Premier League · resolved market
Ipswich Town FC vs. Birmingham City FC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x967bfc4110ef90a05a0608dd3e34d8c55b3dad0f94b309f229e4b5bc69f60a7f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,723
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,229
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,723 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 23c | 1,671$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.6 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6619…703ebacked Over | 76c | 657.89$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.89 | 321 | 64.5%207 W · 114 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6945…873dbacked Over | 77c | 649.35$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.35 | 111 | 69.4%77 W · 34 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 72cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61bb…5854backed Over | 64c | 470$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.2 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa529…677ebacked Over | 77c | 469.18$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.91 | 44 | 70.5%31 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 71cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 36c | 437.37$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.9 | 1,934 | 42.4%820 W · 1,114 L | -43.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 20c | 367.68$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.9 | 1,662 | 34.9%580 W · 1,082 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 29c | 206.54$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.9 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1b0…1846backed Over | 76c | 132.28$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.28 | 42 | 71.4%30 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 72cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 24c | 125$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,074 | 45%483 W · 591 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc770…8dbbbacked Over | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 88 | 58%51 W · 37 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 596 | 45.5%271 W · 325 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x241e…04cbbacked Over | 77c | 38.96$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.96 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 66cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x582a…a781backed Over | 76c | 27.63$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.63 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5959…4c4cbacked Over | 66c | 27.27$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.27 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +90.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xea77…686ebacked Over | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -2.8wins | -0.18per pick | 61cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x38a5…37a5backed Over | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 70cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa738…ddedbacked Over | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c78…e29bbacked Over | 66c | 19.99$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 62 | 62.9%39 W · 23 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc67e…0e52backed Over | 76c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.32 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.22per pick | 66cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…eeb1backed Over | 64c | 15.72$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.66 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.21per pick | 58cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Ipswich Town FC vs. Birmingham City FC: O/U 1.5this page
- Ipswich Town FC vs. Birmingham City FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Ipswich Town FC vs. Birmingham City FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Ipswich Town FC vs. Birmingham City FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Ipswich Town FC vs. Birmingham City FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Birmingham City FC (-1.5)Ipswich Town FC won
- Spread: Birmingham City FC (-2.5)Ipswich Town FC won
- Spread: Ipswich Town FC (-1.5)Birmingham City FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.