 | 513 | 56.3%289 W · 224 L | +23.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x802f…e008backed Over | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 144 | 68.8%99 W · 45 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 35c | 138.48$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.39 | 2,361 | 46.8%1,106 W · 1,255 L | +14.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 61c | 132.02$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.07 | 7,966 | 45.3%3,608 W · 4,358 L | +9.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc770…8dbbbacked Over | 66c | 100$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 230 | 61.3%141 W · 89 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 938 | 45.4%426 W · 512 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x882a…cde2backed Under | 34c | 95.49$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.02 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 53c | 86.78$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.85 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Under | 42c | 83.03$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.34 | 322 | 59.3%191 W · 131 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d12…cc43backed Over | 31c | 80.65$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…1212backed Under | 54c | 79.63$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.63 | 211 | 36.5%77 W · 134 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 35c | 69.98$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.55 | 2,588 | 52.1%1,348 W · 1,240 L | +10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Under | 43c | 69.84$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.05 | 306 | 56.2%172 W · 134 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e41…36f2backed Over | 57c | 53$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.21 | 232 | 56.9%132 W · 100 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb18c…df51backed Over | 57c | 52.63$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 120 | 47.5%57 W · 63 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 59c | 50.76$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.87 | 5,655 | 42%2,376 W · 3,279 L | +75.7wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6ab…3e5cbacked Under | 63c | 46.22$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.1 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.23per pick | 61cpaid | +46.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94aa…975abacked Under | 40c | 41.62$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.97 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +25%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d5…2b9cbacked Over | 56c | 41.36$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.16 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -3.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8b1f…4eebbacked Over | 68c | 40$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.2 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 63cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…51dabacked Over | 65c | 38.46$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a94…769cbacked Over | 67c | 37.31$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Over | 66c | 36.86$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.15 | 409 | 58.9%241 W · 168 L | +16.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd27d…a84fbacked Over | 66c | 32.21$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.1 | 112 | 54.5%61 W · 51 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9055…8fbfbacked Over | 54c | 31.5$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.01 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.17per pick | 59cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Over | 65c | 31.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.32 | 260 | 60.8%158 W · 102 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Over | 65c | 31.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.32 | 343 | 58.9%202 W · 141 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…8757backed Over | 65c | 31.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.32 | 133 | 60.2%80 W · 53 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Over | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 260 | 60%156 W · 104 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03f5…3047backed Over | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 112 | 56.3%63 W · 49 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e45…efefbacked Over | 60c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -2.8wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -32%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Over | 64c | 23.72$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.18 | 191 | 56.5%108 W · 83 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9549…d3cbbacked Over | 66c | 22.73$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Over | 65c | 20.96$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.63 | 209 | 53.1%111 W · 98 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- NEC vs. Feyenoord Rotterdam: O/U 2.5this page
- NEC vs. Feyenoord Rotterdam: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- NEC vs. Feyenoord Rotterdam: O/U 1.5Over won
- NEC vs. Feyenoord Rotterdam: O/U 3.5Under won
- NEC vs. Feyenoord Rotterdam: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Feyenoord Rotterdam (-1.5)NEC won
- Spread: NEC (-1.5)Feyenoord Rotterdam won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.