La Liga · resolved market
CD Castellón vs. Granada CF: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe4e6989a543f0a9a4c258f735ec86e911bdd9630f1f0ab541ff7ab029dd14378
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $52,992
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $69,516
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $52,992 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xaebf…e1cabacked Yes | 50c | 11,815$5,948 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,867.59 | 107 | 36.4%39 W · 68 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5db5…1a50backed Yes | 41c | 11,040$4,522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,517.5 | 57 | 26.3%15 W · 42 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 56c | 10,302$5,773 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,773.27 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 51c | 8,557$4,396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,396.12 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a15…52d6backed No | 1c | 7,973$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.73 | 129 | 64.3%83 W · 46 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 48c | 1,575$755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$755.12 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc905…850bbacked Yes | 52c | 760.6$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.09 | 161 | 60.9%98 W · 63 L | +10.4wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed Yes | 52c | 599.86$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.93 | 186 | 56.5%105 W · 81 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e2…13ffbacked No | 51c | 381.23$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.43 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 49c | 250.06$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.52 | 1,655 | 43.8%725 W · 930 L | -22.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25e3…b729backed Yes | 50c | 194$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +2.7wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2273…7e01backed No | 55c | 125.57$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.17 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed No | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8761…5619backed Yes | 53c | 91.68$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.09 | 85 | 55.3%47 W · 38 L | +6.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf69b…a6ddbacked No | 64c | 70.65$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.03 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c9…a454backed No | 50c | 60.6$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.3 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Yes | 42c | 52.99$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.85 | 69 | 50.7%35 W · 34 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc770…8dbbbacked Yes | 53c | 48.59$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.84 | 110 | 66.4%73 W · 37 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1df5…1e18backed Yes | 41c | 46.92$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.68 | 62 | 59.7%37 W · 25 L | +8.4wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa59f…2e59backed No | 55c | 44.23$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.33 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2e73…3f4ebacked No | 61c | 42.04$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.56 | 227 | 60.4%137 W · 90 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6134…c8ccbacked Yes | 53c | 40.34$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.96 | 116 | 57.8%67 W · 49 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0095…42c1backed Yes | 52c | 37.35$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.93 | 221 | 57%126 W · 95 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked No | 51c | 36.89$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.89 | 199 | 53.3%106 W · 93 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked No | 60c | 36.47$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.88 | 284 | 46.5%132 W · 152 L | -16.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa23f…a64ebacked Yes | 51c | 36.2$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.88 | 83 | 55.4%46 W · 37 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee9…5b88backed No | 40c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb595…5922backed Yes | 60c | 29.28$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.71 | 21 | 95.2%20 W · 1 L | +5.4wins | +0.26per pick | 69cpaid | +51%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x2119…9303backed Yes | 54c | 27.01$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.43 | 70 | 60%42 W · 28 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ece…068abacked No | 49c | 26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.74 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed No | 54c | 25.34$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.58 | 50 | 36%18 W · 32 L | -8.5wins | -0.17per pick | 53cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9f28…d173backed No | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 60 | 60%36 W · 24 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CD Castellón vs. Granada CF: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- CD Castellón vs. Granada CF: O/U 1.5Over won
- CD Castellón vs. Granada CF: O/U 2.5Over won
- CD Castellón vs. Granada CF: O/U 3.5Over won
- CD Castellón vs. Granada CF: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: CD Castellón (-1.5)Granada CF won
- Spread: Granada CF (-1.5)CD Castellón won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.