Asian League · resolved market
Al Nassr Saudi Club vs. Al Ettifaq Saudi Club: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x14f36bd4df831f8d37a37ab912bbafb849bc9e69c7d79ca696f5e281215005b8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,911
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,355
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,911 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x46fb…2b75backed Over | 64c | 1,000$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -4.5wins | -0.34per pick | 50cpaid | -67.4%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 14c | 992.69$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.44 | 2,499 | 42.3%1,057 W · 1,442 L | +52.8wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 71c | 858.55$608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.07 | 5,910 | 46.2%2,730 W · 3,180 L | +50.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed Under | 36c | 743.89$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$476.09 | 137 | 46.7%64 W · 73 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f6d…3070backed Over | 14c | 578.98$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.19 | 39 | 25.6%10 W · 29 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Over | 61c | 467.34$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.08 | 471 | 55.8%263 W · 208 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 32c | 443.1$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.31 | 1,109 | 46.2%512 W · 597 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19a1…6aefbacked Under | 62c | 441.32$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 50c | 386.56$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.24 | 1,306 | 56.9%743 W · 563 L | +67.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f8d…8b2cbacked Over | 40c | 370.99$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.67 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a46…2294backed Under | 39c | 282.39$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.26 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +59.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 35c | 214.13$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.92 | 876 | 45.1%395 W · 481 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 12c | 209.99$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.95 | 2,397 | 37.8%905 W · 1,492 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 57c | 196.7$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.62 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 61c | 185.7$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.28 | 1,617 | 36.3%587 W · 1,030 L | -34.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Under | 35c | 179.99$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.75 | 184 | 46.2%85 W · 99 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8277…7d31backed Over | 32c | 149.88$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.96 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.25per pick | 42cpaid | +70.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Over | 61c | 120.41$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.45 | 95 | 30.5%29 W · 66 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…0448backed Under | 47c | 98.95$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.52 | 131 | 40.5%53 W · 78 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57c8…3d9bbacked Over | 49c | 93.5$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 37 | 21.6%8 W · 29 L | -6.5wins | -0.18per pick | 39cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1513…831abacked Under | 62c | 63.05$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.96 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x054b…527abacked Over | 32c | 58.13$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96b1…812bbacked Over | 46c | 53.55$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.67 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -3.1wins | -0.24per pick | 47cpaid | -61.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6001…0457backed Over | 23c | 51.02$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.98 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc629…5e51backed Over | 60c | 48.8$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.28 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 34c | 48$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.63 | 1,959 | 54.6%1,069 W · 890 L | +36.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Under | 69c | 45.64$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.11 | 98 | 60.2%59 W · 39 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0f4…8d0fbacked Over | 32c | 44.96$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.39 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Over | 66c | 44.53$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.39 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44b8…a2d7backed Under | 46c | 42.07$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.72 | 118 | 41.5%49 W · 69 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 57c | 40.49$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.44 | 692 | 52.3%362 W · 330 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Under | 55c | 39.5$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.6 | 325 | 60.3%196 W · 129 L | +20.0wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6687…b9ddbacked Under | 55c | 39.5$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.6 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Under | 55c | 39.5$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.6 | 226 | 56.6%128 W · 98 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Under | 55c | 39.5$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.6 | 190 | 55.3%105 W · 85 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…a78fbacked Over | 66c | 36.86$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d60…de4bbacked Over | 35c | 33.74$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.86 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +70.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Under | 50c | 32.29$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.01 | 153 | 58.8%90 W · 63 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xccbd…f1b7backed Under | 34c | 30.3$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +194.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b08…aaf4backed Over | 44c | 30.28$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.46 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.21per pick | 51cpaid | +52.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xffe7…471dbacked Over | 66c | 29.68$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.59 | 90 | 55.6%50 W · 40 L | -5.8wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 69c | 28.94$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.97 | 968 | 46.1%446 W · 522 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb71…288ebacked Under | 51c | 24.97$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.23 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.25per pick | 58cpaid | +35%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed Under | 44c | 23.3$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.09 | 101 | 60.4%61 W · 40 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3991…b6c7backed Over | 66c | 20.08$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.25 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.25per pick | 45cpaid | -65.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…1212backed Under | 61c | 19.77$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.71 | 257 | 42%108 W · 149 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f8…2e4cbacked Under | 75c | 19.59$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.81 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ef0…d45bbacked Under | 60c | 17.24$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.89 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.5wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Al Nassr Saudi Club vs. Al Ettifaq Saudi Club: O/U 3.5this page
- Al Nassr Saudi Club vs. Al Ettifaq Saudi Club: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Al Nassr Saudi Club vs. Al Ettifaq Saudi Club: O/U 1.5Under won
- Al Nassr Saudi Club vs. Al Ettifaq Saudi Club: O/U 2.5Under won
- Al Nassr Saudi Club vs. Al Ettifaq Saudi Club: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Al Nassr Saudi Club (-1.5)Al Ettifaq Saudi Club won
- Spread: Al Nassr Saudi Club (-2.5)Al Ettifaq Saudi Club won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.