South American Leagues · resolved market
CF América vs. CF Cruz Azul: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0b6c25f5e17962225472594d7ea09427e54f31d397fe4727930a010556e6bd81
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,240
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,275
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,240 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 76c | 817.66$623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.97 | 8,112 | 48.7%3,951 W · 4,161 L | +27.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over | 24c | 782.83$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.26 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0204…0e31backed Over | 24c | 618.59$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 67c | 573.99$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.13 | 1,070 | 47.4%507 W · 563 L | -46.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x95ef…ff92backed Over | 18c | 558.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.5 | 51 | 13.7%7 W · 44 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Over | 37c | 521.62$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193 | 111 | 27%30 W · 81 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Over | 26c | 505.55$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.98 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 16c | 478.7$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.62 | 5,762 | 45.4%2,614 W · 3,148 L | +94.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 23c | 476.17$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.52 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…8ab1backed Under | 72c | 437.5$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Over | 30c | 361.79$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.54 | 1,655 | 50.6%838 W · 817 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 17c | 347.01$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.72 | 2,173 | 43.6%948 W · 1,225 L | -55.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Under | 76c | 237.12$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.92 | 650 | 58%377 W · 273 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 74c | 200$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.26 | 217 | 52.1%113 W · 104 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 64c | 184.08$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.39 | 1,296 | 43%557 W · 739 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e61…0e06backed Over | 36c | 149.99$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 489 | 22.9%112 W · 377 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked Under | 75c | 107.88$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.09 | 166 | 53.6%89 W · 77 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefa8…924ebacked Over | 18c | 107.06$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.42 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…20bfbacked Under | 67c | 104.11$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.11 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 63c | 99.1$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.67 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x811c…fd36backed Under | 79c | 87.34$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.34 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -3.1wins | -0.11per pick | 63cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 75c | 78.25$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.34 | 571 | 57.8%330 W · 241 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Under | 76c | 77.39$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.52 | 367 | 57.5%211 W · 156 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Under | 76c | 77.39$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.52 | 477 | 58.1%277 W · 200 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Under | 76c | 77.39$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.52 | 261 | 60.9%159 W · 102 L | +20.4wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…8757backed Under | 76c | 77.39$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.52 | 159 | 56.6%90 W · 69 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8c2…080bbacked Under | 77c | 74.89$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.47 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -17%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Under | 75c | 71.7$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.73 | 281 | 58.7%165 W · 116 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd27d…a84fbacked Under | 76c | 70.84$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.95 | 118 | 56.8%67 W · 51 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Under | 76c | 70.84$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.95 | 477 | 56%267 W · 210 L | +9.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Under | 76c | 70.84$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.95 | 412 | 56.6%233 W · 179 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Under | 76c | 65.93$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.93 | 449 | 59%265 W · 184 L | +22.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Over | 23c | 65.22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 98 | 52%51 W · 47 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea8d…89b1backed Under | 75c | 33.46$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.46 | 154 | 57.1%88 W · 66 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88d1…e058backed Over | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.25per pick | 46cpaid | +49.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4fae…3e26backed Over | 41c | 30.3$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.37 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 34cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…b1a2backed Under | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +52.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked Under | 69c | 17.05$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 258 | 64.3%166 W · 92 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95c8…f1e1backed Under | 75c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CF América vs. CF Cruz Azul: O/U 3.5this page
- CF América vs. CF Cruz Azul: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- CF América vs. CF Cruz Azul: O/U 1.5Over won
- CF América vs. CF Cruz Azul: O/U 2.5Under won
- CF América vs. CF Cruz Azul: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: CF América (-1.5)CF Cruz Azul won
- Spread: CF Cruz Azul (-1.5)CF América won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.