La Liga · resolved market
Real Sporting de Gijón vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol B: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb9c2f66ceea5c0e749b93c37fa22e1acf6b4d39579cd0dfd2bc62f51ae435057
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,807
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,905
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,807 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 65c | 4,685$3,037 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,648.04 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8b0…7b16backed Yes | 32c | 3,900$1,237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,237.47 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 40c | 1,099$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.6 | 378 | 29.4%111 W · 267 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd2…f9a6backed Yes | 43c | 381.56$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.07 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fca…e8edbacked No | 59c | 299.44$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.85 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa23f…a64ebacked Yes | 55c | 175.62$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.59 | 83 | 55.4%46 W · 37 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed No | 45c | 174.91$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.2 | 118 | 53.4%63 W · 55 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8a…02acbacked No | 70c | 171.43$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.43 | 38 | 65.8%25 W · 13 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed No | 70c | 169.89$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.97 | 79 | 54.4%43 W · 36 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25e3…b729backed Yes | 57c | 80.33$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.79 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +2.7wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…29e6backed No | 70c | 70.14$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.04 | 66 | 60.6%40 W · 26 L | +5.8wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…1212backed No | 55c | 68.99$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.05 | 97 | 40.2%39 W · 58 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1045…06c8backed Yes | 46c | 52.59$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.19 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a81…a86bbacked Yes | 56c | 52.16$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.21 | 174 | 66.1%115 W · 59 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b09…aca6backed Yes | 55c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Yes | 54c | 47.09$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.43 | 255 | 51.4%131 W · 124 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf226…9c0fbacked Yes | 43c | 36.3$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.61 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba2…f46bbacked No | 70c | 35.07$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.52 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked No | 68c | 31.25$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.09 | 199 | 53.3%106 W · 93 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 43c | 28.86$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.4 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06e7…3acabacked No | 70c | 28.06$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.42 | 115 | 66.1%76 W · 39 L | +9.2wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8761…5619backed Yes | 57c | 25.64$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.61 | 85 | 55.3%47 W · 38 L | +6.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2e73…3f4ebacked No | 69c | 20.8$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.54 | 227 | 60.4%137 W · 90 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Real Sporting de Gijón vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol B: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Real Sporting de Gijón vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol B: O/U 1.5Under won
- Real Sporting de Gijón vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol B: O/U 2.5Under won
- Real Sporting de Gijón vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol B: O/U 3.5Under won
- Real Sporting de Gijón vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol B: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Real Sporting de Gijón (-1.5)Real Sociedad de Fútbol B won
- Spread: Real Sporting de Gijón (-2.5)Real Sociedad de Fútbol B won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.