South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CA San Lorenzo de Almagro win on 2026-04-12?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3080e6e478ebf74a6481e608854a29e47ecbae5490d49028b7d68ced50d44c95
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $51,601
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $51,453
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $51,601 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1420…9daabacked Yes | 19c | 20,522$3,942 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,942.04 | 75 | 40%30 W · 45 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31c1…7047backed Yes | 22c | 8,532$1,907 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,906.82 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 78c | 4,526$3,541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$985.01 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed No | 79c | 3,913$3,086 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$827.56 | 650 | 58%377 W · 273 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 76c | 3,839$2,904 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$934.41 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 13c | 3,116$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.52 | 1,070 | 47.4%507 W · 563 L | -46.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x610b…b5b2backed Yes | 16c | 2,528$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.24 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | +4.0wins | +0.09per pick | 30cpaid | +22%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed No | 79c | 1,193$942 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.66 | 477 | 56%267 W · 210 L | +9.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked No | 79c | 1,193$942 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.55 | 412 | 56.6%233 W · 179 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x840e…b9edbacked Yes | 25c | 977.8$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.23 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 70c | 723.65$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.62 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed No | 76c | 669.7$506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.61 | 571 | 57.8%330 W · 241 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed No | 75c | 660.48$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.14 | 367 | 57.5%211 W · 156 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…8757backed No | 75c | 660.48$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.14 | 159 | 56.6%90 W · 69 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2168…99fcbacked Yes | 31c | 616.7$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.73 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…13adbacked Yes | 29c | 554.63$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.84 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked No | 74c | 546.34$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.05 | 228 | 53.1%121 W · 107 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd27d…a84fbacked No | 78c | 492.39$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.53 | 118 | 56.8%67 W · 51 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc510…5c9fbacked Yes | 18c | 485.96$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.47 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58f4…764ebacked Yes | 22c | 433.27$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.32 | 37 | 27%10 W · 27 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked No | 75c | 263.37$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.4 | 477 | 58.1%277 W · 200 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7abf…8dd3backed No | 73c | 261$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.14 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…110bbacked Yes | 32c | 224.81$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.94 | 191 | 44.5%85 W · 106 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43ce…c264backed Yes | 32c | 209.83$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.14 | 77 | 32.5%25 W · 52 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 80c | 174$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.31 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed No | 75c | 164.19$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.49 | 281 | 58.7%165 W · 116 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14c3…0262backed Yes | 13c | 145.82$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.96 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.14per pick | 23cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yes | 24c | 140.96$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.02 | 948 | 48.1%456 W · 492 L | -18.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked No | 74c | 133.03$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.59 | 181 | 54.7%99 W · 82 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed No | 75c | 131.33$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.83 | 636 | 57.5%366 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Yes | 24c | 112.62$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.03 | 100 | 33%33 W · 67 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 14c | 96$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.44 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96da…69ffbacked Yes | 25c | 95.5$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.88 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b43…9e23backed Yes | 25c | 95.5$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.88 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | +4.6wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x866a…de80backed Yes | 22c | 86.65$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.06 | 138 | 14.5%20 W · 118 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7242…ac6fbacked Yes | 28c | 82.49$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.1 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -3.6wins | -0.24per pick | 51cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 22c | 56.92$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 137 | 39.4%54 W · 83 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 25c | 53$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.25 | 849 | 43.8%372 W · 477 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Yes | 27c | 50.68$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.71 | 164 | 53.7%88 W · 76 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 716 | 19.7%141 W · 575 L | -49.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 70c | 45.76$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.63 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33eb…b07ebacked No | 74c | 39.91$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.38 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | -5.2wins | -0.12per pick | 63cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xea8d…89b1backed No | 74c | 33.26$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.65 | 154 | 57.1%88 W · 66 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66fc…2720backed No | 79c | 24.7$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.21 | 36 | 69.4%25 W · 11 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked No | 79c | 20.78$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.36 | 82 | 65.9%54 W · 28 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8dc…8d7ebacked No | 71c | 19.65$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.7 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…026abacked No | 69c | 19.48$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.04 | 175 | 60.6%106 W · 69 L | +11.4wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…d584backed No | 68c | 18.75$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 165 | 58.2%96 W · 69 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CA San Lorenzo de Almagro win on 2026-04-12?this page
- Will CA Newell's Old Boys vs. CA San Lorenzo de Almagro end in a draw?Yes won
- Will CA Newell's Old Boys win on 2026-04-12?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.