TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

CF América vs. CF Cruz Azul: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$80,397
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$87,755

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $80,397 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 122 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x38f0…2768backed Under54c37,353$20,049 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,304.321650%8 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over44c16,206$7,145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,144.765,76245.4%2,614 W · 3,148 L+94.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over46c9,652$4,444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,444.152,38851.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L-9.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Over42c6,308$2,626 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,625.951,98544.8%890 W · 1,095 L-44.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d78…29a5backed Over44c4,526$2,013 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,013.15333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.31per pick64cpaid-55.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf658…655ebacked Under54c4,424$2,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,024.0611055.5%61 W · 49 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over47c2,118$1,006 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,005.983,40751.3%1,749 W · 1,658 L+21.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over58c1,999$1,160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,159.561,29643%557 W · 739 L+0.3wins0.00per pick43cpaid-11.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb8fb…28dabacked Over60c1,495$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9001643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-18.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over48c1,000$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4801,35549.7%674 W · 681 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Over48c1,000$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4801,65550.6%838 W · 817 L-4.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over48c1,000$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4802,33551.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L+2.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4658…4131backed Over47c957.45$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4503240.6%13 W · 19 L-5.3wins-0.17per pick57cpaid-32.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under50c948.42$477 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$471.431,07047.4%507 W · 563 L-46.3wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-17.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd871…6bbabacked Over59c928.96$548 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$548.0812940.3%52 W · 77 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid+2.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d93…2cf1backed Under66c904.16$595 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$309.161100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+52%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbbd…d6f0backed Over45c806$363 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$362.710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe4d0…8814backed Over71c704.23$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500825%2 W · 6 L-3.3wins-0.41per pick66cpaid-63.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x0176…910ebacked Under49c616.51$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$316.512646.2%12 W · 14 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xacb4…7595backed Under43c615.06$264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$351.431384.6%11 W · 2 L+3.2wins+0.25per pick60cpaid+48.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6836…f2cdbacked Over58c600$348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34820%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Over45c600$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27033745.4%153 W · 184 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under59c574$339 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.341,53745.2%695 W · 842 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb0cc…f354backed Over53c559$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$293.662548%12 W · 13 L+2.8wins+0.11per pick37cpaid+18.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0204…0e31backed Over53c512.06$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2701233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-41.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x775e…6541backed Over43c500$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2152133.3%7 W · 14 L-2.8wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-34.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe550…4ebbbacked Over33c453.99$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.8211127%30 W · 81 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd239…2083backed Under58c443.1$257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.14252.4%22 W · 20 L+2.3wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+12.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Under57c403.51$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.518556.5%48 W · 37 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Under53c375$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.6965058%377 W · 273 L+21.6wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Over49c357.34$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.7289645.4%407 W · 489 L-23.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-19.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Over44c317$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.481145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-2.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3e9f…5403backed Over48c304.13$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.753773%27 W · 10 L+6.8wins+0.18per pick55cpaid+32.5%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x74d0…de45backed Over40c303.13$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.259248.9%45 W · 47 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+4.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Under60c300$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12032936.5%120 W · 209 L-10.0wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7c15…9667backed Under49c300$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1537943%34 W · 45 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-15.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3dfb…ebbfbacked Over51c300$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1537247.2%34 W · 38 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xabce…2f87backed Over57c289.24$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.0616449.4%81 W · 83 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+0.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc95b…f819backed Under50c264$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1325050%25 W · 25 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Over46c250$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11517055.3%94 W · 76 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over58c229.16$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.3282434.5%284 W · 540 L-17.8wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked Under62c222.45$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.5547758.1%277 W · 200 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0e15…8ea4backed Over54c222.41$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1201241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-30.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed Under62c214.28$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.1419056.3%107 W · 83 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x724c…1521backed Over47c212.77$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001464.3%9 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Under62c208.14$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.5157157.8%330 W · 241 L+9.0wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0045…9007backed Over13c206.79$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2710946.8%51 W · 58 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6af9…a022backed Under51c200$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-23.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4244…03a6backed Under50c199.63$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.631080%8 W · 2 L+3.1wins+0.31per pick49cpaid+63.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Under72c195$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.9921752.1%113 W · 104 L-0.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x68f4…2a4abacked Over59c191.53$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.23per pick52cpaid-57.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3b5f…7b99backed Under58c190$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.84748.9%23 W · 24 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Over47c186$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.4230754.7%168 W · 139 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd4f3…18d6backed Under55c181.81$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.81250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed Over47c180$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.655155%303 W · 248 L+13.6wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf059…6dd9backed Under50c174$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$876546.2%30 W · 35 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5cb4…4576backed Over46c172.04$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.8210467.3%70 W · 34 L+12.8wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+25%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Over48c154.69$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.32,61454.2%1,416 W · 1,198 L+25.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3b43…fae9backed Over66c150$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$992254.5%12 W · 10 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb253…26febacked Under62c149.08$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.195162.7%32 W · 19 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed Over48c147$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.439854.1%53 W · 45 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a15…52d6backed Over51c132$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.3210564.8%68 W · 37 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+2.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbac4…86dbbacked Under63c131.78$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.187867.9%53 W · 25 L+5.0wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+12%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0655…faf8backed Over51c127.45$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6513441%55 W · 79 L-14.6wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-26.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x5fb4…90f3backed Under55c127.27$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.274261.9%26 W · 16 L+3.5wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+17.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe8b0…7b16backed Over40c125$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504337.2%16 W · 27 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Under53c125$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.2363657.5%366 W · 270 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe6a3…04bebacked Under62c118.18$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.4618154.7%99 W · 82 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8098…5646backed Under53c112.18$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.2516759.9%100 W · 67 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x25e3…b729backed Over48c104.17$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5030%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x33af…288abacked Over49c102.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5027031.5%85 W · 185 L-12.2wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-14.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xca0d…2602backed Over50c100.11$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501931.6%6 W · 13 L-1.7wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-21.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x43d7…1c75backed Over50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506046.7%28 W · 32 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+11.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8ce9…ced7backed Over58c100$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-34.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1e29…9e66backed Over22c100$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221947.4%9 W · 10 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-28.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb792…fa38backed Over61c99.69$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$612857.1%16 W · 12 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+13.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Under66c90.82$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.7228158.7%165 W · 116 L+12.4wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+3.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd5bb…0fe1backed Under51c87.25$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.9238861.3%238 W · 150 L+14.5wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7511…582ebacked Under58c84.31$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.4920059.5%119 W · 81 L+11.0wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+7.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under55c81.22$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.551,28253.7%689 W · 593 L+5.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1399…48c8backed Over34c78.2$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.3726965.4%176 W · 93 L+48.9wins+0.18per pick47cpaid+40.5%equal weight68+0.17 edge/pick
0x659f…04e4backed Under58c72.69$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.535156.9%29 W · 22 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x12f1…5af8backed Over77c67.4$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.5610%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.77per pick77cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Over39c66.22$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.8541256.6%233 W · 179 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd27d…a84fbacked Over39c60.52$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.5911856.8%67 W · 51 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-1.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over51c59.96$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.698,11248.7%3,951 W · 4,161 L+27.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0fa1…bf73backed Over35c57.14$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2025147.8%120 W · 131 L+11.0wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+13.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4a01…c0f7backed Over48c49.22$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.441457.1%8 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe00b…256fbacked Under54c46.3$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.31457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+24.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1121…6604backed Over44c45$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.810943.1%47 W · 62 L-5.9wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-9.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdf1a…e414backed Under56c44.51$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.51540%2 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-26.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b83…f841backed Under60c44.23$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.69333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-44.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x239d…daebbacked Under51c42.75$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.951942.1%8 W · 11 L-1.5wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-25.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked Over37c41.56$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.4726160.9%159 W · 102 L+20.4wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+12.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2f31…e2b6backed Over46c40$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.49363.4%59 W · 34 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick62cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf46b…c51dbacked Over37c39.47$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.4144959%265 W · 184 L+22.4wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+4.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc504…8cfebacked Over42c38.09$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1680%0 W · 8 L-4.5wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0x1792…118abacked Over40c37.5$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1529362.5%183 W · 110 L+13.1wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+1.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2f1d…7ff3backed Under44c34.09$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.09742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-24.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x66e8…c0e2backed Over51c32.94$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.83167.7%21 W · 10 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick62cpaid+3.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.