Premier League · resolved market
Spread: Ipswich Town FC (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x45b18a1c28b2ecc9a52ae496e2a078a981ac7d53292935356d4e45ee90aaa0f7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Birmingham City FCof Ipswich Town FC, Birmingham City FC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,277
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,329
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,277 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 13 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa35f…b58fbacked Ipswich Town FC | 35c | 409.05$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.17 | 234 | 35.9%84 W · 150 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Birmingham City FC | 65c | 359.05$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.67 | 175 | 57.1%100 W · 75 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Birmingham City FC | 75c | 317.31$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.31 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd810…2eb8backed Ipswich Town FC | 32c | 185$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.2 | 50 | 68%34 W · 16 L | +8.2wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Ipswich Town FC | 20c | 150.02$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.51 | 408 | 21.8%89 W · 319 L | -53.7wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Ipswich Town FC | 31c | 122.62$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.13 | 1,934 | 42.4%820 W · 1,114 L | -43.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Birmingham City FC | 58c | 83.66$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.77 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Ipswich Town FC | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 353 | 47.6%168 W · 185 L | -15.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Birmingham City FC | 65c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 297 | 51.9%154 W · 143 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9787…37dfbacked Ipswich Town FC | 34c | 44.12$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 50 | 32%16 W · 34 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed Birmingham City FC | 65c | 38.26$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.39 | 109 | 49.5%54 W · 55 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Birmingham City FC | 66c | 30.1$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.23 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed Birmingham City FC | 65c | 29.89$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.46 | 107 | 50.5%54 W · 53 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Ipswich Town FC (-1.5)this page
- Ipswich Town FC vs. Birmingham City FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Ipswich Town FC vs. Birmingham City FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Ipswich Town FC vs. Birmingham City FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Ipswich Town FC vs. Birmingham City FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Ipswich Town FC vs. Birmingham City FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Birmingham City FC (-1.5)Ipswich Town FC won
- Spread: Birmingham City FC (-2.5)Ipswich Town FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.