TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Spread: Preston North End FC (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Queens Park Rangers FCof Preston North End FC, Queens Park Rangers FC
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,012
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,013

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,012 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2005…75eabacked Preston North End FC24c594.78$142 inLost-$142.214,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Preston North End FC26c218.63$56 inLost-$56.251,93442.4%820 W · 1,114 L-43.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Queens Park Rangers FC74c217.67$162 inWon+$55.916,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Preston North End FC25c105.99$26 inLost-$26.51,66234.9%580 W · 1,082 L-32.0wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa8ed…8bb4backed Queens Park Rangers FC75c53$40 inWon+$13.253562.9%22 W · 13 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Queens Park Rangers FC75c52.79$40 inWon+$13.239555.9%221 W · 174 L+17.3wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+3.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Queens Park Rangers FC75c52.79$40 inWon+$13.216753.3%89 W · 78 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Queens Park Rangers FC75c52.79$40 inWon+$13.223556.2%132 W · 103 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe6a3…04bebacked Queens Park Rangers FC75c52.79$40 inWon+$13.210861.1%66 W · 42 L+5.1wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+6.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa42c…b22ebacked Queens Park Rangers FC75c52.79$40 inWon+$13.23369.7%23 W · 10 L+4.4wins+0.13per pick56cpaid+17%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Queens Park Rangers FC75c52.79$40 inWon+$13.216757.5%96 W · 71 L+7.1wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Queens Park Rangers FC75c52.79$40 inWon+$13.227552.7%145 W · 130 L-1.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked Queens Park Rangers FC75c52.79$40 inWon+$13.213748.9%67 W · 70 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-10.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Queens Park Rangers FC75c52.79$40 inWon+$13.230057%171 W · 129 L+7.1wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe02…5fb3backed Queens Park Rangers FC75c52.79$40 inWon+$13.210655.7%59 W · 47 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb5bd…b891backed Queens Park Rangers FC75c52.79$40 inWon+$13.26462.5%40 W · 24 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6569…7600backed Queens Park Rangers FC75c52.79$40 inWon+$13.27263.9%46 W · 26 L+4.9wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+6.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.