Asian League · resolved market
Spread: Al Nassr Saudi Club (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x65949088d67af9fbdf43d8672b91203ac2f96c62182b095cdb7b3d26601409c5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Al Ettifaq Saudi Clubof Al Nassr Saudi Club, Al Ettifaq Saudi Club
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,728
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,144
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,728 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2fcb…78cfbacked Al Ettifaq Saudi Club | 53c | 674.87$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.19 | 60 | 60%36 W · 24 L | +5.8wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Al Ettifaq Saudi Club | 74c | 653.47$481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.68 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed Al Nassr Saudi Club | 47c | 524.92$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.63 | 137 | 46.7%64 W · 73 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Al Nassr Saudi Club | 45c | 300$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 150 | 36.7%55 W · 95 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Al Nassr Saudi Club | 11c | 299.92$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.77 | 95 | 30.5%29 W · 66 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…40d5backed Al Ettifaq Saudi Club | 54c | 180.07$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.83 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +2.5wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Al Nassr Saudi Club | 35c | 149.27$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.8 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd78d…81e0backed Al Nassr Saudi Club | 34c | 142.06$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.01 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa5…4f56backed Al Nassr Saudi Club | 41c | 141.16$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.88 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked Al Ettifaq Saudi Club | 54c | 120.86$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.72 | 92 | 46.7%43 W · 49 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9531…18ffbacked Al Nassr Saudi Club | 42c | 116.88$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.99 | 67 | 38.8%26 W · 41 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…0448backed Al Ettifaq Saudi Club | 64c | 113.96$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.43 | 131 | 40.5%53 W · 78 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…20bfbacked Al Ettifaq Saudi Club | 53c | 109.35$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.03 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Al Nassr Saudi Club | 47c | 101.66$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.78 | 404 | 48%194 W · 210 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Al Ettifaq Saudi Club | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 214 | 49.1%105 W · 109 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Al Nassr Saudi Club | 46c | 99.99$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.5 | 186 | 47.3%88 W · 98 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Al Nassr Saudi Club | 46c | 79.83$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.72 | 1,647 | 36.2%596 W · 1,051 L | -34.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Al Ettifaq Saudi Club | 55c | 73.29$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.98 | 934 | 46.1%431 W · 503 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Al Ettifaq Saudi Club | 55c | 71.03$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.96 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Al Nassr Saudi Club | 32c | 40.29$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.97 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb76c…cbe0backed Al Ettifaq Saudi Club | 53c | 36.67$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.24 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d85…2560backed Al Ettifaq Saudi Club | 65c | 35$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.3 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | -9.0wins | -0.23per pick | 51cpaid | -49%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Al Ettifaq Saudi Club | 64c | 30.06$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.82 | 173 | 40.5%70 W · 103 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x33c8…68d7backed Al Nassr Saudi Club | 36c | 28.9$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 28cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Al Ettifaq Saudi Club | 79c | 13.97$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3 | 190 | 55.3%105 W · 85 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Al Nassr Saudi Club (-2.5)this page
- Al Nassr Saudi Club vs. Al Ettifaq Saudi Club: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Al Nassr Saudi Club vs. Al Ettifaq Saudi Club: O/U 1.5Under won
- Al Nassr Saudi Club vs. Al Ettifaq Saudi Club: O/U 2.5Under won
- Al Nassr Saudi Club vs. Al Ettifaq Saudi Club: O/U 3.5Under won
- Al Nassr Saudi Club vs. Al Ettifaq Saudi Club: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Al Nassr Saudi Club (-1.5)Al Ettifaq Saudi Club won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.