Asian League · resolved market
Al Nassr Saudi Club vs. Al Ettifaq Saudi Club: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x11fed9384c04fe03dd961e7e8414299a0216b4d58d2845db06f98db03faaa57d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,370
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,046
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,370 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5677…2ce9backed Over | 68c | 4,031$2,740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,740.21 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 74cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Over | 75c | 3,958$2,954 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,954.35 | 158 | 50%79 W · 79 L | -14.3wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 40c | 3,325$1,331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,994.23 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 41c | 3,145$1,305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,840.9 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 17c | 1,124$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.67 | 1,028 | 41.7%429 W · 599 L | -31.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 19c | 823.62$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$666.4 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Over | 57c | 513.85$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.89 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 31c | 502.29$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.59 | 968 | 46.1%446 W · 522 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Under | 42c | 361.5$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.89 | 190 | 55.3%105 W · 85 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Under | 42c | 359.19$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.56 | 226 | 56.6%128 W · 98 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4922…34a7backed Over | 6c | 333$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf4…40fabacked Over | 73c | 269.6$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.76 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 46c | 249.12$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.98 | 390 | 58.2%227 W · 163 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Under | 46c | 249.12$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.98 | 163 | 56.4%92 W · 71 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Under | 46c | 249.12$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.98 | 345 | 58.6%202 W · 143 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Under | 32c | 230.57$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.65 | 325 | 60.3%196 W · 129 L | +20.0wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Under | 26c | 224.25$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.89 | 95 | 30.5%29 W · 66 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Under | 44c | 219.48$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.61 | 478 | 60.3%288 W · 190 L | +15.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f8d…8b2cbacked Under | 37c | 203.34$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.83 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46fb…2b75backed Over | 78c | 194.26$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.52 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -4.5wins | -0.34per pick | 50cpaid | -67.4%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x8a81…a86bbacked Over | 76c | 193.64$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.9 | 213 | 67.6%144 W · 69 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 21c | 186.74$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.66 | 404 | 48%194 W · 210 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x505a…bb61backed Over | 60c | 162.67$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.6 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b08…aaf4backed Under | 30c | 160.15$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.07 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.21per pick | 51cpaid | +52.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8230…9074backed Over | 66c | 148.42$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06a0…5804backed Under | 52c | 143.05$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.66 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…8757backed Under | 58c | 132.1$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.41 | 68 | 47.1%32 W · 36 L | -6.9wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 42c | 130.4$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.39 | 693 | 52.2%362 W · 331 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f72…2fbfbacked Over | 80c | 123.5$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.8 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.2wins | -0.44per pick | 64cpaid | -75%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6001…0457backed Under | 47c | 121.81$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.29 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 43c | 117.95$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.77 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Over | 66c | 103.9$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.57 | 396 | 55.8%221 W · 175 L | +31.2wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x57c8…3d9bbacked Over | 69c | 99.98$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.18 | 37 | 21.6%8 W · 29 L | -6.5wins | -0.18per pick | 39cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…1212backed Under | 40c | 75.25$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.37 | 257 | 42%108 W · 149 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea8d…89b1backed Under | 32c | 74.94$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.96 | 71 | 56.3%40 W · 31 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed Over | 79c | 69.17$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.64 | 63 | 41.3%26 W · 37 L | -7.4wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc2b0…e756backed Over | 51c | 49.98$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.69 | 59 | 30.5%18 W · 41 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Over | 68c | 49.8$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.86 | 375 | 59.2%222 W · 153 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc5…ee5abacked Over | 56c | 43.83$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.33 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d9…7ae8backed Over | 59c | 43.51$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.66 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -60%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4c…5c55backed Over | 73c | 40.64$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.67 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d60…de4bbacked Under | 29c | 35.55$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +70.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3597…3e48backed Under | 45c | 34.69$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0655…faf8backed Over | 57c | 34.18$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.48 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed Under | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 44 | 29.5%13 W · 31 L | -7.0wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 64c | 26.27$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.87 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Over | 58c | 25.43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.64 | 199 | 65.3%130 W · 69 L | +27.3wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xdc18…9b6ebacked Over | 45c | 24.6$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.14 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9b…829ebacked Under | 62c | 23.63$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.98 | 68 | 48.5%33 W · 35 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9db…dd44backed Over | 49c | 21$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.29 | 59 | 57.6%34 W · 25 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16fe…9496backed Over | 60c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Over | 65c | 19.95$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.87 | 230 | 52.6%121 W · 109 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 73c | 18.21$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 471 | 55.8%263 W · 208 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Over | 60c | 17.43$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.48 | 98 | 60.2%59 W · 39 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96b1…812bbacked Over | 68c | 17$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -3.1wins | -0.24per pick | 47cpaid | -61.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x32bb…b5c4backed Over | 68c | 16.59$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Al Nassr Saudi Club vs. Al Ettifaq Saudi Club: O/U 2.5this page
- Al Nassr Saudi Club vs. Al Ettifaq Saudi Club: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Al Nassr Saudi Club vs. Al Ettifaq Saudi Club: O/U 1.5Under won
- Al Nassr Saudi Club vs. Al Ettifaq Saudi Club: O/U 3.5Under won
- Al Nassr Saudi Club vs. Al Ettifaq Saudi Club: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Al Nassr Saudi Club (-1.5)Al Ettifaq Saudi Club won
- Spread: Al Nassr Saudi Club (-2.5)Al Ettifaq Saudi Club won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.