Ligue 1 · resolved market
Le Havre AC vs. AJ Auxerre: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdecca711243443705b77ce6ac6bdfecb6342116f08e172f0bcc8c475940a41cc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,381
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,143
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,381 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 56c | 12,732$7,092 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,639.53 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8790…010bbacked Over | 30c | 9,752$2,921 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,921.34 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +26%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1ef…9fadbacked Over | 71c | 2,762$1,958 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,958.37 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 57c | 2,449$1,395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,053.6 | 626 | 48.6%304 W · 322 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over | 39c | 1,655$645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$645.48 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 38c | 1,275$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.91 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 69c | 1,191$824 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.61 | 486 | 49%238 W · 248 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Under | 60c | 813.33$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.33 | 94 | 58.5%55 W · 39 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 40c | 808.33$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.33 | 525 | 50.1%263 W · 262 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd06f…0263backed Over | 35c | 541.68$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.26 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Under | 58c | 446.5$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.51 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Over | 36c | 305.09$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.56 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9544…790dbacked Under | 59c | 304.14$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.9 | 109 | 42.2%46 W · 63 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 47c | 268.82$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.13 | 356 | 50.6%180 W · 176 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 54c | 264.64$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.31 | 593 | 48.4%287 W · 306 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa517…33efbacked Over | 76c | 200$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 40c | 179.25$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.34 | 873 | 44.3%387 W · 486 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 49c | 150$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.99 | 145 | 44.8%65 W · 80 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Under | 60c | 146.92$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.47 | 143 | 46.9%67 W · 76 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc493…9200backed Over | 72c | 136.56$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.32 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.18per pick | 65cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e4d…1a1fbacked Under | 20c | 119$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.2 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.22per pick | 49cpaid | +85.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x25e3…b729backed Over | 41c | 117.63$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.23 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…bdbabacked Over | 38c | 99.99$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 52 | 36.5%19 W · 33 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Over | 44c | 98.37$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.28 | 266 | 60.5%161 W · 105 L | +25.2wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcc11…c87bbacked Under | 62c | 97.72$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.13 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +2.8wins | +0.20per pick | 58cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 41c | 96.46$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.55 | 223 | 40.8%91 W · 132 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 40c | 83.14$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.26 | 464 | 50.4%234 W · 230 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5545…9d86backed Under | 43c | 81.39$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.52 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0189…cab8backed Under | 60c | 65.21$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.09 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7663…c9aabacked Over | 39c | 61.76$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.09 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9637…a576backed Over | 41c | 58.82$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.12 | 47 | 19.1%9 W · 38 L | -6.4wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4148…4397backed Over | 51c | 57.76$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.46 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +26%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f28…d173backed Under | 65c | 57.5$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.37 | 24 | 75%18 W · 6 L | +3.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8b…63b2backed Under | 62c | 52.01$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.76 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f2…2512backed Over | 39c | 50.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.78 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -4.9wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6924…1455backed Over | 52c | 50.1$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.24 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.28per pick | 42cpaid | -75.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 76c | 49.28$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.79 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc770…8dbbbacked Over | 40c | 48.2$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.28 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa396…0019backed Over | 41c | 47.05$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.29 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed Under | 64c | 47.05$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.11 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06b2…822fbacked Under | 66c | 44.53$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2837…e9fabacked Over | 27c | 43.03$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.62 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f3…f727backed Over | 38c | 38.01$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.44 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x129b…190abacked Over | 80c | 37.05$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.64 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc6…c936backed Over | 68c | 34.69$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.54 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Over | 36c | 34.62$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.46 | 121 | 47.9%58 W · 63 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Under | 60c | 32.53$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.01 | 96 | 57.3%55 W · 41 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47f9…4731backed Over | 55c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.55 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 62cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5382…8d53backed Over | 40c | 27.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xafdd…ae76backed Over | 37c | 27.12$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.04 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.33per pick | 53cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x488c…a2dabacked Under | 60c | 24.4$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.76 | 61 | 59%36 W · 25 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7072…d945backed Under | 60c | 20.84$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.34 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.21per pick | 59cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b90…c258backed Over | 61c | 20.81$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.7 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1121…6604backed Under | 63c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -3.4wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfb2a…4e1fbacked Under | 62c | 19.4$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.37 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 71c | 18.59$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.39 | 351 | 57%200 W · 151 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Le Havre AC vs. AJ Auxerre: O/U 2.5this page
- Le Havre AC vs. AJ Auxerre: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Le Havre AC vs. AJ Auxerre: O/U 1.5Over won
- Le Havre AC vs. AJ Auxerre: O/U 3.5Under won
- Le Havre AC vs. AJ Auxerre: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Le Havre AC (-1.5)AJ Auxerre won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.