Asian League · resolved market
Al Nassr Saudi Club vs. Al Ettifaq Saudi Club: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa4954f16530735d10fe557bb72e97a199f94023e5894f9fb1a7b7b7b41574c28
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,131
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,516
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,131 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x12b9…3ec2backed Under | 19c | 11,750$2,232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,517.38 | 136 | 41.9%57 W · 79 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 24c | 7,882$1,858 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,024.32 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2461…f240backed Over | 49c | 2,429$1,186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,186.12 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +3.3wins | +0.30per pick | 43cpaid | +80.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 20c | 1,388$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,110.41 | 390 | 58.2%227 W · 163 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 55c | 999.44$547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.04 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Under | 20c | 996.98$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$797.59 | 345 | 58.6%202 W · 143 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Under | 20c | 721.62$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$577.29 | 142 | 47.2%67 W · 75 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 21c | 597.71$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$471.87 | 693 | 52.2%362 W · 331 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Under | 20c | 332.72$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.18 | 325 | 60.3%196 W · 129 L | +20.0wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed Over | 60c | 255.82$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.78 | 126 | 59.5%75 W · 51 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1513…831abacked Under | 20c | 239.62$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.46 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6001…0457backed Under | 23c | 226.48$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.16 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14cd…efdcbacked Over | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6cf…0425backed Over | 50c | 194$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -3.8wins | -0.29per pick | 60cpaid | -52%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked Under | 20c | 190.4$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.32 | 95 | 54.7%52 W · 43 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9959…c137backed Under | 51c | 142.74$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.94 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Under | 20c | 94.72$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.78 | 478 | 60.3%288 W · 190 L | +15.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Under | 20c | 94.72$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.78 | 163 | 56.4%92 W · 71 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Under | 20c | 94.72$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.78 | 226 | 56.6%128 W · 98 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Under | 20c | 94.72$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.78 | 190 | 55.3%105 W · 85 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea8d…89b1backed Under | 20c | 94.72$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.78 | 71 | 56.3%40 W · 31 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…8757backed Under | 20c | 94.72$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.78 | 68 | 47.1%32 W · 36 L | -6.9wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 41c | 89.48$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.52 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25e3…b729backed Over | 58c | 84.03$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.74 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Under | 62c | 78.81$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.95 | 73 | 53.4%39 W · 34 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Under | 73c | 75.4$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.36 | 375 | 59.2%222 W · 153 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc5…ee5abacked Under | 49c | 49.46$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.22 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…0448backed Under | 58c | 48.74$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.47 | 131 | 40.5%53 W · 78 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d46…3e2dbacked Under | 74c | 34.07$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.86 | 63 | 41.3%26 W · 37 L | +5.0wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +53.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Al Nassr Saudi Club vs. Al Ettifaq Saudi Club: O/U 1.5this page
- Al Nassr Saudi Club vs. Al Ettifaq Saudi Club: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Al Nassr Saudi Club vs. Al Ettifaq Saudi Club: O/U 2.5Under won
- Al Nassr Saudi Club vs. Al Ettifaq Saudi Club: O/U 3.5Under won
- Al Nassr Saudi Club vs. Al Ettifaq Saudi Club: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Al Nassr Saudi Club (-1.5)Al Ettifaq Saudi Club won
- Spread: Al Nassr Saudi Club (-2.5)Al Ettifaq Saudi Club won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.