TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Ipswich Town FC vs. Birmingham City FC: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$18,262
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$21,069

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,262 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 95 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfe78…0319backed Under50c7,245$3,622 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,622.4976842.6%327 W · 441 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Over50c6,016$3,008 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,007.9417557.1%100 W · 75 L+10.7wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+12.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked Under48c1,038$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50010246.1%47 W · 55 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x84d7…298fbacked Over50c511$256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.511727.4%32 W · 85 L+0.5wins0.00per pick27cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd239…2083backed Over48c504.17$242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262.176852.9%36 W · 32 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over52c498.74$258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241.122,55047.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under50c451.19$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.914,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc95b…f819backed Under48c410.78$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.185438.9%21 W · 33 L-5.4wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-22.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa35f…b58fbacked Over35c409.04$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.8823435.9%84 W · 150 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed Under49c396.36$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.2813347.4%63 W · 70 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Over52c384.62$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.6222242.8%95 W · 127 L-5.6wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x76e4…febcbacked Over53c330.16$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.711942.1%8 W · 11 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-17.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6619…703ebacked Over51c313.73$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.7332164.5%207 W · 114 L-9.1wins-0.03per pick67cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under48c300.66$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.272,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d63…0b78backed Under70c224.31$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.021662.5%10 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+9.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x533d…ceeebacked Under12c207.99$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.96140%0 W · 14 L-1.7wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x25e3…b729backed Over53c188.68$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.681361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.6wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+25.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf0ca…117abacked Over62c161.29$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.295837.9%22 W · 36 L-3.3wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-17.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under47c158.46$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.861,93442.4%820 W · 1,114 L-43.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7c15…9667backed Over50c156$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7812744.1%56 W · 71 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-18.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3dfb…ebbfbacked Under50c156$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7812251.6%63 W · 59 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-9.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under56c135.17$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.631,40944.5%627 W · 782 L-6.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-17.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x02bc…1fd2backed Under49c100$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4915738.9%61 W · 96 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Over41c100$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5959645.5%271 W · 325 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0040…9eb8backed Over60c100$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4014463.9%92 W · 52 L+9.8wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+10.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under45c96.76$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.781,66234.9%580 W · 1,082 L-32.0wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over51c89.4$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.756,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xbe78…64f1backed Under65c76.92$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501050%5 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0bec…c707backed Over51c75.59$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.044472.7%32 W · 12 L+5.8wins+0.13per pick60cpaid+18.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xfce1…4f4cbacked Over51c70.59$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.595457.4%31 W · 23 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x30db…44e1backed Over51c70.59$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.599058.9%53 W · 37 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd208…cbcdbacked Over51c70.59$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.593262.5%20 W · 12 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick60cpaid-5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Over50c65.99$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3375850%379 W · 379 L+20.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa295…98bcbacked Over51c59.31$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.315664.3%36 W · 20 L+5.8wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+20.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6859…f7c2backed Over51c58.82$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.823262.5%20 W · 12 L+2.2wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+12.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x654f…61eebacked Under33c57.22$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.73633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-53.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8cbe…4d88backed Under48c49.99$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.991533.3%5 W · 10 L-1.7wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-34.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under48c46.33$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.221,27250.4%641 W · 631 L-53.9wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Over50c42.46$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.231,61553%856 W · 759 L+33.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5587…6d07backed Over51c38.93$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.931172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.4wins+0.22per pick51cpaid+37.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x0056…a7f7backed Over50c38.34$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.1710750.5%54 W · 53 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfdd2…82c5backed Under41c33.9$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.910%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0576…6232backed Under48c25.37$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.2815949.1%78 W · 81 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a2b…d7ffbacked Under49c25$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.25250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb60c…c753backed Under49c25$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.2510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd7fb…3239backed Under48c25$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x17b2…8bd9backed Under48c25$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x808d…ade8backed Over51c24.77$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.142100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick53cpaid+90.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x93a6…9f92backed Over51c24.59$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.051100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xef87…614bbacked Over52c24.57$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.791100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x54d6…53d0backed Over52c24.43$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.731100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1921…44b8backed Over51c24.17$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.841100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf1ff…7150backed Under49c24$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.76250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f6d…255bbacked Under49c24$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.7620%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xec71…156abacked Under49c24$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.7620%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd557…4a76backed Under48c24$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.52250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6e54…5622backed Under49c23.99$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.7610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f32…40fdbacked Over51c23.88$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.72100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick53cpaid+90.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x52af…b8edbacked Over51c23.78$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.651100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x16fe…9496backed Over51c23.53$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.5329644.6%132 W · 164 L-8.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2731…fb6ebacked Over51c23.12$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.33250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf825…b9ffbacked Under65c23.08$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154650%23 W · 23 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcde0…e074backed Over51c23.06$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.32100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9257…2320backed Over51c23.04$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.293100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x304a…81e7backed Under49c23$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.27250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa466…fabfbacked Under49c23$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.2710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x55e2…c6d3backed Under49c23$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.2710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x34e3…507bbacked Under49c23$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.2710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf61d…714bbacked Under49c23$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.2710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb120…6a1abacked Over51c22.97$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.261100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa2f6…08f6backed Over51c22.55$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.051100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c11…92bfbacked Over51c22.19$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.871100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9a01…c5f6backed Under49c22$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.7810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x62fc…1a89backed Under49c22$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.78366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+32.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d5d…a430backed Under49c22$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.7810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xab0d…1e8cbacked Over51c21.79$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.681100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d07…228fbacked Over52c21.76$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.441100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4556…2b3cbacked Over52c21.15$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.15633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-34.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xda2e…53b3backed Over51c21.07$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.321100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1276…db5fbacked Over51c21.04$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.311100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3fc1…9b85backed Under49c21$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.2920%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4670…6018backed Under49c21$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.2920%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2ab2…c0dabacked Under49c21$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.2920%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9ae4…9fa9backed Under48c21$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.0810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8448…e8f2backed Under49c21$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.2910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8506…67eabacked Over52c20.81$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.991100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x959e…d336backed Over52c20.61$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.892100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick52cpaid+94.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xce98…612bbacked Over51c20.5$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.051100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9847…5603backed Over51c20.32$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.961100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7303…c3f6backed Over51c20.21$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.92100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick52cpaid+94.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x85d0…645dbacked Over51c20.1$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.851100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9822…4122backed Over52c20.02$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.611100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6d8…f8a5backed Over50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9f8e…d0c3backed Over51c19.82$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.711100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa62c…7617backed Over52c19.73$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.471100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.