South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CA Newell's Old Boys win on 2026-04-12?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd80d7fd14797c14fe2221b17735c3a7d9be8e3deb9a183027565e23b4523a7ee
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $167,797
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $185,222
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $167,797 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x19e2…ce3cbacked Yes | 33c | 96,887$31,761 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,761.38 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed No | 67c | 29,000$19,430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,570 | 94 | 52.1%49 W · 45 L | +10.5wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 68c | 27,031$18,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,780.76 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 72c | 25,186$18,212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,973.67 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 70c | 16,137$11,337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,800.15 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed No | 77c | 10,528$8,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,417.95 | 650 | 58%377 W · 273 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 69c | 9,095$6,267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,827.5 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed No | 67c | 7,274$4,901 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,373.67 | 571 | 57.8%330 W · 241 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80cf…427dbacked Yes | 22c | 7,000$1,540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,539.99 | 75 | 52%39 W · 36 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked No | 68c | 4,882$3,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,582.58 | 412 | 56.6%233 W · 179 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed No | 68c | 4,882$3,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,582.58 | 477 | 56%267 W · 210 L | +9.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked No | 67c | 2,163$1,449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$713.79 | 308 | 47.7%147 W · 161 L | +13.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 66c | 1,559$1,033 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$526.47 | 1,070 | 47.4%507 W · 563 L | -46.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed No | 67c | 1,155$775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.5 | 367 | 57.5%211 W · 156 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked No | 68c | 1,088$735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.71 | 228 | 53.1%121 W · 107 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…8757backed No | 67c | 1,071$718 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.42 | 159 | 56.6%90 W · 69 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked No | 73c | 789.87$578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.9 | 200 | 59.5%119 W · 81 L | +11.0wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed No | 67c | 757.07$508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.11 | 281 | 58.7%165 W · 116 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Yes | 31c | 499.99$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 112 | 45.5%51 W · 61 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Yes | 32c | 479.6$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.47 | 317 | 45.1%143 W · 174 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 21c | 469.19$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.5 | 849 | 43.8%372 W · 477 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x033b…5e3fbacked No | 73c | 427.33$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.54 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58f4…764ebacked Yes | 17c | 364.99$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.05 | 37 | 27%10 W · 27 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 67c | 296.95$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.91 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcfde…8ad8backed No | 67c | 292.6$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.56 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed No | 68c | 291.52$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.1 | 193 | 56%108 W · 85 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd03…df4abacked Yes | 18c | 270$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 39 | 23.1%9 W · 30 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -23%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2488…ff0ebacked No | 76c | 181.56$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.57 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a15…52d6backed No | 69c | 149.34$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.3 | 105 | 64.8%68 W · 37 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yes | 31c | 143.89$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.99 | 948 | 48.1%456 W · 492 L | -18.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed No | 69c | 136.92$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.5 | 388 | 61.3%238 W · 150 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6569…7600backed No | 69c | 122.66$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.57 | 161 | 60.9%98 W · 63 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ffe…9150backed No | 69c | 116.97$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.52 | 71 | 62%44 W · 27 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked No | 69c | 108.69$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.71 | 82 | 65.9%54 W · 28 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd80…5ef4backed No | 68c | 104.84$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.55 | 68 | 42.6%29 W · 39 L | -7.1wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed No | 69c | 96.78$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 190 | 56.3%107 W · 83 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96da…69ffbacked Yes | 39c | 96.34$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.57 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6924…1455backed Yes | 31c | 92.86$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.76 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +6.5wins | +0.22per pick | 42cpaid | +54.1%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 22c | 90.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 716 | 19.7%141 W · 575 L | -49.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked Yes | 23c | 88.02$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 130 | 23.1%30 W · 100 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed No | 78c | 80$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.6 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91ff…edfdbacked No | 68c | 79.19$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.26 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6687…b9ddbacked No | 68c | 72.12$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.08 | 56 | 60.7%34 W · 22 L | +4.6wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5887…994ebacked Yes | 16c | 67.69$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf825…b9ffbacked Yes | 40c | 62$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.8 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabd5…e713backed No | 68c | 57.29$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.05 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4880…5626backed No | 68c | 53.17$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.01 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96b0…76dfbacked No | 75c | 52.5$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.08 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa76c…dc83backed No | 65c | 50.35$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.62 | 67 | 35.8%24 W · 43 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9744…cab4backed No | 68c | 48.42$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.49 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06e7…3acabacked No | 68c | 47.15$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 156 | 54.5%85 W · 71 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked No | 69c | 46.56$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 449 | 59%265 W · 184 L | +22.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb71…b5a0backed No | 69c | 42.57$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.13 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.33per pick | 58cpaid | -63.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84bb…25d3backed Yes | 34c | 33.61$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.43 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f22…0fb4backed No | 68c | 32.73$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.47 | 115 | 53%61 W · 54 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed No | 69c | 32.63$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.11 | 94 | 57.4%54 W · 40 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6630…9944backed Yes | 39c | 31.94$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.53 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 38c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb651…4a7cbacked No | 62c | 29.32$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.14 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91f0…c57abacked No | 62c | 29.32$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.14 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7f…4c60backed No | 68c | 27.97$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.95 | 71 | 56.3%40 W · 31 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66fc…2720backed No | 69c | 27.39$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.45 | 36 | 69.4%25 W · 11 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdae5…fd08backed No | 69c | 27.22$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e4a…fcd8backed No | 68c | 23.78$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.61 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +4.1wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +45.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcfb5…f5ecbacked No | 68c | 22.66$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.25 | 43 | 69.8%30 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed No | 79c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 235 | 51.5%121 W · 114 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked No | 67c | 19.06$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.26 | 199 | 55.8%111 W · 88 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc58a…b8f8backed No | 78c | 16.98$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.74 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +59%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea8d…89b1backed No | 80c | 15.32$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.1 | 154 | 57.1%88 W · 66 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked No | 75c | 14.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.79 | 261 | 60.9%159 W · 102 L | +20.4wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4f0c…c6ebbacked No | 80c | 14.82$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.96 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CA Newell's Old Boys win on 2026-04-12?this page
- Will CA Newell's Old Boys vs. CA San Lorenzo de Almagro end in a draw?Yes won
- Will CA San Lorenzo de Almagro win on 2026-04-12?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.