Asian League · resolved market
Al Nassr Saudi Club vs. Al Ettifaq Saudi Club: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x119147a94918d42e3f5799e11bcff22fc16952c46d53c49f4c800c573efc1286
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,987
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,050
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,987 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 71c | 1,529$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.8 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8b0…7b16backed Yes | 19c | 1,521$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.65 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a46…2294backed No | 45c | 799.53$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.78 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +59.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 71c | 794.02$561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.63 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33bb…98b3backed Yes | 43c | 752.43$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.54 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.23per pick | 43cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 44c | 633.63$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.45 | 1,647 | 36.2%596 W · 1,051 L | -34.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed No | 43c | 476$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.32 | 137 | 46.7%64 W · 73 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 55c | 380.76$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.42 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…3335backed Yes | 56c | 348.08$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.92 | 120 | 74.2%89 W · 31 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 72cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Yes | 20c | 230.75$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.15 | 95 | 30.5%29 W · 66 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 53c | 160.28$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.66 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Yes | 55c | 152.01$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.63 | 404 | 48%194 W · 210 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51bb…a919backed Yes | 56c | 110.69$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.98 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a81…a86bbacked Yes | 53c | 110.36$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.31 | 213 | 67.6%144 W · 69 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked No | 42c | 91.69$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.18 | 155 | 49%76 W · 79 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb53…c50bbacked No | 54c | 90.04$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.42 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9db…dd44backed Yes | 45c | 89$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.14 | 59 | 57.6%34 W · 25 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c61…6b06backed Yes | 59c | 82.63$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…1212backed Yes | 36c | 77.46$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.89 | 257 | 42%108 W · 149 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes | 41c | 71.38$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.27 | 1,309 | 56.8%743 W · 566 L | +66.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Yes | 52c | 70.88$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.55 | 142 | 47.2%67 W · 75 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 41c | 59.73$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.26 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2b0…e756backed Yes | 40c | 49.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 59 | 30.5%18 W · 41 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 58c | 48$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.84 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57c8…3d9bbacked No | 56c | 43.94$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.4 | 37 | 21.6%8 W · 29 L | -6.5wins | -0.18per pick | 39cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2b08…aaf4backed No | 59c | 38.26$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.68 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.21per pick | 51cpaid | +52.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2b7d…866bbacked Yes | 56c | 34.77$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.47 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96b1…812bbacked Yes | 41c | 30.65$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.56 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -3.1wins | -0.24per pick | 47cpaid | -61.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6134…c8ccbacked Yes | 58c | 25.06$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.63 | 70 | 55.7%39 W · 31 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f8d…8b2cbacked Yes | 59c | 19.51$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.51 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Al Nassr Saudi Club vs. Al Ettifaq Saudi Club: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Al Nassr Saudi Club vs. Al Ettifaq Saudi Club: O/U 1.5Under won
- Al Nassr Saudi Club vs. Al Ettifaq Saudi Club: O/U 2.5Under won
- Al Nassr Saudi Club vs. Al Ettifaq Saudi Club: O/U 3.5Under won
- Al Nassr Saudi Club vs. Al Ettifaq Saudi Club: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Al Nassr Saudi Club (-1.5)Al Ettifaq Saudi Club won
- Spread: Al Nassr Saudi Club (-2.5)Al Ettifaq Saudi Club won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.