Asian League · resolved market
Spread: Al Nassr Saudi Club (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x498dca8a5302b44b7dfcb0891211bd05cf6674fbf4044a9db94af640e4633f88
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Al Ettifaq Saudi Clubof Al Nassr Saudi Club, Al Ettifaq Saudi Club
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,917
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,262
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,917 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Al Ettifaq Saudi Club | 32c | 1,743$557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,185.87 | 1,617 | 36.3%587 W · 1,030 L | -34.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Al Ettifaq Saudi Club | 31c | 1,616$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,120.18 | 2,499 | 42.3%1,057 W · 1,442 L | +52.8wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe2…9645backed Al Nassr Saudi Club | 69c | 1,428$981 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$981.24 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 72cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Al Nassr Saudi Club | 68c | 1,318$896 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$896.33 | 1,109 | 46.2%512 W · 597 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Al Nassr Saudi Club | 68c | 1,071$728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$728.35 | 934 | 46.1%431 W · 503 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46fb…2b75backed Al Nassr Saudi Club | 68c | 1,000$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -4.5wins | -0.34per pick | 50cpaid | -67.4%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Al Ettifaq Saudi Club | 31c | 678.29$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465.78 | 1,760 | 50.3%885 W · 875 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed Al Ettifaq Saudi Club | 33c | 677.79$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454.12 | 137 | 46.7%64 W · 73 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Al Nassr Saudi Club | 68c | 329.35$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.49 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Al Ettifaq Saudi Club | 41c | 323.35$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.17 | 1,306 | 56.9%743 W · 563 L | +67.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Al Nassr Saudi Club | 62c | 311.51$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.24 | 5,910 | 46.2%2,730 W · 3,180 L | +50.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Al Ettifaq Saudi Club | 33c | 299.96$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.08 | 95 | 30.5%29 W · 66 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x458c…ee3ebacked Al Nassr Saudi Club | 67c | 292.6$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.04 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 63cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9959…c137backed Al Ettifaq Saudi Club | 43c | 279.23$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.48 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a2…a79abacked Al Ettifaq Saudi Club | 33c | 223.88$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 82 | 42.7%35 W · 47 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0aba…1910backed Al Nassr Saudi Club | 67c | 219.45$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.03 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 71cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b11…6f75backed Al Nassr Saudi Club | 69c | 213.35$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.21 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 72cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Al Ettifaq Saudi Club | 33c | 197.72$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.47 | 404 | 48%194 W · 210 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5140…9951backed Al Nassr Saudi Club | 58c | 168.07$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.48 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x523b…cd5abacked Al Nassr Saudi Club | 60c | 162.7$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Al Nassr Saudi Club | 43c | 162.53$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.96 | 424 | 25.9%110 W · 314 L | -32.7wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Al Ettifaq Saudi Club | 32c | 151.57$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.06 | 2,397 | 37.8%905 W · 1,492 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3248…8ba9backed Al Nassr Saudi Club | 75c | 150.9$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.28 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf704…bed4backed Al Nassr Saudi Club | 66c | 150$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f72…2fbfbacked Al Nassr Saudi Club | 67c | 146.3$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.02 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.2wins | -0.44per pick | 64cpaid | -75%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…1639backed Al Ettifaq Saudi Club | 34c | 129.32$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.75 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd78d…81e0backed Al Nassr Saudi Club | 49c | 99.92$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.96 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa64c…34f2backed Al Nassr Saudi Club | 67c | 98.04$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.97 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57c8…3d9bbacked Al Nassr Saudi Club | 57c | 90$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.3 | 37 | 21.6%8 W · 29 L | -6.5wins | -0.18per pick | 39cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Al Nassr Saudi Club | 66c | 77.79$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.34 | 214 | 49.1%105 W · 109 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed Al Nassr Saudi Club | 67c | 76.19$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.05 | 101 | 60.4%61 W · 40 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a81…a86bbacked Al Nassr Saudi Club | 74c | 66.51$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.22 | 213 | 67.6%144 W · 69 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a46…2294backed Al Nassr Saudi Club | 68c | 64.2$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.63 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +59.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa88b…976cbacked Al Nassr Saudi Club | 67c | 61$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa2e…c5d2backed Al Nassr Saudi Club | 68c | 59.03$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.14 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1934…474cbacked Al Nassr Saudi Club | 68c | 57.69$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Al Nassr Saudi Club | 67c | 49.71$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.31 | 478 | 60.3%288 W · 190 L | +15.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Al Nassr Saudi Club | 67c | 49.71$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.31 | 163 | 56.4%92 W · 71 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…8757backed Al Nassr Saudi Club | 67c | 49.71$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.31 | 68 | 47.1%32 W · 36 L | -6.9wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Al Ettifaq Saudi Club | 35c | 46.63$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.41 | 464 | 22.6%105 W · 359 L | -22.6wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Al Nassr Saudi Club | 67c | 45.18$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.27 | 390 | 58.2%227 W · 163 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Al Nassr Saudi Club | 67c | 45.18$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.27 | 345 | 58.6%202 W · 143 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked Al Ettifaq Saudi Club | 30c | 43.06$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.02 | 110 | 23.6%26 W · 84 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Al Nassr Saudi Club | 67c | 38.69$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.93 | 190 | 55.3%105 W · 85 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea8d…89b1backed Al Nassr Saudi Club | 67c | 36.55$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.49 | 71 | 56.3%40 W · 31 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Al Nassr Saudi Club | 67c | 36.28$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.31 | 325 | 60.3%196 W · 129 L | +20.0wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b08…aaf4backed Al Ettifaq Saudi Club | 32c | 35.37$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.05 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.21per pick | 51cpaid | +52.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4d85…2560backed Al Nassr Saudi Club | 66c | 33.12$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.86 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | -9.0wins | -0.23per pick | 51cpaid | -49%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Al Nassr Saudi Club | 67c | 31.37$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.02 | 226 | 56.6%128 W · 98 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked Al Nassr Saudi Club | 67c | 30.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.48 | 198 | 56.1%111 W · 87 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6769…f8b9backed Al Nassr Saudi Club | 68c | 28.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.62 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xded6…52f0backed Al Nassr Saudi Club | 72c | 24.13$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked Al Nassr Saudi Club | 67c | 23.13$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 98 | 59.2%58 W · 40 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58a1…0cd3backed Al Nassr Saudi Club | 67c | 22.91$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.35 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Al Nassr Saudi Club | 59c | 22$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.98 | 361 | 42.4%153 W · 208 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaabd…54fcbacked Al Nassr Saudi Club | 67c | 21.94$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.34per pick | 59cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9b…829ebacked Al Nassr Saudi Club | 65c | 19.58$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.73 | 68 | 48.5%33 W · 35 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Al Nassr Saudi Club | 57c | 17.55$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.04 | 230 | 52.6%121 W · 109 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Al Nassr Saudi Club (-1.5)this page
- Al Nassr Saudi Club vs. Al Ettifaq Saudi Club: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Al Nassr Saudi Club vs. Al Ettifaq Saudi Club: O/U 1.5Under won
- Al Nassr Saudi Club vs. Al Ettifaq Saudi Club: O/U 2.5Under won
- Al Nassr Saudi Club vs. Al Ettifaq Saudi Club: O/U 3.5Under won
- Al Nassr Saudi Club vs. Al Ettifaq Saudi Club: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Al Nassr Saudi Club (-2.5)Al Ettifaq Saudi Club won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.