Asian League · resolved market
Al Nassr Saudi Club vs. Al Ettifaq Saudi Club: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9a30aa129b9742a82cf468150cddd1d6c80fc720cf74c74f602e69850e53a0f9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,858
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,817
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,858 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5ad5…37b9backed Over | 6c | 1,202$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.1 | 64 | 43.8%28 W · 36 L | +9.9wins | +0.15per pick | 28cpaid | +88.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd69d…fe68backed Over | 7c | 533.09$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57c8…3d9bbacked Over | 23c | 392.67$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.88 | 37 | 21.6%8 W · 29 L | -6.5wins | -0.18per pick | 39cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 42c | 222.45$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.34 | 1,617 | 36.3%587 W · 1,030 L | -34.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x274b…d408backed Over | 41c | 189.06$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.52 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | +5.0wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Under | 58c | 180$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.6 | 184 | 46.2%85 W · 99 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Over | 35c | 139.17$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.04 | 218 | 30.7%67 W · 151 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a5a…3427backed Under | 58c | 136.01$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.6 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Over | 11c | 130.15$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.87 | 95 | 30.5%29 W · 66 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e1…f17fbacked Under | 57c | 99.01$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.5 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed Over | 40c | 95$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 137 | 46.7%64 W · 73 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 43c | 79.05$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.93 | 1,959 | 54.6%1,069 W · 890 L | +36.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7bb…2753backed Under | 57c | 51.27$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.05 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a51…9e71backed Under | 61c | 48.34$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +65%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef7…0e08backed Under | 67c | 43.71$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.3 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.24per pick | 59cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x82e7…c61cbacked Under | 79c | 37.69$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.07 | 18 | 83.3%15 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 74cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x947b…eaffbacked Under | 57c | 34.12$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b7d…866bbacked Under | 60c | 32.53$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.01 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 39c | 28.55$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.22 | 2,397 | 37.8%905 W · 1,492 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f8d…8b2cbacked Over | 36c | 27.97$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Al Nassr Saudi Club vs. Al Ettifaq Saudi Club: O/U 4.5this page
- Al Nassr Saudi Club vs. Al Ettifaq Saudi Club: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Al Nassr Saudi Club vs. Al Ettifaq Saudi Club: O/U 1.5Under won
- Al Nassr Saudi Club vs. Al Ettifaq Saudi Club: O/U 2.5Under won
- Al Nassr Saudi Club vs. Al Ettifaq Saudi Club: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spread: Al Nassr Saudi Club (-1.5)Al Ettifaq Saudi Club won
- Spread: Al Nassr Saudi Club (-2.5)Al Ettifaq Saudi Club won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.