South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CA Newell's Old Boys vs. CA San Lorenzo de Almagro end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x705d7acadd8b4d64701ee577dff386919b81343eb537fe63233aea3b85aa98bc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,480
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,314
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,480 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x64a6…4ac1backed No | 0c | 11,271$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.27 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 12cpaid | +115.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 39c | 2,929$1,136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,793.22 | 1,070 | 47.4%507 W · 563 L | -46.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 61c | 2,419$1,467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,467.04 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes | 34c | 1,995$678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,316.59 | 200 | 46%92 W · 108 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 75c | 1,171$877 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.59 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8642…47c8backed No | 66c | 519.48$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.86 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 6c | 503.05$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.68 | 824 | 34.5%284 W · 540 L | -17.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b3d…7de0backed Yes | 65c | 499.99$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…c867backed No | 35c | 494.99$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.25 | 35 | 74.3%26 W · 9 L | +6.5wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +28%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x25e3…b729backed No | 39c | 494.05$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.68 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f54…74b4backed No | 8c | 312$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.96 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 62c | 308.83$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.07 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5140…9951backed Yes | 66c | 296.85$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.93 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc62e…108dbacked No | 66c | 296.85$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.92 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fea…78b1backed No | 11c | 240.49$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.39 | 112 | 30.4%34 W · 78 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -41%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 35c | 240.25$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.09 | 1,328 | 57%757 W · 571 L | +57.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Yes | 44c | 209.98$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.66 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 66c | 206.88$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.54 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 50c | 158.25$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.73 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc08…6b85backed No | 66c | 149.56$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.71 | 94 | 54.3%51 W · 43 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac9e…cca3backed No | 66c | 148.42$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.96 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 18c | 133.36$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.82 | 716 | 19.7%141 W · 575 L | -49.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbfbc…f670backed Yes | 42c | 114.9$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.64 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Yes | 36c | 105.78$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.7 | 516 | 54.8%283 W · 233 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2488…ff0ebacked No | 35c | 103.76$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.32 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4512…5d41backed Yes | 35c | 98.85$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.25 | 187 | 33.2%62 W · 125 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b43…9e23backed Yes | 38c | 98.81$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.26 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | +4.6wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 35c | 96.1$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.46 | 836 | 42.9%359 W · 477 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Yes | 65c | 80$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8dc…8d7ebacked No | 66c | 78.37$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.72 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd945…fbd1backed Yes | 63c | 77.6$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.71 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.14per pick | 64cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe31d…e7a4backed No | 66c | 74.21$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.98 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.25per pick | 65cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x298e…8a75backed No | 66c | 74.2$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.97 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 70cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5887…994ebacked No | 22c | 72.6$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.09 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 30c | 66.94$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.89 | 849 | 43.8%372 W · 477 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 59c | 61.39$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.04 | 948 | 48.1%456 W · 492 L | -18.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked No | 20c | 55.87$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 130 | 23.1%30 W · 100 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee5b…dac8backed No | 35c | 52.86$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x550d…f1ffbacked Yes | 75c | 49.64$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.41 | 109 | 64.2%70 W · 39 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf3…f535backed No | 36c | 47.64$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.21 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33eb…b07ebacked Yes | 62c | 47.28$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.97 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | -5.2wins | -0.12per pick | 63cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked No | 35c | 44.65$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.63 | 292 | 45.2%132 W · 160 L | -24.0wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Yes | 65c | 37.65$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.18 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5a…724cbacked No | 66c | 29.68$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.59 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9f…b23bbacked No | 66c | 29.39$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.4 | 82 | 61%50 W · 32 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed No | 66c | 24.24$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 650 | 58%377 W · 273 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7abf…8dd3backed No | 60c | 22.79$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.67 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Yes | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 235 | 51.5%121 W · 114 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30b9…9b83backed Yes | 66c | 15.79$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.37 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66fc…2720backed Yes | 79c | 13.07$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.8 | 36 | 69.4%25 W · 11 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CA Newell's Old Boys vs. CA San Lorenzo de Almagro end in a draw?this page
- Will CA Newell's Old Boys win on 2026-04-12?No won
- Will CA San Lorenzo de Almagro win on 2026-04-12?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.