Premier League · resolved market
Ipswich Town FC vs. Birmingham City FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb8128909590717e84a10da0db5d524c183ebc1079214a37282d23bcc5fae0daf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,074
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,594
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,074 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 26c | 1,268$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$941.13 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6619…703ebacked Under | 73c | 899.48$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.48 | 321 | 64.5%207 W · 114 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd91a…211cbacked Over | 33c | 892.62$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.77 | 82 | 36.6%30 W · 52 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 61c | 757.65$463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$463.48 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 64c | 731.09$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468.36 | 1,409 | 44.5%627 W · 782 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 30c | 695.92$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.24 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6945…873dbacked Under | 72c | 691.9$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.9 | 111 | 69.4%77 W · 34 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 72cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa529…677ebacked Over | 80c | 585.89$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468.71 | 44 | 70.5%31 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 71cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0176…910ebacked Under | 51c | 504.6$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.45 | 84 | 45.2%38 W · 46 L | -5.8wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 66c | 462.5$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.71 | 1,272 | 50.4%641 W · 631 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb881…20a1backed Over | 55c | 455.96$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ed…8bb4backed Under | 46c | 434.78$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.78 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ca…117abacked Over | 73c | 342.45$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.99 | 58 | 37.9%22 W · 36 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef8a…7035backed Over | 71c | 281.35$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.76 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 76cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3248…8ba9backed Over | 65c | 193.54$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.1 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 28c | 135.56$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.91 | 1,615 | 53%856 W · 759 L | +33.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over | 26c | 125$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 964 | 43.7%421 W · 543 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 26c | 125$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 1,074 | 45%483 W · 591 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe78…64f1backed Under | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.38 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd257…d215backed Under | 19c | 100$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 452 | 24.8%112 W · 340 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 35c | 91.39$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.67 | 1,934 | 42.4%820 W · 1,114 L | -43.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc7…b45abacked Under | 76c | 90$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 73cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Over | 26c | 88.15$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.92 | 1,224 | 42.3%518 W · 706 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb24b…04ddbacked Over | 20c | 71.98$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7663…c9aabacked Over | 42c | 71.43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over | 45c | 66.79$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 167 | 31.7%53 W · 114 L | -18.5wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 21c | 62.43$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.32 | 1,264 | 33.7%426 W · 838 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbeb7…ca4abacked Over | 79c | 62.43$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.32 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5279…a8dbbacked Over | 25c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -2.5wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Under | 34c | 43.15$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.6 | 97 | 52.6%51 W · 46 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95fc…10f6backed Over | 30c | 37.67$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.3 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1703…1ab4backed Over | 51c | 35.49$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -3.7wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0bec…c707backed Over | 70c | 31.54$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.08 | 44 | 72.7%32 W · 12 L | +5.8wins | +0.13per pick | 60cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2a53…074abacked Over | 71c | 15.29$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.84 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Ipswich Town FC vs. Birmingham City FC: O/U 3.5this page
- Ipswich Town FC vs. Birmingham City FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Ipswich Town FC vs. Birmingham City FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Ipswich Town FC vs. Birmingham City FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Ipswich Town FC vs. Birmingham City FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Birmingham City FC (-1.5)Ipswich Town FC won
- Spread: Birmingham City FC (-2.5)Ipswich Town FC won
- Spread: Ipswich Town FC (-1.5)Birmingham City FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.