Premier League · resolved market
Preston North End FC vs. Queens Park Rangers FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x31e2e9bd8de3968803075b355d1add63f88c92260f02c6519e002330649a4e78
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,149
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,901
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,149 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc95b…f819backed Over | 50c | 2,130$1,065 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,065 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | -5.4wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over | 48c | 2,093$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 107 | 39.3%42 W · 65 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 51c | 1,812$918 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$894.2 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 62c | 1,268$786 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$482.55 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 31c | 1,120$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.12 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Over | 49c | 1,017$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 200 | 54.5%109 W · 91 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c80…93b5backed Over | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 141 | 38.3%54 W · 87 L | -8.9wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…30ccbacked Under | 51c | 980.39$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.39 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6394…9749backed Over | 50c | 900.2$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 51c | 780.97$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.44 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Under | 52c | 576.3$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.78 | 133 | 47.4%63 W · 70 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Over | 25c | 500$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 265 | 48.3%128 W · 137 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 66c | 444.17$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.67 | 1,934 | 42.4%820 W · 1,114 L | -43.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa35f…b58fbacked Over | 22c | 429.72$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.54 | 234 | 35.9%84 W · 150 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0176…910ebacked Under | 75c | 400.4$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.4 | 84 | 45.2%38 W · 46 L | -5.8wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a66…ae5ebacked Under | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.16 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1966…da9ebacked Under | 52c | 380$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.4 | 125 | 49.6%62 W · 63 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Over | 41c | 365.85$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 97 | 24.7%24 W · 73 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -27%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6619…703ebacked Over | 50c | 350$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 321 | 64.5%207 W · 114 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 52c | 337$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.76 | 210 | 56.7%119 W · 91 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefdd…1e8abacked Under | 52c | 300$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ece…068abacked Under | 51c | 264.99$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.85 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…e607backed Under | 59c | 257.75$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.68 | 73 | 56.2%41 W · 32 L | +6.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ca…117abacked Over | 17c | 234.76$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.91 | 58 | 37.9%22 W · 36 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Under | 51c | 180$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.2 | 518 | 47.3%245 W · 273 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3248…8ba9backed Over | 30c | 167.61$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 71c | 165.96$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.17 | 1,272 | 50.4%641 W · 631 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 52c | 125$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 964 | 43.7%421 W · 543 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 52c | 125$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 1,224 | 42.3%518 W · 706 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 52c | 125$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 1,074 | 45%483 W · 591 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe78…64f1backed Over | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd257…d215backed Over | 36c | 100.19$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 452 | 24.8%112 W · 340 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…bdbabacked Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 191 | 45%86 W · 105 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 596 | 45.5%271 W · 325 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf1e…5d9bbacked Under | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 25 | 80%20 W · 5 L | +4.6wins | +0.18per pick | 62cpaid | +43%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbeb7…ca4abacked Over | 24c | 91.7$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.92 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 52c | 88$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.86 | 1,615 | 53%856 W · 759 L | +33.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 76c | 75.45$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.11 | 318 | 49.1%156 W · 162 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd411…7a18backed Over | 16c | 74.11$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.86 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 18cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Over | 49c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 278 | 46.4%129 W · 149 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a2b…d4e9backed Under | 64c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +3.5wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Under | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 297 | 51.9%154 W · 143 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5279…a8dbbacked Over | 25c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -2.5wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc353…30a8backed Under | 52c | 48.31$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.19 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | -3.9wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4167…f99abacked Under | 52c | 44$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.12 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed Under | 77c | 42.54$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.58 | 90 | 58.9%53 W · 37 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb79f…8ab5backed Over | 43c | 39.72$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf09b…5971backed Over | 31c | 39.11$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.93 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f2…2512backed Over | 50c | 34.58$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.29 | 83 | 42.2%35 W · 48 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61e4…fb60backed Under | 53c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 142 | 58.5%83 W · 59 L | +12.7wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +20%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Over | 49c | 29.25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.3 | 698 | 51.1%357 W · 341 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee7…4c1abacked Under | 79c | 28.93$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.98 | 55 | 61.8%34 W · 21 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21db…2a42backed Over | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 80 | 37.5%30 W · 50 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d90…3bbdbacked Under | 57c | 24$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e1c…a9a5backed Under | 61c | 22.72$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.86 | 99 | 40.4%40 W · 59 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Under | 53c | 22.26$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.46 | 159 | 49.1%78 W · 81 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16fe…9496backed Over | 48c | 22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 296 | 44.6%132 W · 164 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Preston North End FC vs. Queens Park Rangers FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Preston North End FC vs. Queens Park Rangers FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Preston North End FC vs. Queens Park Rangers FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Preston North End FC vs. Queens Park Rangers FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Preston North End FC vs. Queens Park Rangers FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Preston North End FC (-1.5)Queens Park Rangers FC won
- Spread: Preston North End FC (-2.5)Queens Park Rangers FC won
- Spread: Queens Park Rangers FC (-1.5)Preston North End FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.