Premier League · resolved market
Preston North End FC vs. Queens Park Rangers FC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfa986fa432b79398bc9990e721e529c6071a08e3c536a1452b3a2261228d3a17
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,197
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,876
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,197 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb6d0…9b55backed Over | 51c | 1,900$965 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$935.3 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7fa…f6dfbacked Over | 45c | 1,395$626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$769.63 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e9…2732backed Over | 57c | 1,270$724 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$546.1 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 68cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 56c | 985.42$549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.21 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 49c | 928.8$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455.11 | 768 | 42.6%327 W · 441 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6945…873dbacked Over | 74c | 676.82$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.82 | 111 | 69.4%77 W · 34 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 72cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6619…703ebacked Over | 74c | 672.81$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.81 | 321 | 64.5%207 W · 114 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 46c | 594.26$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.73 | 1,934 | 42.4%820 W · 1,114 L | -43.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3622…083dbacked Over | 41c | 510.95$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.46 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Under | 26c | 499.9$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.97 | 43 | 25.6%11 W · 32 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 22cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 26c | 490.74$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.91 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed Under | 55c | 417.95$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.85 | 90 | 58.9%53 W · 37 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bef…3afdbacked Under | 56c | 391.99$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.15 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee7…4c1abacked Under | 55c | 355.62$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.74 | 55 | 61.8%34 W · 21 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1650…42f6backed Under | 31c | 328.77$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.92 | 70 | 37.1%26 W · 44 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 48c | 289.62$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.8 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 44c | 271.09$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.26 | 140 | 55%77 W · 63 L | +18.4wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x25e3…b729backed Over | 41c | 217.07$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.07 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a53…074abacked Under | 51c | 209.12$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.65 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…4f4cbacked Under | 60c | 208.48$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.32 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8a…02acbacked Under | 51c | 207.65$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.9 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -3.0wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x91ca…2ab7backed Under | 42c | 200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 43c | 150.02$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.8 | 1,272 | 50.4%641 W · 631 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed Under | 56c | 131.36$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.56 | 98 | 51%50 W · 48 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x17f5…3e64backed Under | 51c | 113.33$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.8 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47f9…4731backed Over | 71c | 110$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.9 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -3.6wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x22e8…8435backed Under | 51c | 109.71$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.95 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc770…8dbbbacked Over | 73c | 100$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 88 | 58%51 W · 37 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 41c | 100$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59 | 596 | 45.5%271 W · 325 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 47c | 68.29$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.19 | 188 | 51.6%97 W · 91 L | +13.2wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d12…a4c4backed Over | 44c | 61.7$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.7 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +4.3wins | +0.24per pick | 48cpaid | +44.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0079…b852backed Over | 57c | 52.63$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.63 | 57 | 57.9%33 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd257…d215backed Under | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 452 | 24.8%112 W · 340 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Under | 26c | 49.85$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.99 | 133 | 47.4%63 W · 70 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f2…2512backed Over | 41c | 42.17$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.88 | 83 | 42.2%35 W · 48 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf69b…a6ddbacked Over | 50c | 36.64$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.32 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa24f…7c58backed Over | 56c | 28.37$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.42 | 93 | 55.9%52 W · 41 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf09b…5971backed Over | 45c | 28.04$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.42 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c5…20d0backed Over | 73c | 27.23$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.35 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea77…686ebacked Over | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -2.8wins | -0.18per pick | 61cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x38a5…37a5backed Over | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 70cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b7…93ebbacked Under | 51c | 20.4$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 45 | 62.2%28 W · 17 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Over | 70c | 18.8$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 1,264 | 33.7%426 W · 838 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Preston North End FC vs. Queens Park Rangers FC: O/U 1.5this page
- Preston North End FC vs. Queens Park Rangers FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Preston North End FC vs. Queens Park Rangers FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Preston North End FC vs. Queens Park Rangers FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Preston North End FC vs. Queens Park Rangers FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Preston North End FC (-1.5)Queens Park Rangers FC won
- Spread: Preston North End FC (-2.5)Queens Park Rangers FC won
- Spread: Queens Park Rangers FC (-1.5)Preston North End FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.