La Liga · resolved market
Real Sporting de Gijón vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol B: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7d57474b2d0baaf6f0049a178def8399bb1c1de37a6367a908630b72916f5ef7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,872
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,662
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,872 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 47c | 9,697$4,546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,545.66 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a26…1851backed Under | 56c | 9,608$5,366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,242.02 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0176…910ebacked Under | 38c | 1,002$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$616.61 | 51 | 66.7%34 W · 17 L | +5.7wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 35c | 854.38$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$559.62 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaab8…a331backed Over | 70c | 631.79$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442.25 | 82 | 52.4%43 W · 39 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61bb…5854backed Over | 61c | 500$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a81…a86bbacked Over | 80c | 381.95$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.45 | 174 | 66.1%115 W · 59 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 69c | 341.36$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.54 | 223 | 57%127 W · 96 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ed…8bb4backed Over | 71c | 310.92$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.98 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 55c | 290.43$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.43 | 1,018 | 53.1%541 W · 477 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1650…42f6backed Under | 39c | 247.03$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.69 | 93 | 36.6%34 W · 59 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8193…8c82backed Over | 48c | 201.83$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.88 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 40c | 127$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.5 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Under | 40c | 115.13$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.08 | 176 | 59.7%105 W · 71 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c2e…a948backed Over | 44c | 111.03$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.27 | 175 | 41.1%72 W · 103 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Under | 40c | 104.37$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.62 | 203 | 60.1%122 W · 81 L | +8.5wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 20c | 103.39$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.71 | 1,081 | 50.6%547 W · 534 L | +11.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 20c | 102.54$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.99 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 67c | 98.02$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.67 | 627 | 44.3%278 W · 349 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x953f…7518backed Over | 71c | 70$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 70cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 73c | 64.69$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.22 | 387 | 48.1%186 W · 201 L | +17.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f28…d173backed Over | 53c | 64.53$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.39 | 60 | 60%36 W · 24 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed Over | 55c | 53.07$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.19 | 169 | 62.1%105 W · 64 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x241e…04cbbacked Over | 71c | 41.52$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.48 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0095…42c1backed Over | 66c | 37.18$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.49 | 221 | 57%126 W · 95 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4148…4397backed Over | 52c | 35.49$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.45 | 92 | 46.7%43 W · 49 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa59f…2e59backed Over | 58c | 34.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.76 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1513…831abacked Under | 68c | 33.17$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.62 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ece…068abacked Over | 61c | 28.67$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.49 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1792…118abacked Over | 80c | 20$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.94 | 180 | 62.2%112 W · 68 L | +8.6wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Real Sporting de Gijón vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol B: O/U 1.5this page
- Real Sporting de Gijón vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol B: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Real Sporting de Gijón vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol B: O/U 2.5Under won
- Real Sporting de Gijón vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol B: O/U 3.5Under won
- Real Sporting de Gijón vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol B: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Real Sporting de Gijón (-1.5)Real Sociedad de Fútbol B won
- Spread: Real Sporting de Gijón (-2.5)Real Sociedad de Fútbol B won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.